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Winter 2015-16 Medium-Long Range Discussion


OHweather

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Early next week is looking very nice for much of the MW. Much of Iowa and northern IL should have temps pushing 70, with dews well into the 50s. Gonna feel very springlike.

Should be a nice few days. Gentle reminder that severe season is approaching fast. (Also, lawn mowing season). Since the winter **** the bed, give me a solid MCS season

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Morch 2012 all over again? I got a taste of spring the other day with sun and 61 and now I'm hooked. I hope we skip Spring and go right to my favorite season!

 

*Image*

 

The image that warms my heart. The warmest anoms are over me if the top and bottom of the 5ºF shade meet in the middle, its about time. I would be more excited if it was in ºC though. While I am March 2012's biggest fan, that and others show nothing like it let alone the pre-existing conditions that helped bring it on and you would need a scale in ºF to go past 15 (the girth of the 5ºF shade would be huge).

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I'm hoping for a dry spring.

 

 

A dry spring would be bad especially since we had a relatively dry winter, you don't want to walk into summer with back to back dry seasons.

 

 

 

no reason to quibble, the modeled h5 pattern screams warm and active, not dry

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SUNDAY THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK... FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK THE MAIN FEATURE WILL BE A STEADY WARMING
TREND...WHICH COULD PRODUCE TEMPS INTO THE 60S AND PERHAPS EVEN
WARMER BY MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO PROG A TROUGH
DIGING INTO THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST SUN/MON...WITH A
DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS/GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH
AT LEAST TUE. THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE HIGH CONFIDENCE WITH THE
DOWNSTREAM RIDGE AMPLIFYING AS THE TROUGH ALONG THE SOUTHWEST CONUS
COAST DIGS SOUTH. OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE SHOWS PERIODIC CHANCES FOR
PRECIP MON-WED. IT ALSO APPEARS WE COULD SEE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
CLOSER TO THE TUE/WED TIMEFRAME.

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