Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 regardless of MBY impacts....pretty legit snowstorm to be tracking in November at this latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 While the eastern half of the snow band continues to oscillate north and south, it appears the hw20 to hw30 corridor in Iowa is locked in for several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian south/weak/progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Will be interesting to see what totals are like if the LE works out as shown on guidance. strong signal on the 12Z Canadian as well at H54...right into the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 the canuck did well last winter with vorts dropping down out of canada, gonna ride it all the way to the bank clock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 I'm upping my call to 4" IMBY and sticking to it. I'm so leery of that first storm of the season - been burned so many times before due to a warm lake, warm tongue, warm pavement, warm whatever keeping the precip in liquid or non-accumulating mix form longer than predicted. Geos and north should do better, as will McHenry and Kane Counties.Finally, my unfortunate prognostication for Alek and the city crew: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 I'm upping my call to 4" IMBY and sticking to it. I'm so weary of that first storm of the season - been burned so many times before due to a warm lake, warm tongue, warm pavement, warm whatever keeping the precip in liquid or non-accumulating mix form longer than predicted. Geos and north should do better, as will McHenry and Kane Counties. Finally, my unfortunate prognostication for Alek and the city crew: there's like 4" of slush in that cup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 the canuck did well last winter with vorts dropping down out of canada, gonna ride it all the way to the bank clock The GEM is a pretty good model. I don't think it gets the respect it deserves on a lot of weather forums. It used to be terrible once upon a time, but it's pretty decent I'd say. It's excellent with precip phase in the short term. I find it waffles a lot in the long range, but it's very decent in the short and mid range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian actually still drops 6 to 12 across most of LOT (what accumulates could be different thanks to compaction, melting, etc. etc. etc.)....lolli's in the favored LE areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 nice ORD bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 nice ORD bullseye GEM is best case we can hope for, followed by the NAM. Hopefully the Euro reinforces one of those two today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian south/weak/progressive Actually more QPF/snow here this run but yes it did push the northern edge south and less snow in IA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 strong signal on the 12Z Canadian as well at H54...right into the metro Yeah very impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian south/weak/progressiveIt's not really that progressive.South and weaker though (SLP wise). Still a lot of QPF/snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 The SE trajectory of the snow from Iowa through Illinois is such a tease for I-70, especially since she turns NE and cuts up across NW Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 12z UKMET is way north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Yeah very impressive those are the kinds of signals that even add to my totals down here...with the general enhancement...and perhaps a rapid sideswipe by a plume in its progressive stages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 looks bloody cold sunday morning compared to the month we have been having Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 12z UKMET is way north... toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 toss Yeah I'd agree with you on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Yeah I'd agree with you on that. i've been in the south camp all along, i think it just makes more sense given the overall setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 And just as I say that the 12z NMM and ARW look in the north camp taking the low near Kirksville, MO.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 i've been in the south camp all along, i think it just makes more sense given the overall setup +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 And just as I say that the 12z NMM and ARW look in the north camp taking the low near Kirksville, MO..They're north and warm. Not really all that surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 I'm upping my call to 4" IMBY and sticking to it. I'm so leery of that first storm of the season - been burned so many times before due to a warm lake, warm tongue, warm pavement, warm whatever keeping the precip in liquid or non-accumulating mix form longer than predicted. Geos and north should do better, as will McHenry and Kane Counties. Finally, my unfortunate prognostication for Alek and the city crew: If a Lake band sets up over the county it may really dump on both of us though. A logical guess in that you might get a bit more if your temperatures is slightly lower than at my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 GEM has me at 7-8 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flyfisher7 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 GEM has me at 7-8 inches lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Canadian actually still drops 6 to 12 across most of LOT (what accumulates could be different thanks to compaction, melting, etc. etc. etc.)....lolli's in the favored LE areas Canadian is way to south with the band in IL/IN I highly doubt that happensSent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Could see temps getting down to 25/26 here tonight. That should help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Top couple inches of the soil should cool to near freezing tonight. If stays cloudy for most of tomorrow that will help more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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