A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 GEM has it too. Much more impressive storm aloft than yesterday's storm though. Massive neg tilt longwave trough. I mean...it has March 1993 potential written on it. pattern is there IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 pattern is excellent for strong coastals and boring dreary weather in the lakes pretty much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I can see next week's storm having deeper moisture transport than this past storm as it appears to dig further. Why the track looks similar, I could see the storm wrapping up a bit more and even going negative favoring locations farther west. With that being said, there is also a potential this could just turn into a coastal bomb and with this years luck I'd lean more in that camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 GEM has it too. Much more impressive storm aloft than yesterday's storm though. Massive neg tilt longwave trough. I mean...it has March 1993 potential written on it. So in other words, more of the same for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 GEM has it too. Much more impressive storm aloft than yesterday's storm though. Massive neg tilt longwave trough. I mean...it has March 1993 potential written on it. the para euro has kind of a different scenario. It brings the southern energy out in 2 pieces. The first is a weaker low that goes off the MA coast. That's followed by a second low that comes up from the south, much stronger and heads to about DC. As far as potential with this, you are correct and the para shows it well. There's a lot of energy dropping into that trough and if it comes out in one piece it's gonna be one hell of a storm somewhere between the mississippi and the coast. A lot of details to work out and twists and turns ahead. Of course there's always the possibility that it all gets strung out into a POS and the cold never phases in, but I'd rather consider the fun options. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Signs are pointing to the same thermal issues that this last system had. Slush and mix....need this system to bomb out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Now that's a good suicide run on the 6z GFS. Deep cold and boring and we progress into March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Now that's a good suicide run on the 6z GFS. Deep cold and boring and we progress into March. i've been beating that drum for a while now, especially eastern lakes...we're boned lol nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Perhaps we could get some lake effect snow going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 good luck with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Even so, the little bits would melt the second the late winter sun came out.......................................................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 CFS monthly starting to roll the positive anomalies back to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I think March might be our coldest month of the winter in regards to a departure from average perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Signs are pointing to the same thermal issues that this last system had. Slush and mix....need this system to bomb out 00z Euro has a pretty big snow storm for OH, KY, WV, W. PA, W. NY. You are right that the temperatures may be close to freezing. It would be better to see 850mb temps around -6C, 1000-500 thicknesses around 534dm, instead of 540dm. Thankfully, -this- run of the Euro cools the temps to -8C at 850mb in Ohio as the low tracks through. The GFS has this low near Long Island and simultaneously has temps above freezing in Ohio. So that's two things you don't want to see for a strong central Ohio snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 CFS monthly starting to roll the positive anomalies back to the west. Still buying the CFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Yeah I'm thinking this one has coastal written all over it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 light at the end of the tunnel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 this is insane, even for a 240 hr + gfs, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 00z Euro has a pretty big snow storm for OH, KY, WV, W. PA, W. NY. You are right that the temperatures may be close to freezing. It would be better to see 850mb temps around -6C, 1000-500 thicknesses around 534dm, instead of 540dm. Thankfully, -this- run of the Euro cools the temps to -8C at 850mb in Ohio as the low tracks through. The GFS has this low near Long Island and simultaneously has temps above freezing in Ohio. So that's two things you don't want to see for a strong central Ohio snowstorm. yep, a complicated cluster isn't going to do it for us when we're coming off a torchy couple days. We need more of a delay and a stronger storm that can wrap in the cold, riding the apps.... But of course that's obvious I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 light at the end of the tunnel? EURO and GFS worlds apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 EURO and GFS worlds apart poor JB, he's going to have to defend the gfs and bash the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 EURO and GFS worlds apart just a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 just a little meh, only about a 40 degree 850 temp diff in the plain states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 ride the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 poor JB, he's going to have to defend the gfs and bash the euro. already has his 'siren' up.... "ugly and unexpected euro....looks highly suspect....more later" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 poor JB, he's going to have to defend the gfs and bash the euro. Hasn't the Euro been trying to end winter for the past 6 weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 Hasn't the Euro been trying to end winter for the past 6 weeks? it's going to be 60 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 it's going to be 60 tomorrow I'm cool with it. It's like 2 days out of the next 2 weeks. I wouldn't be able to keep a straight face telling a non-weather geek that spring is coming tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I'm cool with it. It's like 2 days out of the next 2 weeks. I wouldn't be able to keep a straight face telling a non-weather geek that spring is coming tomorrow. Don't worry you're snow won't all melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.