SouthCoastMA Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 God I missed these posts... Will chimes in congrats eastern areas, and DIT follows it up with a most posters in SNE, or at least back to the CT River. Yea 'eastern areas' turns into the eastern 2/3rd's of SNE . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Like the look . Arctic push 1 with some squalls, possible eastern area brush, couple of mild up days then hounds visit setting up overrunning. Interesting times you really are the frigidaire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Meh 40's turkey day, low 50 for a couple of hours Fri/Sat sat then a great Arctic front Sat night, I mean that is nothing like the 75-80 you thought two weeks agoA couple of days of +20F...meh warmth. Sat night would be fun though. Windows down and Mayer blasting from the pickup Saturday and then back to reality in a big way Sun morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 not a very appealing look to the ec ens once the epo breaks and we flip the calendar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Like the look . Arctic push 1 with some squalls, possible eastern area brush, couple of mild up days then hounds visit setting up overrunning. Interesting times Day 8-10 on the EURO definitely looked nice with a low level cold air push...could see a gradient system after that, overrunning ice type stuff. Hopefully we can grab a winter threat in there, because it doesn't look all that favorable much further from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Day 8-10 on the EURO definitely looked nice with a low level cold air push...could see a gradient system after that, overrunning ice type stuff. The ensembles have something around 11/30-12/1...long ways out obviously, but the cold air would likely be in place already...it is just a matter of synoptics after that. The pattern turns ugly after that though as Phil mentioned...2nd run in a row with an ugly EPO region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Yea 'eastern areas' turns into the eastern 2/3rd's of SNE . When he's in drought mode, everything is bound to miss NE CT. But when it comes to possible winter weather, Tolland is always just far enough north/south/east/west to be in the game . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 The ensembles have something around 11/30-12/1...long ways out obviously, but the cold air would likely be in place already...it is just a matter of synoptics after that. The pattern turns ugly after that though as Phil mentioned...2nd run in a row with an ugly EPO region. Yeah, that seems like it would be our best shot for a more region wide winter weather threat as that cold dumps into the northeast. Try and capitalize when we can. Great to see Phil back and posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 you really are the frigidaire Euro shows squalls and snow Sun Mon and Sat/Sun the following week has a LR overrunning look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Yeah, that seems like it would be our best shot for a more region wide winter weather threat as that cold dumps into the northeast. Try and capitalize when we can. Great to see Phil back and posting. 850s are still cold enough 11-15 especially for you but 11-15 has been horrible so there is that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Yeah any hopes of a good early Dec have vanished . Expected but sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Yeah any hopes of a good early Dec have vanished . Expected but sucks The wheels on the bus go round and round round and round round and round. You flip more than a fish on the beach. Personally I'd hit the early Dec look, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 A couple of days of +20F...meh warmth. Sat night would be fun though. Windows down and Mayer blasting from the pickup Saturday and then back to reality in a big way Sun morning. +20 at the surface? are you ok? I would have to be 67degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 You'd think he was an old timer with bad memories of the Dust Bowl. "So dry. Dust everywhere. We was forced off the farmstead. Headed out Californie-way looking for work, but they didn't take kindly to no Okies." He can't even go back to the early 1960s, which might be the worst drought for MA/SNE in the past century-plus (and still cannot even sniff the severity of drought in the West.) Still, it produced huge wildfires (200k acres in NJ, anyone?) and woods closures, near-empty reservoirs, copperheads crawling from their usual cliff habitat and visiting camping areas, stuff like that. Edit: Driving to SNJ Tuesday to visit family, coming back the following Monday. Might get crummy driving wx both ways? Can't really stay the extra day this time, like we did so we could drive north behind the Jan blizzard rather than in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 He can't even go back to the early 1960s, which might be the worst drought for MA/SNE in the past century-plus (and still cannot even sniff the severity of drought in the West.) Still, it produced huge wildfires (200k acres in NJ, anyone?) and woods closures, near-empty reservoirs, copperheads crawling from their usual cliff habitat and visiting camping areas, stuff like that. He has never in his lifetime even sniffed a drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 The wheels on the bus go round and round round and round round and round. You flip more than a fish on the beach. Personally I'd hit the early Dec look, I'm mildly intrigued by 11/30-12/1 potential....but beyond that it looks like crap. However, the appropriate dosage of salt needs to be taken with anything out in that time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 I'm mildly intrigued by 11/30-12/1 potential....but beyond that it looks like crap. However, the appropriate dosage of salt needs to be taken with anything out in that time range. <Kev> Dec 1 is not early Dec </Kev> are you too a frigidaire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 +20 at the surface? are you ok? I would have to be 67degrees ECM departures at 18z Friday and 18z Saturday are pretty warm... some spots may hit +20. But its a general +15 on average for the northeast Fri/Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 ECM departures at 18z Friday and 18z Saturday are pretty warm... some spots may hit +20. But its a general +15 on average for the northeast Fri/Sat. ecmwf_t2m_anom_neng_34.png ecmwf_t2m_anom_neng_38.png ECM departures at 18z Friday and 18z Saturday are pretty warm... some spots may hit +20. But its a general +15 on average for the northeast Fri/Sat. ecmwf_t2m_anom_neng_34.png ecmwf_t2m_anom_neng_38.png No where near me is +20 or +15 , congrats to NNE though its what Kev worried about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Sipprell doesn't fail to disappoint..Uses the word again AS SUCH THERE ARE TWO ISSUES OF CONCERN: WHETHER WET-WEATHER WILL PREVAILESPECIALLY OVER FAR SE PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND ... AND ... GRASPINGTHE AGEOSTROPHIC ISALLOBARIC-GRADIENT RESPONSE OF THE WINDS WHICHLOOK TO POTENTIALLY DRAW COLDER AIR S ... EVEN POTENTIALLY DURINGTHE EARLY-HALF OF SUNDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 No where near me is +20 or +15 , congrats to NNE though its what Kev worried about Drunk? All of Windham County, CT is +16 to +17 at 18z Saturday on that map. And its +14 at 18z Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Eps verbatim would have a pretty mild stretch from around 12/4 onward. Noam flooded with pacific crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Drunk? All of Windham County, CT is +16 to +17 at 18z Saturday on that map. And its +13 to +14 at 18z Friday. That weekend looks like 50's Black Friday and 60's to near 70 Sat at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Drunk? All of Windham County, CT is +16 to +17 at 18z Saturday on that map. And its +14 at 18z Friday. +17 would give me 66, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 That weekend looks like 50's Black Friday and 60's to near 70 Sat at least Euro has highs of 60F at BDL and 58F at IJD on Friday... while Saturday its showing about the same, with 58F at BDL and 59F at IJD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Euro has highs of 60F at BDL and 58F at IJD on Friday... while Saturday its showing about the same, with 58F at BDL and 59F at IJD. dude thats not plus 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 +17 would give me 66, You said no where on those maps that I posted where you near +15. The maps showed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Euro has highs of 60F at BDL and 58F at IJD on Friday... while Saturday its showing about the same, with 58F at BDL and 59F at IJD. It's a torch 2 days at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 You said no where on those maps that I posted where you near +15. The maps showed it. My normal high is 48, its more like plus 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Euro has highs of 60F at BDL and 58F at IJD on Friday... while Saturday its showing about the same, with 58F at BDL and 59F at IJD. That's like +12 to +14 for BDL...avg high is 46 next weekend there. Though my guess is if the Euro verified synoptically, the 2m temps might be a bit higher than it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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