powderfreak Posted November 1, 2015 Share Posted November 1, 2015 what I point out is if a storm occurs during a full moon they tend to be more intense. The moon doesn't cause storms. Ahhh I always understood it differently. That's a good clarification. We know you put a good deal of work into these and I'm sure you have your methods. Different than someone like DIT just throwing a wild guess out there based on gut fears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2015 Author Share Posted November 1, 2015 Must be the CFS.lol toss that to the ITCZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2015 Author Share Posted November 1, 2015 Ahhh I always understood it differently. That's a good clarification. We know you put a good deal of work into these and I'm sure you have your methods. Different than someone like DIT just throwing a wild guess out there based on gut fears. its not voodoo, all science based. Not that dead accurate but in the ballpark in the last 3 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 1, 2015 Share Posted November 1, 2015 nopeIn the true spirit of science... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2015 Author Share Posted November 1, 2015 In the true spirit of science...deal with it, LC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 1, 2015 Share Posted November 1, 2015 Would 12/12 be a Miller A? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2015 Author Share Posted November 1, 2015 Would 12/12 be a Miller A? bowling ball ULL look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 bowling ball ULL look I know Ray hates them, but nothing like a good coastal Miller A to cause chaos from ATL-BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2015 Author Share Posted November 2, 2015 I know Ray hates them, but nothing like a good coastal Miller A to cause chaos from ATL-BOS.been a while Dec 09? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 been a while Dec 09? Yeah...very well may have been the last time. We were talking about that at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 I know Ray hates them, but nothing like a good coastal Miller A to cause chaos from ATL-BOS. March 1993 please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 March 1993 please. Might be the best ob ever. With a peak wind at 73kts. METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN -BLSN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Might be the best ob ever. With a peak wind at 73kts. METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN -BLSN That's sick.What an epic swath of 18"+ from Alabama to NNE. And even spot 30-48" within that. The media circus around something like this would be insane. Hope we do it again sometime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Yeah, I mean we didn have epic totals...but it was basically the wildest front end thump you will ever see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Yeah, I mean we didn have epic totals...but it was basically the wildest front end thump you will ever see. Fair trade to get +TSSN and 70mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 I had 20" in Mar 1993...I'd take it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Fair trade to get +TSSN and 70mph winds. Yeah down where I lived in Brockton, we had about 10-11" on the front end, but got another 2" from these crazy squalls early Sunday morning from the ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 I had 20" in Mar 1993...I'd take it again.Then that map is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2015 Author Share Posted November 2, 2015 March 93 was so special, it snowed 10 of the first 14 days culminating in a white hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2015 Author Share Posted November 2, 2015 Then that map is wrong. ORH 1993-03-13 0.94 14.81993-03-14 0.29 5.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2015 Author Share Posted November 2, 2015 In my hood over 2 inches of qpf but only a foot of snow but insane scalping sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Then that map is wrong. Yeah those are fairly crude maps...they aren't going to be right for every spot. A lot of central MA had 18"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2015 Author Share Posted November 2, 2015 Yeah those are fairly crude maps...they aren't going to be right for every spot. A lot of central MA had 18"+ Will what was that storm on the 24th, late blooming Miller B? Hit Ray Bos hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Yeah those are fairly crude maps...they aren't going to be right for every spot. A lot of central MA had 18"+ Isn't CIPS a COOP based map or product? I know their analog maps are based on COOP data.As we have discussed, there can be differences in mapping snowfall of Coops and reality haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Isn't CIPS a COOP based map or product? I know their analog maps are based on COOP data. As we have discussed, there can be differences in mapping snowfall of Coops and reality haha. Yes, they are based on Coop snowfall. Surely there is a smoothing scheme and interpolation between Coop sites too. You'll see often that MWN has a pretty big radius of influence on the area surrounding it, even though it's very clearly not representative of northern NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Yes, they are based on Coop snowfall. Surely there is a smoothing scheme and interpolation between Coop sites too. You'll see often that MWN has a pretty big radius of influence on the area surrounding it, even though it's very clearly not representative of northern NH. Yeah and the smoothing ignored the 20" total at ORH and the 18+ at Buffemville Lake south of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2015 Author Share Posted November 2, 2015 Will what was that storm on the 24th, late blooming Miller B? Hit Ray Bos hardWilliam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Thanks guys, yea looks pretty AN, hopefully we can sneak in a couple of decent storms. Missed this. Looks very realistic. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 I'd love a slightly warmer 12/5 2003......I still have PTSD from that event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 That's sick. What an epic swath of 18"+ from Alabama to NNE. And even spot 30-48" within that. The media circus around something like this would be insane. Hope we do it again sometime. image.jpeg The Forum circus would be insane. Not a chance in he** that the forum wouldn't crash for days on end..... with everyone trying to get back in every 30 seconds freaking out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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