MAG5035 Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Have ended up with about an inch of fresh powder this evening from the area of snow that pushed in from western PA with it still snowing currently. High ratio snow as well, there was a couple good bursts with some nice sized aggregates. Models haven't looked all that great for this weekend affair as of late. PA seems to be stuck in between the Lakes low and the developing coastal as there has looked to be less interaction (phasing) between the two. This limits both timely cold air intrusion as well as precip in general in PA as the coastal low ends up weaker and further to the east. We could end up having some last minute comeback but I'm not sure we could get the Sus Valley involved given the marginal air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Have ended up with about an inch of fresh powder this evening from the area of snow that pushed in from western PA with it still snowing currently. High ratio snow as well, there was a couple good bursts with some nice sized aggregates. Models haven't looked all that great for this weekend affair as of late. PA seems to be stuck in between the Lakes low and the developing coastal as there has looked to be less interaction (phasing) between the two. This limits both timely cold air intrusion as well as precip in general in PA as the coastal low ends up weaker and further to the east. We could end up having some last minute comeback but I'm not sure we could get the Sus Valley involved given the marginal air mass. looks like at least 2" additional inches overnight here. didnt measure but judging from whats on my car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Light snow falling here this morning. Looks like we have received a fresh coating so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Light snow falling here this morning. Looks like we have received a fresh coating so far. we have over 3" new snow from last night till now (still snowing) We are just shy of 6" on ground. Roads are horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Never have I ever been so jealous of Clearfield... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 We have about an inch on the ground here. Hoping you snow lovers get something to cheer over. Next week or so looks pretty blah for awhile, but cold air is around so that's positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 the pattern has changed..... I have stated it and It is so. Seriously, there are multiple threats for snow. this is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Never have I ever been so jealous of Clearfield... haha...I hear ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 the pattern has changed..... I have stated it and It is so. Seriously, there are multiple threats for snow. this is a good thing. Unless you are a truck driver... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 the pattern has changed..... I have stated it and It is so. Seriously, there are multiple threats for snow. this is a good thing. a million vorts, yet no snow. WTF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 a million vorts, yet no snow. WTF. Yep....pattern changed....but we cant buy a break round here. At least its cold....but i HATE wasted cold.... Hoping they keep it up in northern pa and points north and east for those that rely on it. My sleds are bored.... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Nut , did you see the video on facebook of the sled hitting the deer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Sorry, the 23rd is off-limits for snowstorms. I'm visiting my best friend in NYC that day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Nut , did you see the video on facebook of the sled hitting the deer? Nope....linky please. I've got a couple friends that have knicked them and know of guys ending up in the hospital from it. Been snowmobiling virtually for a few weeks now. Thank God for snowcams.... . Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Hey wake up guys and go check out the 12z models for next weekend. We have a legit storm chance to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'm going to wait until Tuesday to begin tracking. But the conditions look good. As DT said, this may be 'it'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Hey wake up guys and go check out the 12z models for next weekend. We have a legit storm chance to track. Naturally...the one day I don't want a big storm, it will come... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Euro has it suppressed as hell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Hey wake up guys and go check out the 12z models for next weekend. We have a legit storm chance to track. I'm down with as long as it comes on Saturday and it's plowed and cleaned by Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Euro has it suppressed as hell...The Euro can suck it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Actually the Euro is the only model suppressing it with its latest run. GFS, CMC, GEFS, EPS, UK all showing big hits of varying strengths for CPA. GFS gives us (LSV especially) over a foot and the CMC gives us 2 Feet with 2 1/2 feet Lanco and eastward. There's been a lot of great discussion down in the mid atlantic forum where I've been getting my "post fixes" for the last few weeks since there's been almost nothing going on around here...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 When was the last time the ECMWF was wrong? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Here is some eye candy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 When was the last time the ECMWF was wrong? lolDidht it have us getting like 16" at some point last March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Wow....a lot of us are in the 24" bullseye now. I want to think of 1983 but the evolution of this storm is totally different. BTW, no need to think that I believe this is how this storm is going to play out in the end. I've been around too long and seen way more busts than many of you here. But, at least as of this moment this storm has a serious amount of model support. Even though the Euro op suppressed, many of its ensemble members showed the storm much further north. (Edit...recent comments by DT seem to indicate that the current depiction of the storm evolution actually is similar to that of 1983. That storm was a fantastic storm as I was a first year student in Optometry school in Philly. I kept listening to KYW for every Accuweather report. This storm even got Joel Meyers to do a few broadcasts, along with John Cosett, Dave Bowers, and probably JB and Elliott Abrams. Philly international recorded 21.3" officially which made it the single biggest snowstorm in recorded history at the time. It was also the first time I witnessed lightning and thunder in a snowstorm. I remember it like it was yesterday.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 This is our storm! I can't wait to track this all week with all of you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Check out the 18z GFS output for KMDT: 160123/0000Z 150 07015KT 28.8F SNOW 8:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.066 8:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 100| 0| 0160123/0300Z 153 07015KT 30.5F SNOW 8:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.117 8:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.18 100| 0| 0160123/0600Z 156 05023KT 32.4F SNPL 1:1| 0.2|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 0.163 5:1| 1.6|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 0.35 11| 86| 3----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---160123/0900Z 159 03024KT 31.0F SNOW 16:1| 8.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.531 11:1| 10.1|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 0.88 100| 0| 0160123/1200Z 162 01025KT 30.6F SNOW 18:1|16.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.896 15:1| 26.3|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 1.77 100| 0| 0160123/1500Z 165 01021KT 31.0F SNOW 8:1| 3.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.396 14:1| 29.7|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 2.17 100| 0| 0160123/1800Z 168 35023KT 31.2F SNOW 10:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.047 14:1| 30.1|| 0.29|| 0.00|| 2.22 100| 0| 0 Yes, that's 16.3 inches of snow in a 3 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 I was two years from birth at that point. You're old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 The Euro can suck it. x2...... Being a christian...I pray for the important stuff.. Trying to figure out how to work this one in.... someone.....tell me we're in a drought or somethin... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 But lying will send somebody else to hell. Can you live with being an accessory to somebody else endinh up in Hell? The land needs to settle for the upcoming growing season. Snow makes the ground cold, adds to the moisture, the crops grow bigger. Happy prayers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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