RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Cropper posted on Facebook earlier and said the possibility of several inches. They're going to be very conservative still this far out. They always are. Yeah I caught KDKA and Jeff V said snow flurries \ showers possible Friday night but the bigger news was the warm-up. Buddy texted me this morning saying he heard on KDKA last night there was a possibility of a big snow, must have been John Burnett lol. But in all seriousness 12z models tomorrow still look good and we don't see a big SE shift I would think they would start to mention it. Here is a snip from NWS discussion: FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY HAVE USED THE NEW MODEL BLEND FOR DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS FRIDAY AND THEN BECOMING A COASTAL LOW LATER SATURDAY. THIS BRINGS CAT POPS TO THE RIDGES WITH LIKELY POPS FOR SNOW UP TO PITTSBURGH FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. AS SYSTEM WRAPS UP TOWARD NEW ENGLAND SNOW WOULD END SATURDAY. THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW REMAINS WITH THIS STORM AND PREVIOUS HIGHLIGHT IN HWO WILL REMAIN. At this point that seems the responsible way to start let people know to keep an eye out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 When I see we have forwarded 2 pages in a day or so, I get excited!! Loving watching all of this unfold and reading the posts!☃⛷ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 When I see we have forwarded 2 pages in a day or so, I get excited!! Loving watching all of this unfold and reading the posts!☃⛷ Yeah, something to finally talk about at least. Hopefully, this won't be another big letdown. We've had enough of them over the years. I just keep getting this sneaking suspicion that this thing has gone as far north as it's going to go and it's going to start trending the other way as we get closer. That's what these things can do this far out. It's come north quite a bit to get us all in on the action. A fringe job is still a possibility. We'll know more on Wednesday. Right now, I just watch knowing this could go either way for a while yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 A new para model to fall in love with... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Yeah, something to finally talk about at least. Hopefully, this won't be another big letdown. We've had enough of them over the years. I just keep getting this sneaking suspicion that this thing has gone as far north as it's going to go and it's going to start trending the other way as we get closer. That's what these things can do this far out. It's come north quite a bit to get us all in on the action. A fringe job is still a possibility. We'll know more on Wednesday. Right now, I just watch knowing this could go either way for a while yet.Absolutely-like you said, maybe by tomorrow night or Wednesday morning-if things still look close to the same-wow, I'd be so onboard for sure-but still fun to follow now and it's inside a week and not 10-14 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Here's something from the mid Atlantic thread from ORH_wxman or something-he's a green tag: The variable I like most about where N VA/MD/S PA sit is they are under the CCB and ML frontogenesis during a time when the storm undergoes its most rapid deepening. That is where you want to be to get the most intense snowfall rates. Rain/snow lines aside, that is a very good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The NAVGEM is considered the most progressive model and it is most west. A sign of things to come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 NAM pretty far north compared to 18Z. Could be another hinting at another in the north west camp. RGEM hinting at that also. Lets go with the Navgem/Dgex/Nam camp.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 NAM pretty far north compared to 18Z. Could be another hinting at another in the north west camp. RGEM hinting at that also. Lets go with the Navgem/Dgex/Nam camp.. Hey buddy,some are saying Precip on Friday morning so isn't that a 3 1/2. Days away...from start. ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Hey buddy,some are saying Precip on Friday morning so isn't that a 3 1/2. Days away...from start. ?? I havent seen anything indicating it would start that early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I seen it yesterday. On one model on accuweather .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 NOAA after 1 pm on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 The sooner the better that way it isn't dream land for the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Qpf took a bit of a hit, but I'm NEVER going to complain about a foot of snow. Never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Qpf took a bit of a hit, but I'm NEVER going to complain about a foot of snow. Never. Yea the ULL went more northwest but the main low went southeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Qpf took a bit of a hit, but I'm NEVER going to complain about a foot of snow. Never. Yeah, it almost looked like sort of a dryslot as the primary transferred to the coast on a couple of panels, but yes I agree a foot would be nothing to complain about! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Qpf took a bit of a hit, but I'm NEVER going to complain about a foot of snow. Never.If we would actually get that, I won't complain at all. Hopefully, losing some Qpf doesn't start a trend. We've seen that happen before still a few days or more out. Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If we would actually get that, I won't complain at all. Hopefully, losing some Qpf doesn't start a trend. We've seen that happen before still a few days or more out. Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk I don't know about how much qpf the storm can lose. This nino is raging plus theres moisture being fed into it from various sources. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Good day but still a ways to go. Tomorrow will start another chapter. I guess as I get older and learn not to get too excited this early. Time to get some sleep because there may be trouble getting some later in the week. Also another potential system on the heals of this one. Wouldn't that be great. In Feb 2010 I recall getting a 8 or 9 inch snowfall right after the 21. Let's do it. My favorite pic from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 GEFS mean ticked north and stronger for the area and some really good hits in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't know about how much qpf the storm can lose. This nino is raging plus theres moisture being fed into it from various sources. I don't mean so much as the storm in general, but just for our area if it trends the wrong way for us. We're on the edge right now of the significant snows and it had to shift a lot to the north and west for that to happen. Hopefully, it doesn't balance out and go back the other way in the coming days. We'll see. A lot can still happen, good or bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I don't mean so much as the storm in general, but just for our area if it trends the wrong way for us. We're on the edge right now of the significant snows and it had to shift a lot to the north and west for that to happen. Hopefully, it doesn't balance out and go back the other way in the coming days. We'll see. A lot can still happen, good or bad. 100% correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I am going to go cry myself to sleep. The models always planning games with us. **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I am going to go cry myself to sleep. The models always planning games with us. **** Why did I stay up for this crap... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Why did I stay up for this crap... I am always up this late, but this ruined my day. Guess we will get our 2-4 and DC 2-3 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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