canderson Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 MDT has a shot at 70 on Christmas Eve if it can clear out and keep the winds down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 MDT has a shot at 70 on Christmas Eve if it can clear out and keep the winds down. The last two runs of the Euro haven't been quite the thermonuclear detonation that yesterdays 12z was. Today's 12z seems to have more of a hint of the GFS frontal passage by Xmas Day but not as pronounced. GFS still has a stronger frontal passage and there would probably be snow showers in the mountains later Xmas Day if the GFS had it's way. So July on Christmas is certainly not a slam dunk. Either way it's still quite warm on both models the couple days leading up to Christmas, With one or two of those days maybe attempting 60+. Who knows what'll happen afterwards, GFS has looked changeable in the long range.. while Euro chugs right along with continuing to ram up heights in the east. Something's gotta give with this crappy pattern eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Even with the all-day rain, we're still sitting on a significant + departure for the day so far. 51/45 vs. norms of 37/23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 FBI raid a house a block away and arrayed a guy who was helping Isis. He had loaded M4s, knives, etc. I see FBI agents from my bedroom window. Hm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 Oh, that's comforting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Yikes. http://www.pennlive.com/news/2015/12/harrisburg_terrorist_suspect_h.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Yikes. http://www.pennlive.com/news/2015/12/harrisburg_terrorist_suspect_h.html My house is maybe 150 yards from that house. Yeah ... I do have the safest house in America tonight though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Flurries here this morning..almost forgot what that looked like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Another +20 yesterday, bringing the monthly departure up to +12.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Grasping at straws here, but 18z gfs looks interesting for the 12/28 period. Much better track and high pressure signature compared to previous runs. Something to keep an eye on perhaps. Drops 15" on UNV verbatim http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=240ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_240_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151218+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 dont look now but i have my first winter weather alert. ...SNOW SHOWERS WILL AFFECTELK...CLEARFIELD...MCKEAN...SOMERSET...WARREN AND CAMBRIA COUNTIES...* UNTIL 1000 PM EST.* AT 854 PM EST...A BROKEN LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS IS ADVANCING ON THENORTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS. THE SNOW SHOWERSEXTENDED FROM NEAR ALLEGANY TO NEAR FARMINGTON...AND ARE MOVINGEAST AT 30 MPH. RAPIDLY DETERIORATING ROAD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLEWITH SOME OF THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...ELIM...BRADFORD...WESTMONT...JOHNSTOWN...CLEARFIELD...RIDGWAY...JOHNSONBURG...EBENSBURG...PORTAGE...SOMERSET...KANE...ST. MARYS...NANTY-GLO...WARREN...BELMONT...WINDBER...DUBOIS...SANDY...MEYERSDALEAND KINZUA DAM.FOR THOSE DRIVING ON INTERSTATE 80...THIS INCLUDES AREAS BETWEEN THEDUBOIS AND KYLERTOWN EXITS...SPECIFICALLY FROM MILE MARKERS 97 TO124.THIS INCLUDES THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE FROM MILE MARKERS 100 TO 129.USE EXTRA CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THESE SNOWSHOWERS. RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND SLICK ROADS ARE POSSIBLE.CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL THE SNOW SHOWERS PASS YOUR LOCATION.CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS. BEPREPARED FOR SNOW OR ICE COVERED ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRATIME WHEN TRAVELING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Lock it up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Lock it up... and yea again harrisburg gets screwed /s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Its looking wintry out there tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 First heavy snow squall and measurable snow of the season occurring here currently. Looks like a good chance that UNV ends the humanity and misses tying the record for latest measurable by a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Ended up with about a half inch from the squalls earlier, discovered that the roads are quite a ****show around the local area. Pic was taken near the PSU Altoona Campus. Sounds like numerous accidents on the scanner. Bad timing being a Friday night and it being unlikely that PennDOT had any overnight staff ready to treat the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Lock it up... Nooooo....I'm enjoying having to mow my lawn in December! On a side note, I was kind of surprised that a squall had made it as far south/east as Tamaqua, but I woke up to a very light dusting on cars and non paved surfaces this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Had a dusting - very light - here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Strange sight in Marysville this am when I woke up. There was a very light dusting of snow on the car windshields in the neighborhood. Too bad I missed see the flakes flying. Maybe we'll get some flurries today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 I'll take a dusting of snow and potentially avoiding the latest first snow as a Christmas miracle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Wouldn't you know it...it actually feels like winter out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Had a dusting - very light - here. Very light dusting out this way too. Blink and it was gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Can someone please tell me what that thing is in the "departure from normal" column, particularly by the high? What does it even mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Can someone please tell me what that thing is in the "departure from normal" column, particularly by the high? What does it even mean? negdepart.png Its the literal value variance from each row. So for maximum its saying that the temp was 1f less than the norm, minimum was 5f higher and avg was 3f higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Wouldn't you know it...it actually feels like winter out there. The 68 degree Thursday will be a kick in the balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Its the literal value variance from each row. So for maximum its saying that the temp was 1f less than the norm, minimum was 5f higher and avg was 3f higher Whoooooooooooooooooosh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 The 68 degree Thursday will be a kick in the balls. handshake and an pat on the back... Fixed...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 12z gfs looks nice for the central mountains for the 12/28 event...and then brings in a HECS for the first week of January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 12z gfs looks nice for the central mountains for the 12/28 event...and then brings in a HECS for the first week of January Plenty of time to adjust south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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