dj3 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If this doesn't make you sick I don't know what will! This reminds me of a storm we had 2 years ago, were I got literally a quarter inch of snow, but Greensburg got like 8. I ended up having the day off work and didn't even have to shovel anything. post-300-0-73647600-1453301867.png Thanks to guys in the Central PA thread for the county overlay. Looks like I should head to my in-laws in Johnstown according to that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Let's see what the GFS has to say. I'm praying it's atleast as good as the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 We will see in lil bit . Gfs the euro. Sampling ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/meteomadness/major-storm-will-produce-heavy-snows-severe-weather-and-flooding/54892402 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/meteomadness/major-storm-will-produce-heavy-snows-severe-weather-and-flooding/54892402 That's yesterday but yes similar setup next week. Maybe if this misses we could be bullseyed and Maryland gets mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 That's yesterday but yes similar setup next week. Maybe if this misses we could be bullseyed and Maryland gets mix. I like Henry's enthusiasm, always have, He's a weenie but better than an Eeyore like you see here lots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 EURO PARA looks north of the op. We are fringed but its improved from the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This all the motivation I need doing squats. Especially now seeing blizzard watches posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1013 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ052>057-505-506- 202315- /O.NEW.KLWX.BZ.A.0001.160122T1700Z-160124T1100Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE- SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS- CALVERT-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY- NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD- SOUTHEAST HARFORD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- KING GEORGE-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN- 1013 AM EST WED JAN 20 2016 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kfwq.txt Rostraver Airport which is only a few miles from me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 6z Para SE of 00z Para. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kfwq.txt Rostraver Airport which is only a few miles from me I live in Cranberry but spend most of my time out in Woodland Hills at the GF's house. I could see 4" here and 8" out by her. But I still have this feeling we get a jump NE and everyone Butler county south gets in on things. We had a slight tick NW in the models, we see this over a cpl more runs and maybe time to get excited. I just remember the big one a few years ago, up to 12 hours before Demetrius Ivory on TV was saying..Nothing to see here move on. I actually posted a screenshot of his snow map showing 6-8" and well I got 30". Don't celebrate or get all Eeyore this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yuck. Still so close, but these types of systems never seem to bump north for us. Also the crazy solution that it showed last night with the CCB making it back here is gone, kind of like I expected. It is just amazing that we are always either 100 miles too far north or 100 miles too far south. This might be mean spirited, but I hope dc torches and it rains on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Yuck. Still so close, but these types of systems never seem to bump north for us. Also the crazy solution that it showed last night with the CCB making it back here is gone, kind of like I expected. It is just amazing that we are always either 100 miles too far north or 100 miles too far south. This might be mean spirited, but I hope dc torches and it rains on them. Class GFS nonsense. Jumps the energy out too fast and too far east. With the amount of cold on land and the very warm water, the natural baroclynic zone will along the coast. You can see it try and reform a SLP farther west, but it messes up the QPF fields. I would not get discouraged by this. As it gets closer in time, the GFS will fix this shearing out issue AccuChris at Accuweather forums Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Class GFS nonsense. Jumps the energy out too fast and too far east. With the amount of cold on land and the very warm water, the natural baroclynic zone will along the coast. You can see it try and reform a SLP farther west, but it messes up the QPF fields. I would not get discouraged by this. As it gets closer in time, the GFS will fix this shearing out issue AccuChris at Accuweather forums Quoting people from accu forums? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Quoting people from accu forums? yes ! just following both & that popped up & it sounds fine to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I will see you guys Monday after the storm is over. Don'the want to waste any more time with these model runs and I don'the want to have to see DC getting clobbered. Better to just wait and see and avoid getting my hopes up. 2-4 is my final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 yes ! just following both & that popped up & it sounds fine to me They generally are pretty clueless over there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Gfs ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 12z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not liking the trend of shearing out the NW side of the precip. Starting to doubt expectations at this point even in my further southern zone. While not impossible it seems somewhat unlikely we get enough of a northward trend to make it historic around here. Meanwhile D.C. keeps getting bombed. I need to learn my lesson and keep model views to within 48 hours only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Really starting to expect 6-8" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 At this point 2-5 for AGC sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 What if euro bounces north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lwg8tr0514 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Crept a little north about 15-25 miles, 8+ line up around Allegheny county line now. Greensburg, McKeesport could be in the money as could be Plum, Murraysville. Still think the sweet spot is going to be over Deep Creek, move that final map 50 miles NW. I am in full weenie mode and can't believe a storm will dump 1.5 feet on DC and give us 3", defies historical precedent. I respect the models but they are often wrong, sometimes badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This is either gonna keep moving south or north. There is no way this will be the final snow amounts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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