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Winter 2015-16 Medium-Long Range Discussion


OHweather

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I like the way he thinks....

 

TEMPERATURES WILL BE TURNING COLDER EARLY NEXT WEEK. NCEP/WPC

MODELS AND OTHER MODELS WERE HAVING A HARD TIME HANDLING UPSTREAM

BLOCKING WITH ANOMALOUSLY STRONG FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN

PACIFIC PER CPC/GFS ANALOGS. AMPLE ENERGY WILL BE CUTTING UNDER

THE UPSTREAM RIDGE/BLOCK. THE ANALOG CORRELATION COEFFICIENT

REMAINS HIGH WITH VALUES OVER 0.90 ON ALL OF THE RUNS. GIVEN THIS

HIGH CORRELATION AND MATCHES TO ANALOGS WITH ACTIVE PATTERNS THE

PAST SEVERAL RUNS SUGGESTS INTERESTING WEATHER BEYOND THE END OF

THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

 

 

Did the dude from Quad Cities relocate to Indiana?

 

Dude's gonna nail it.

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After looking at the 10 day model runs, I'm really missing the December torch :(

What in pray-tel are you talking about Buck?! We have a WWA just posted for late tonight into tomorrow morning for up to 2 inches! That's like 2 feet around these parts! LOL THIS WINTER BLOWS! BRING BACK THE TORCH! 

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Define "interesting."

 

Interesting as compared what what we experienced before 1/5, unless you count 3" of rain in late December as interesting.

 

EDIT: Full disclosure, I spent two hours today with the guy who made that comment. He is definitely not the guy from Quad Cities. lol

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hopefully the cold shot early next week is the last of the season, looks like the pattern across the continent to moderate in a big way.

 

still liking the 21-23 window for a quality low, then hopefully we can get back to proper nino torching

 

I think that's called inciting a riot.

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hopefully the cold shot early next week is the last of the season, looks like the pattern across the continent to moderate in a big way.

 

still liking the 21-23 window for a quality low, then hopefully we can get back to proper nino torching

 

Preach it Brother.

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I don't see February being warm personally. We'll see about snow lol. I agree with January 21-22 being our next interesting window although I suspect I'll be too far south.

 

I've read that the nino has actually strengthened again or at least hasn't declined to where it was expected.   If true, wouldn't this make a torchy Feb more likely since the cold Feb forecasts were predicated on a rapidly declining nino in Dec?

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hopefully the cold shot early next week is the last of the season, looks like the pattern across the continent to moderate in a big way.

 

still liking the 21-23 window for a quality low, then hopefully we can get back to proper nino torching

This is the first year were I'm ready for it to be warm early.

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