Rd9108 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 So happy this event overperformed for us and that almost the whole forum got in on the action! Good people in here-lets look forward to the next one when is south people get a few inches and city on north gets a foot!!☃ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Next one out in Fantasy Island Hour of GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Lock it in!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 I'll wait for the NAM at 84h before I lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 This is the GFS Para from last night for next Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Here is 18Z GFS for 2/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Here is 18Z GFS for 2/4 Not to bring you down but I can pretty much bet where this will be at hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Here is 18Z GFS for 2/4 Looks like Mr tongue is nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Looks like Mr tongue is nearby. Here is 18Z GFS for 2/4 Verbatim that is rain to I-80 west of the Apps... No sense analyzing temps on a 240hr map though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 So, one last kick to the dead horse that was the Blizzard of 2016, here is a picture from the outside patio at work in Greensburg this morning: A stark difference to the 4.5 inches I received only 28 miles to the NNE of here. Don't mind the reflection, I had to take it through a window because the door wouldn't open with all the snow piled in front of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 ...ALLEGHENY COUNTY...1 SSW WEST ELIZABETH 9.0 145 PM 1/23 PUBLICBETHEL PARK 8.9 111 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA1 N CLAIRTON 8.0 1230 PM 1/23 PUBLICWHITEHALL 8.0 200 PM 1/23 PUBLICMOUNT LEBANON 8.0 1256 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTERSOUTH PARK TOWNSHIP 8.0 835 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA2 WSW WEST MIFFLIN 8.0 145 PM 1/23 PUBLICPITCAIRN 8.0 245 PM 1/23 FIRE DEPT/RESCUEEAST MCKEESPORT 7.8 1251 PM 1/24 STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL.MCKEESPORT 7.5 1046 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAWEST ELIZABETH 7.5 838 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA1 SW BRIDGEVILLE 7.3 1142 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAPORT VUE 7.0 145 PM 1/23 PUBLICPENN HILLS 6.3 1223 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAMONROEVILLE 6.0 315 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTERSCOTT TOWNSHIP 6.0 921 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTERMOUNT WASHINGTON 6.0 1243 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA1 SE MCKEESPORT 6.0 1156 AM 1/23 PUBLICUPPER ST. CLAIR 6.0 907 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIASWISSVALE 5.5 1100 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAGREEN TREE 5.5 907 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAIMPERIAL 5.1 1155 AM 1/23 PUBLICCARNEGIE 5.0 826 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTERMORNINGSIDE 5.0 139 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTERWHITE OAK 5.0 245 AM 1/23 PUBLIC1 WNW SHARPSBURG 5.0 145 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTERMOON TOWNSHIP 4.9 420 PM 1/23 NWS OFFICEO`HARA TOWNSHIP 4.8 730 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAASPINWALL 4.5 1200 PM 1/23 AMATEUR RADIO4 N PITTSBURGH 4.5 945 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA2 N MCDONALD 4.5 818 AM 1/23 NWS EMPLOYEEWESTWOOD 4.5 814 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIANATRONA HEIGHTS 4.5 1137 AM 1/23 PUBLICROSS TOWNSHIP 4.0 830 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAALLISON PARK 4.0 240 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIAMCDONALD 4.0 930 AM 1/23 PUBLICAVALON 4.0 952 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIASHALER TOWNSHIP 3.8 1040 AM 1/23 PUBLIC1 W PITTSBURGH 3.0 622 AM 1/23 PUBLICMCCANDLESS TOWNSHIP 3.0 600 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIALAWRENCEVILLE 2.8 600 AM 1/23 NWS EMPLOYEEWEXFORD 2.4 900 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA1 W WARRENDALE 2.0 900 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Seriously was a 50 mile shift really that hard to ask for. That's insane that those in Allegheny County except those in the far south were fringed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Seriously was a 50 mile shift really that hard to ask for. That's insane that those in Allegheny County except those in the far south were fringed. that map is BADLY off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 that map is BADLY off low amounts I'm assuming where you live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 low amounts I'm assuming where you live? I am 30 SE Miles of Pgh. & got 15 & 5 miles away Ruffs Dale got 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Maybe we get lucky this weekend with a 2-3 footer then a week later a1 foot storm. Play in it for 14 days. Then spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 I am 30 SE Miles of Pgh. & got 15 & 5 miles away Ruffs Dale got 18That's the reason I feel like that was the metro and the rest of Allegheny county's chance for a 10+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 There was enough. For a fort Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Looks like these next two weeks are gonna be boring. First storm looks like a whiff and the second is a GLC as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Looks like these next two weeks are gonna be boring. First storm looks like a whiff and the second is a GLC as of now. 2nd one was GL Cutter 1st before it went SE of us & is a LONG way out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen16226 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 So, one last kick to the dead horse that was the Blizzard of 2016, here is a picture from the outside patio at work in Greensburg this morning: WP_20160125_001.jpg A stark difference to the 4.5 inches I received only 28 miles to the NNE of here. Don't mind the reflection, I had to take it through a window because the door wouldn't open with all the snow piled in front of it. I understand that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen16226 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Maybe we get lucky this weekend with a 2-3 footer then a week later a1 foot storm. Play in it for 14 days. Then spring. You know why we will get a massive snowstorm that will reach into north of Pittsburgh this weekend? Our softball boosters has a casino bus trip fundraiser to Salamanca on Saturday. Anytime I am part of planning something like this, something ALWAYS happens. Lock it in now! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 That's the reason I feel like that was the metro and the rest of Allegheny county's chance for a 10+ storm. I was thinking the same thing, the odds that those that got fringed on this one get a big one that doesn't also pound those that already got hit is slim. Not saying I don't want those who got big snows to get more, but the odds of getting 2 big snows seems unlikely. Its probably not worth analyzing it though and if things line up we could have a decent early Feb into early March if blocking returns and we move towards climo favored enso. Not trying to write off the next 2 weeks, but if something comes up its going to be more luck than anything else. Either way I'll be watching lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 I was thinking the same thing, the odds that those that got fringed on this one get a big one that doesn't also pound those that already got hit is slim. Not saying I don't want those who got big snows to get more, but the odds of getting 2 big snows seems unlikely. Its probably not worth analyzing it though and if things line up we could have a decent early Feb into early March if blocking returns and we move towards climo favored enso. Not trying to write off the next 2 weeks, but if something comes up its going to be more luck than anything else. Either way I'll be watching lol. How about Snowmaeggdeon 2010? We had a few storms, follow the same track with similar results. If anything I would debate your premise, that is the short term climatology and the oscillations(NAO, etc.) in a short term actually would CAUSE storms and low pressure areas to behave similarly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 Looks like a boring 7 days. Maybe a clipper will show up out of nowhere but at the moment nothing to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 How about Snowmaeggdeon 2010? We had a few storms, follow the same track with similar results. If anything I would debate your premise, that is the short term climatology and the oscillations(NAO, etc.) in a short term actually would CAUSE storms and low pressure areas to behave similarly. I admit my comment was purely anecdotal, but I would guess its the exception rather than the rule that 2 big snow storms would affect the same area within a 10 day time period. Over the course of an entire winter though the odds are probably a bit higher that the same area could get to major storms. I do agree though that if the indices \ pattern remain the same \ similar that would increase the odds of just such a thing happening and is the basis for using analogues as a forecasting tool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Colonel anything cooking for the weekend on any of the models ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 You know why we will get a massive snowstorm that will reach into north of Pittsburgh this weekend? Our softball boosters has a casino bus trip fundraiser to Salamanca on Saturday. Anytime I am part of planning something like this, something ALWAYS happens. Lock it in now! LOL I don't have to tell me that,happens to me too ,,lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Colonel anything cooking for the weekend on any of the models ?? Honestly there's really not much to look at until February. This weekends storm is out to sea and the storm after that is a GLC. However it looks like the pattern will reload and blocking come back. This will help our chances at seeing some decent/significant snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Honestly there's really not much to look at until February. This weekends storm is out to sea and the storm after that is a GLC. However it looks like the pattern will reload and blocking come back. This will help our chances at seeing some decent/significant snows. How do you know what's gonna happen in 9 days when the models can't even get it right 1 day out ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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