RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 This is an impossible forecast for NWS Pittsburgh. First off, how in the hell do you post advisories and warnings for a county when one part of the county might get two inches, and the opposite end of the county could get a foot? You would almost need to place warnings like they do severe weather warnings now, and localize the boxes at this point. Two, just in general, with such a sharp cut off, their is simply no way to know for sure. There are so many factors including exact low placement and track, and how far the price field expands with the confluence, that for Pittsburgh proper, for example, anything from nothing, to a foot truly is on the table right now when you consider a 25 mile shift either way could get you into either of those totals. Good luck to those guys.... Agree 100%. I said earlier I feel bad because if this shifts 25-50 miles one way another the general public just won't get it and all you will hear is Met bashing, oh the weathermen don't know anything, only job you can be wrong at 80% of the time comments. Although if Jeff V really did forecast only flurries I'd love to see it shift enough so the city gets like 6-8 inches lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 My friend from WTOV9 told me yesterday he was talking about a trowal on a conference call yesterday afternoon with several other mets....he said it's just basically a very heavy squall to explain it to me to understand-lol Kinda figured that's what that meant. Hopefully it sets up right up over our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hahaha so Pgh metro could see 1-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well we have 2 more model cycles to get through to see if we have any creeps north then its nowcast time. One thing I will say, even if this ends up a total bust this has probably been one of the most fun storms to track in awhile. Our thread may be slow at times but we are building a nice little weather community here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well we have 2 more model cycles to get through to see if we have any creeps north then its nowcast time. One thing I will say, even if this ends up a total bust this has probably been one of the most fun storms to track in awhile. Our thread may be slow at times but we are building a nice little weather community here. Agreed! Tracking a big one like this does not come around often and I definitely enjoyed it, even with the ups and downs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well we have 2 more model cycles to get through to see if we have any creeps north then its nowcast time. One thing I will say, even if this ends up a total bust this has probably been one of the most fun storms to track in awhile. Our thread may be slow at times but we are building a nice little weather community here. Seems like some the ultra weenies from years past fell off. NOT a bad thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Seems like some the ultra weenies from years past fell off. NOT a bad thing I am still around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well we have 2 more model cycles to get through to see if we have any creeps north then its nowcast time. One thing I will say, even if this ends up a total bust this has probably been one of the most fun storms to track in awhile. Our thread may be slow at times but we are building a nice little weather community here. We need a red tag, no offense but a skilled professional is always needed during these times.. You can't tell me that all the stations in Pittsburgh, with the NWS there not one Met doesn't come on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's funny to go back through the the last few pages of the thread and see ebbs and flows, it would be nice though for this one to surprise both us and the models to end on a high note Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 We need a red tag, no offense but a skilled professional is always needed during these times.. You can't tell me that all the stations in Pittsburgh, with the NWS there not one Met doesn't come on here? Pretty sure Coraopolis works for a weather station if I am not mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Can you dig It !? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/index.php Try now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/index.php Can you dig It !? Link not working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 yea I even tried to copy and paste it and negative.....I hope I can dig it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Ryd-you saying you're one of the uber weenies???.....at least he's admitting it-lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Ryd-you saying you're one of the uber weenies???.....at least he's admitting it-lol You couldn't tell by my posts. Hahaha, when it comes to this hobby I'm bipolar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Speaking of bi polar any models helping us out this eve ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I missed all the fun today. Of course if I do get any snow it is supposed to start late tomorrow night and end Saturday morning sometime. I hate those kind of snows because I don't even get to see it snowing. I go to bed .....wake up and the snow is on the ground and letting up. Then I have to shovel it and it's done. Unless we can get it to move north more and it will snow longer on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Ruc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 We just have to be careful with these short range models. They have screwed us in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 We just have to be careful with these short range models. They have screwed us in the past. No doubt. Just posting since it is showing something different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 No doubt. Just posting since it is showing something different. I know just commenting for everyone else because we've seen the short range show 8 then 6 then go to 2. Although it was only one model, I forget which one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 SREF look good still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Thoughts on the latest sref? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Thoughts on the latest sref? Per PGH NWS they aren't being used in their forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Per PGH NWS they aren't being used in their forecast. & why they undersell & are wrong so often ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah probably worthless. There has to be some members that are way north and throwing it off but I am a little surprised it hasn't corrected being relatively close within range now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 & why they undersell & are wrong so often ! They are fun to look at because you see we have one that shows 40 inches but not very reliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277850 Hey here's something familiar "Warm Tongue of Death" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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