Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,598
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    PublicWorks143
    Newest Member
    PublicWorks143
    Joined

Pittsburgh, PA Thread: Winter 2015-2016


meatwad

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

We all know how the warm air usually comes in faster than modeled in our area, so if there is a tongue signature you can cut totals in half. Storm never really gets going, and a very narrow band of precip in the cold sector until its well North of us. This storm is looking more and more like a disaster for 90% of the people it will effect that want snow. Even if we see an adjustment east, it seems like if its east enough were we stay cold, there is no precip, just an odd system that might come down to nowcast time. Who knows, maybe it can be like some of the storms in the 90s that bust and we get snow when rain was the forecast, unlikely this day and age as modeling has improved leaps and bounds since.

 

At least it looks like after the warmup mid to late week we might get another chance to roll the dice for the last part of Feb into March.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We all know how the warm air usually comes in faster than modeled in our area, so if there is a tongue signature you can cut totals in half. Storm never really gets going, and a very narrow band of precip in the cold sector until its well North of us. This storm is looking more and more like a disaster for 90% of the people it will effect that want snow. Even if we see an adjustment east, it seems like if its east enough were we stay cold, there is no precip, just an odd system that might come down to nowcast time. Who knows, maybe it can be like some of the storms in the 90s that bust and we get snow when rain was the forecast, unlikely this day and age as modeling has improved leaps and bounds since.

At least it looks like after the warmup mid to late week we might get another chance to roll the dice for the last part of Feb into March.

Yeah 6-10 is warm and then the PNA builds and it gets cold. I would say we have one more chance to get a big storm. After that we are in march and that could go either way especially with the MJO.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z and 06z GFS are pretty far west, track the low through OH, which will result in a pretty fast eradication in cold air. Areas closer to I-80 may hold on a bit longer, but if the track is west of the Apps this will be snow quickly changing to sleet then rain. Ground temperatures will likely remain well below freezing despite above freezing surface air temperatures for a bit longer, so liquid may still refreeze initially.

 

Now we just wait to see if the current west track comes to consensus or if we see it shift back east. At track just east of the apps gives us the best shot at more snow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...