buckeye Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 I'm really going to miss the torch if we go into weeks of cold and dry with intermittent snow showers and flurries on nw flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Good to see you back to at least track Monday night and Tuesday's event. Sure, what the hell. Looks legit and god knows it's been awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Uh oh....CFS v.2 got the memo that winter is coming....LMBO:Question is....will all the warm weenies who've tortured winter weather lovers with CFS image keep posting & tweeting them now. :) :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 I'm really going to miss the torch if we go into weeks of cold and dry with intermittent snow showers and flurries on nw flow. I would actually love that. Anything wintry at this point is a god send. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Uh oh....CFS v.2 got the memo that winter is coming....LMBO: Question is....will all the warm weenies who've tortured winter weather lovers with CFS image keep posting & tweeting them now. :) :) they went into hibernation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 I would actually love that. Anything wintry at this point is a god send. cold sucks without events to track. The upcoming (undeniable) pattern change that is unfolding looks to be dry at first but may evolve into stormy with a split flow and juiced up southern stream. This may favor areas further south and east in the forum, and possibly too far south and east for even us. Hopefully that doesn't happen, going from torch, to cold and dry, to storms missing to the south. . Although who knows, maybe we can get into a pattern more like...feb '10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 The biggest unknown to me is what going to happen 20-30 days out ? Does the pacific cold fizzle away only to bring back the torch or is the north going to unleash some fresh cold air? As of now, I'm becoming more confident in the pattern that this could be the real deal. Time will tell.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 cold sucks without events to track. The upcoming (undeniable) pattern change that is unfolding looks to be dry at first but may evolve into stormy with a split flow and juiced up southern stream. This may favor areas further south and east in the forum, and possibly too far south and east for even us. Hopefully that doesn't happen, going from torch, to cold and dry, to storms missing to the south. . Although who knows, maybe we can get into a pattern more like...feb '10... If that scenario happens, Central and Southern Ohio and Southern Indiana could cash in while leaving the rest of the subforum high and dry. Could be a matter of the rest of us on the outside looking in at you guys instead of the other way around. I'll have to look up Feb '10. This old mind isn't as sharp as it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 cold sucks without events to track. The upcoming (undeniable) pattern change that is unfolding looks to be dry at first but may evolve into stormy with a split flow and juiced up southern stream. This may favor areas further south and east in the forum, and possibly too far south and east for even us. Hopefully that doesn't happen, going from torch, to cold and dry, to storms missing to the south. . Although who knows, maybe we can get into a pattern more like...feb '10... Depends on your weather interests. There are millions of winter sports fans on the eastern side of the country that will be "doing their thing" with the coming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 If that scenario happens, Central and Southern Ohio and Southern Indiana could cash in while leaving the rest of the subforum high and dry. Could be a matter of the rest of us on the outside looking in at you guys instead of the other way around. I'll have to look up Feb '10. This old mind isn't as sharp as it once was. If my memory serves Feb 2010 was great up here and even better in central OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 If that scenario happens, Central and Southern Ohio and Southern Indiana could cash in while leaving the rest of the subforum high and dry. Could be a matter of the rest of us on the outside looking in at you guys instead of the other way around. I'll have to look up Feb '10. This old mind isn't as sharp as it once was. that was the snowmageddon period for the DC area, but we cashed in as well, and so did places further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 that was the snowmageddon period for the DC area, but we cashed in as well, and so did places further north. 3 events in about 12 days followed by an end of the month long term light snow event from a rare retrograding system from New England. One of the all-time best winter months in what was, until 2013-2014, tied for the 2nd snowiest winter on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Uh oh....CFS v.2 got the memo that winter is coming....LMBO: Question is....will all the warm weenies who've tortured winter weather lovers with CFS image keep posting & tweeting them now. :) :) Looks normal to slightly above normal for most of us with a bad 500mb pattern. Not exactly something to be excited about unless you like O'Douls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Looks normal to slightly above normal for most of us with a bad 500mb pattern. Not exactly something to be excited about unless you like O'Douls. exactly....i get what he was getting at, but there are more positive LR indicators then breaking out a slightly better cf2 map and laughing at the warministas. Here's the latest Jan/Feb anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 exactly....i get what he was getting at, but there are more positive LR indicators then breaking out a slightly better cf2 map and laughing at the warministas. Here's the latest Jan/Feb anyways Yeah trolling warministas with slightly above normal maps doesn't really make a bit of sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 When it's a step in the right direction & not blowtorch I disagree. That's as big of a shift I've seen in a CFS monthly...maybe ever this late especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 exactly....i get what he was getting at, but there are more positive LR indicators then breaking out a slightly better cf2 map and laughing at the warministas. Here's the latest Jan/Feb anyways Those are dailies, not monthlies. The monthlies update daily but thats a different product you posted. What you posted has wild swings from run to run. However the monthlies do not, which is one reason why the drastic change is very unusual & should be noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 When it's a step in the right direction & not blowtorch I disagree. That's as big of a shift I've seen in a CFS monthly...maybe ever this late especially.Still above normal up this way and a bad storm pattern anyways, so why should most of the subforum get excited about cooler boredom? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 29-37 for highs with mostly cloudy skies and scattered snow showers that may dust the ground at times = fun. j/k. Only positives the ski resorts will be able to make snow and kids may end up eventually ice skating on ponds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 When it's a step in the right direction & not blowtorch I disagree. That's as big of a shift I've seen in a CFS monthly...maybe ever this late especially.That's what I figured you were getting at. Not the actual depiction of what the cfs shows, rather it's drastic change, as it has all along been by far the torchiest model and the go to for anyone looking for a torchtastic entire winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 That's what I figured you were getting at. Not the actual depiction of what the cfs shows, rather it's drastic change, as it has all along been by far the torchiest model and the go to for anyone looking for a torchtastic entire winter. Middle of January looks warm. Not like what we have been seeing, but not mid winter type stuff. There is a brief cool down and right back to above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 29-37 for highs with mostly cloudy skies and scattered snow showers that may dust the ground at times = fun. j/k. Only positives the ski resorts will be able to make snow and kids may end up eventually ice skating on ponds agree. For our climo here in central Ohio, normal is great in the warm months, and blows big time in the winter. I don't believe we ever drop below freezing for a normal high in the winter, I think the lowest we go for normal high is like 34 or 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Middle of January looks warm. Not like what we have been seeing, but not mid winter type stuff. There is a brief cool down and right back to above normal. The reality of never obtaining sustained normal to slightly below temps this winter is legit. Even if Jan is only +2 - +3 above normal it still translates to a torching winter. This sucks but whatcha gonna do. We are somewhat long overdue for a clunker.Reading tweets by JB about a very warm AMJ does not help either. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 29-37 for highs with mostly cloudy skies and scattered snow showers that may dust the ground at times = fun. j/k. Only positives the ski resorts will be able to make snow and kids may end up eventually ice skating on ponds The UP will have snow with +1 to +5 departures. The UP is snowless with +10 to +15 departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 The reality of never obtaining sustained normal to slightly below temps this winter is legit. Even if Jan is only +2 - +3 above normal it still translates to a torching winter. This sucks but whatcha gonna do. We are somewhat long overdue for a clunker. Life with an average Jan 15th high temp within 3 degrees of 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Life with an average Jan 15th high temp within 3 degrees of 32. We can only hope that this Jan 15 is +3 of normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 10 day euro... anyone want to take a stab at extrapolating this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 10 day euro... anyone want to take a stab at extrapolating this? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 We can only hope that this Jan 15 is +3 of normal. I meant that SE Michigan has a Jan 15th (peak of winter) average high near 32F in the peak of winter. It doesn't take much to be snowless when we ride so close to the freezing line for high temps. SE Michigan doesn't have much wiggle room in winter to be snowless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 I meant that SE Michigan has a Jan 15th (peak of winter) average high near 32F in the peak of winter. It doesn't take much to be snowless when we ride so close to the freezing line for high temps. SE Michigan doesn't have much wiggle room in winter to be snowless. Gotcha, and this is why there is little cheer and praise for the upcoming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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