Eskimo Joe Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 Last time I ever start a thread. Total disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Whoa...lol...someone needs a snowstorm. I'm just sick of the constant "WB/Scranton is more like Philly burbs" every time I post a temperature forecast or statistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Last time I ever start a thread. Total disaster. Good job you ruined winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Patience is the word that we must live by in terms of a better winter weather pattern developing. Most of the major models & many respected professional mets have been advertising for months that this will be a second half winter for the east. As MAG mentioned earlier, just last year, outside of the Thanksgiving eve storm, there wasn't much snow here until the last 10 days of January. MDT had less than 10 inches of snow through around January 20th last year, but rallied for nearly a 40 inch winter total that rolled on until the middle of March. There are many other winters that started slow as well. So again, I urge everyone to be patient. This winter will end up making most of us who love snow very happy when all is said & done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 There could be a window around the weekend of the 18th-20th for a winter storm according to the Euro Ensemble run today. In fact, the Euro Control run nails us with 6-10 inches of snow by the 20th. The Euro Operational run showed a colder pattern for the same time period, but kept the storm to the south at the end of its run. The Canadian model also today showed a storm in this time frame. Of course, plenty of time to go, but it is something to at the very least track & at best, it is a chance to get us on the board for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Patience is the word that we must live by in terms of a better winter weather pattern developing. Most of the major models & many respected professional mets have been advertising for months that this will be a second half winter for the east. As MAG mentioned earlier, just last year, outside of the Thanksgiving eve storm, there wasn't much snow here until the last 10 days of January. MDT had less than 10 inches of snow through around January 20th last year, but rallied for nearly a 40 inch winter total that rolled on until the middle of March. There are many other winters that started slow as well. So again, I urge everyone to be patient. This winter will end up making most of us who love snow very happy when all is said & done. Thank you.... thank you... THANK YOU.... Step off the cliff's folks. it's 12/10 we cant trust any model past 10 days....yet were ready to jump. While ugly is the word of the day(week(s)), signs of some sort of reshuffling are showing up. How that translates at 2m temps/precip....well its still up in the air... Eskimo....we MAY forgive you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Fog is so thick can't see light posts. I joked upthread about it but ouyrcweatter the last month really has been just like San Francisco. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I'm just sick of the constant "WB/Scranton is more like Philly burbs" every time I post a temperature forecast or statistic. Truth hurts look at the stats especially recently! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Boy the 6z GFS was offering plenty of extra this morning during the week leading up to and during Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Gotta love the 6z GFS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 There could be a window around the weekend of the 18th-20th for a winter storm according to the Euro Ensemble run today. In fact, the Euro Control run nails us with 6-10 inches of snow by the 20th. The Euro Operational run showed a colder pattern for the same time period, but kept the storm to the south at the end of its run. The Canadian model also today showed a storm in this time frame. Of course, plenty of time to go, but it is something to at the very least track & at best, it is a chance to get us on the board for the season. so your saying its gonna snow on the 20TH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Boy the 6z GFS was offering plenty of extra this morning during the week leading up to and during Christmas. Wouldn't it be ironic if the record warmth of November and December ends with a white Christmas??? At least someone around here has said something about a model run. Last several days of GFS runs have had it turning colder here just before Christmas. Trends are all we need to pay attention to at the moment. If you're a bit older, like me, I can take you back to the winter of '77-'78. Virtually nothing happened winter-weather-wise in the northern mid-atlantic (NJ) until the middle of January. Then, all of the sudden we had a severe ice storm and that was followed by the blizzard of '78 around Feb 7-8. That snow hung around deep into March from how cold it became. There are MANY good winters that got started very slowly. In the meantime, I am going to enjoy the near-record warmth this weekend since it will come with sunshine. Quoting a 'well respected' meteorologist..."Enjoy the weather 'cause it's the only weather you've got!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 Let's see how far we can shoot the moon this weekend. 13 December norm: 39/25 GFS MOS forecast: 63/51 Departure: +24/+26 (+25 mean) And even later in the period, with the "cooldown", we still look to be +10-15 from normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 I think MDT gets to 67. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 I think MDT gets to 67. I told my wife that last night. I turned the heat off the other day on our 2nd floor. With weather like this, after i remodeled with new window/insulation etc, it has stayed 65-67. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 GFS MOS now up to 66 for Sunday. Suggests we may finally get back to climo next Friday (39/32 forecast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Well at least somebody's getting some snow, even if is going by #poopsnow. Per CTP f-book this morning: 12309921_1008311145886639_1763484750536587993_o.jpg 12310076_1008311155886638_3013577610118645994_o.jpg 12232786_1008311285886625_2960984903860675789_o.jpg I talked to my parents who live in Danville, and they said something very similar to this happened there as well. My mom said it was very foggy and they had some snow in their area, while a few minutes away there was nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Suggests we may finally get back to climo next Friday (39/32 forecast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Last time I ever start a thread. Total disaster. your punishment for this is to hang to in the NYC and Phillie forums for the rest of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 your punishment for this is to hang to in the NYC and Phillie forums for the rest of the winter. Fixed it for you. The Philly forum is pretty good, the NYC one, well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 If it is going to be warm, let's smash records!!! No cold...no snow...let's do this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Very hard to get in the Christmas spirit when it looks like Spring Training outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 I have blooming vinca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 Closing in on the latest first snow in recorded history here in State College... think the record is 12/20? At least the rime ice this past week was pretty cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 13, 2015 Author Share Posted December 13, 2015 18z GFS is putrid for snow lovers. Nothing event close, save for some backend snow in the lake effect region at HR384. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Very impressive warmth in central PA currently; temperatures just before sunrise are in the 50s F, some 15-20 degrees F warmer than the average highs this time of year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Definitely ridge top warmth though during the overnight hours. Here in the Tamaqua "valley" this morning, where I sit at 800ft, it's 46 degrees. Friday night while coming home from Wilkes-Barre, temps on the ridge tops along I-81 were running at 50-55 degrees, while in the lower valleys, they were down in the low to mid 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Lol,he always has to differentiate in every circumstance. This is what these forums are for..... discussing weather, and this winter location and elevation will be very important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 MDT should break the record high (63) by at least 5 degrees today. Crrrrrrazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 62 here now at 11:20 in the morning. High school baseball winter workouts begin in a few weeks. At this rate some of them might be held outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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