SACRUS Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Tom just amazing pictures. Missed it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 They were all over FB tonight,,,,and I missed it,omen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 The park and Newark at 42 before midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Freaking Austin got already below freezing tonight. The city not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 23, 2015 Author Share Posted November 23, 2015 Down to 40 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 23, 2015 Author Share Posted November 23, 2015 39 at the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Freeze watch in effect from this evening through Tuesday morning... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a freeze watch... which is in effect from this evening through Tuesday morning. * Locations... all of New York City except Staten Island. * Hazards... freezing temperatures. * Temperatures... lower 30s. * Timing... late this evening... into Tuesday morning. * Impacts... sensitive vegetation and outdoor plants will be damaged or killed due to temperatures at or below freezing. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A freeze watch means below freezing temperatures are possible. These conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. Maloit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Low of 34 at the park and Newark. 36 at JFK/LGA. Lowest yet for the park. The park did well relative to the entire area, due to the cold being CAA and not radiational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 And we beat KFOK which only had a low of 38. They might beat us as soon as the sun sets if the winds calm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 EPS picking up on the first official El Nino storm of the DJFM winter season around December 1st. Classic STJ energy undercutting the Nino ridge over Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 EPS picking up on the first official El Nino storm of the DJFM winter season around December 1st. Classic STJ energy undercutting the Nino ridge over Canada. ecmwf-ens_z500a_namer_9.png Check out the operational weenie snow maps attached to that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Low of 34 at the park and Newark. 36 at JFK/LGA. Lowest yet for the park. The park did well relative to the entire area, due to the cold being CAA and not radiational. NYC always does better with a light north wind on night lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Check out the operational weenie snow maps attached to that period. Is that just the S/R ALGO that WXbell uses? I didn't get a chance to see the eurowx output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Is that just the S/R ALGO that WXbell uses? I didn't get a chance to see the eurowx output. This should be in the banter , but the Euro sees LP off the EC with ridging to the west of HB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 This should be in the banter , but the Euro sees LP off the EC with ridging to the west of HB Yeah, I just saw the EPS mean. The mean has some love for the higher elevations of the Northeast. Hopefully, WXboy doesn't put up that OP Euro on his site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Nice rainstorm perhaps to kick off December, we'll see plenty more of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Nice rainstorm perhaps to kick off December, we'll see plenty more of that. That's a snowstorm on the Euro ( paste job ). It will change in a few hours . Good news , -EPO and + PNA. Bad news, +AO and +NAO. Marginal setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 NWS forecasting a low of 30 tonight at the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 That's a snowstorm on the Euro ( paste job ). It will change in a few hours . Good news , -EPO and + PNA. Bad news, +AO and +NAO. Marginal setup. I think much of the area will receive its first measurable snow in that time frame. GFS has been hinting at something too. It may just be a back-end, rain-to-snow event though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Park at 40 at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Is that just the S/R ALGO that WXbell uses? I didn't get a chance to see the eurowx output. The more accurate SV maps show little to no accumulation for the area with maybe 2-3" in the Northern LHV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 That's a snowstorm on the Euro ( paste job ). It will change in a few hours . Good news , -EPO and + PNA. Bad news, +AO and +NAO. Marginal setup. It's a pretty good setup verbatim, but obviously it will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Dew point down to 10 in KNYC and KEWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 The 12z Euro certainly looks closer to early December climo for a strong El Nino STJ disturbance that hugs the coast. The -EPO and +PNA prevent a GL track, but the +AO/+NAO will be warm for the coast so early in the season. High elevation Northeast can do well with this type of track should it verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 The 12z Euro certainly looks closer to early December climo for a strong El Nino STJ disturbance that hugs the coast. The -EPO and +PNA prevent a GL track, but the +AO/+NAO will be warm for the coast so early in the season. High elevation Northeast can do well with this type of track should it verify. GFS has it hugging coast as well, Low almost goes right over NYC, some backend snows on Dec 3rd, LOTS of time for change with this one, would like to see it trend off coast a bit more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 easy call... we're not getting a snowstorm in a super nino december with no blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 easy call... we're not getting a snowstorm in a super nino december with no blocking Storm? Probably not, first flakes and maybe a trace or so? Isn't out of the question for this time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 easy call... we're not getting a snowstorm in a super nino december with no blocking No one thinks this is an easy call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 easy call... we're not getting a snowstorm in a super nino december with no blockingThis is a no brainier, first days of December, +NAO, +AO, no 50/50 low to create confluence, no blocking/banana arctic high in eastern Canada to funnel cold air/CAD down the coast. Just a +PNA and -EPO isn't enough for an I-95 snowstorm that early in the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 This is a no brainier, first days of December, +NAO, +AO, no 50/50 low to create confluence, no blocking/banana arctic high in eastern Canada to funnel cold air/CAD down the coast. Just a +PNA and -EPO isn't enough for an I-95 snowstorm that early in the year Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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