colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Hi Res NAM showing potential for nice heavy squall line for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 The potential is there for the next couple weeks. Will any of it actually happen? Who knows? A decent 2-4 event on Monday would be a nice start though. Climo says this our time of year for big storms but I think it'd be wise to not get too excited. We should all know the drill by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Bullseye at day 9.5, what could go wrong! Euro having it to though gives some credence to the idea we may have a shot in that time frame and it looks likes short waves interfering with each other shouldn't be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Oh Canada..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 I'd take these snowfall maps with a grain of salt right now. If you look at the 00z GFS 2m temperatures are above freezing when the precipitation is falling and add to that it will be in the afternoon I think totals would be lower. During more moderate times it will accumulate but its going to be wet and compact \ melt during lighter periods. If surface temps trend cooler as we get closer though that might change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Mon Thru Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 This could go either way for our region. This is such a weird set up of minor events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 This could go either way for our region. This is such a weird set up of minor events. Yea, it will pretty much come down to radar watching. I am expecting 2-3 inches with localized higher amts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Here is a good guy to follow on twitter https://twitter.com/crankywxguy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 GFS back to clipper type system for Pres Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Yea, it will pretty much come down to radar watching. I am expecting 2-3 inches with localized higher amts 2-3 inches right now seems like a decent guess for now. Torched BL is going to waste a decent bit of qpf. NWS seems to agree: THE MARGINAL TEMP PROFILE AND WARM BOUNDARY LAYER IN THE WARM ADVECTION REGIME ON THE EASTERN FLANK OF THAT SYSTEM SHOULD COMPROMISE SNOW POTENTIAL AND PRECLUDE SERIOUS ACCUMULATION THROUGH MONDAY...HOWEVER...THE SYSTEMS FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL DECISIVELY CHANGE THE TEMP PROFILE AS NIGHT FALLS ACCORDING TO CURRENT TIMING. FORTUNATELY...THE ENCROACHMENT OF THE MID/UPR LOW CENTER SHOULD SUFFICIENTLY WEAKEN THE WIND AND OVRALL ASCENT FIELDS AND THUS COMPROMISE THE IMPROVED TEMP PROFILE FOR SNOW. THE FORECAST IS THUS OF PROLONGED SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL THROUGH TUESDAY WITH RELATIVELY MINOR ACCUMULATION. THE EXCEPTION LOOKS TO BE THE RIDGES AS USUAL WHERE OROGRAPHIC SUPPORT SHOULD SUPPORT MORE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Looks like 3-5 on the Euro. Is the heavy squall still showing up on the NAM. That's what I like tracking. Long duration is boring if it's light the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heathaze Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA235 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-031-073-075-WVZ001>004-012-021-509-071945-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-FAYETTE-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-235 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWESTPENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRALPENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WESTVIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA..DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.LIGHT...BUT PROLONGED SNOW ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL FROM LATEMONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MAY REQUIRE ATTENTION..SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHERCONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 6, 2016 Share Posted February 6, 2016 Suppression depression for the storm around Valentines Day. That 18z GFS from yesterday was a tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Looks like NWS going with 1-2 or 2-3 over a 48 hour period. So long as we end up with a couple inches on the ground before the bitter cold hits next weekend that will be better than nothing. I hate bare ground and temps in 0s lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 The 500mb low keeps us in a decent SSE flow right through Tuesday night on the 6z GFS. Any strengthening of the surface low to our SE could put us in advisory range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Looks like the initial squall line is raining changing over to heavy snow as the front pushes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Looks like the initial squall line is raining changing over to heavy snow as the front pushes in. Looks like a quick inch or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Both snowfall methods put us in the 7 inch range on pivotal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I've been seeing all of these snowfall maps and I have been looking out my window at sunshine and bare grass all week. Time to get started! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I've been seeing all of these snowfall maps and I have been looking out my window at sunshine and bare grass all week. Time to get started! Couldn't agree more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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