ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Some of us have a temp fetishes and would like to see it feeling like late fall rather than mid SEPT. Temps still in the 40s at 1pm...that's more like late November than September. You are getting your wish today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 I really don't see why anyone cares what happens in Novie.Not falling below freezing until sometime later in December? That's as bad as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 12, 2015 Author Share Posted November 12, 2015 Not falling below freezing until sometime later in December? That's as bad as it gets. Probably not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Winter "starts" for me around Thanksgiving. So basically I have 2 more weeks where IDGAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 whatever you need to say to make yourselves feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Not falling below freezing until sometime later in December? That's as bad as it gets. I'll take the under on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 subtle but real change in the landscape of odds in my mind, based upon the recent teleconnectors, combined with persistent extended ttrends in the various operational versions. firstly ... we have to content with banal warmth, with possibly some wind/rain excitement along a strong baroclinic translations (or two) over the next week to 9 or so days. in that time, +3 or more sd850mb temperature anomalies penetrate to buf- c ne latitudes for a time. then the cooler gauntlet falls? there is a bit of a correction into late middle range, over the np...enough so to get a bit more episodic NW deep layer flow intervals into the canadian shield. that much is higher confidence; the idea of a upward correcting pna(actually positive at this point over at cdc) is less pending continuity. assuming the latter emerges, pretty striking variance in sensible weather may take place between d6 and tg. if wet barotropic we hang at 68/66 in southerlies, but lowering that dp in that sort of warm sector drops, the temp rises disproportionately and we sore into the 70s! starkly contrasting [given to some continuity in recent extended trends], a general medium of mid to upper 30s in the els, to 45 at the shores in polar air/snow -like thickness may pervade tg week. clues may include the multi-run, mult-day support of deep time range circulation change in the more reliable operational model types + emerging recent tele c trends that favor a more -np/+pna in time + constructive mjo wave interference. these events may or may not conflict with enso arguments, but there would be times when that would break down anyway... lastly, speculative but watch invest out west of the date line in the west pac; that circulation type would re-curve anything that comes of that with a goodly bit of discerned intent and rapidity - if so would feed back positively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 I really don't see why anyone cares what happens in Novie. I do bust DIT's balls quite a bit, but I can see his side of it. This is a pretty bad pattern. There's no shame in saying that. Most point to the fact that it doesn't really snow in November and we aren't protecting the snowpack, or whatever...but IT CAN snow. I think that's the point. You wait the entire warm season, there are only so many months of the year that it can snow (not months that it will, just can). November is an easy month to punt, but its also a month that can make winter longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 I do bust DIT's balls quite a bit, but I can see his side of it. This is a pretty bad pattern. There's no shame in saying that. Most point to the fact that it doesn't really snow in November and we aren't protecting the snowpack, or whatever...but IT CAN snow. I think that's the point. You wait the entire warm season, there are only so many months of the year that it can snow (not months that it will, just can). November is an easy month to punt, but its also a month that can make winter longer. November is a good starting springboard for the ski season up there...so it kind of sucks when you waste most of it. Down here, it doesn't really do anything until T-day week...we'll often get minor snows before that which are cool (first accumulations of the year are always special to me), but they melt the same day or the next day and you are 53F again in the blink of an eye. I'll start getting annoyed at a warm pattern once we roll through T-day and if there's nothing on the horizon. That may very well happen this year, but hopefully not and we find a few snow events before Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 I do bust DIT's balls quite a bit, but I can see his side of it. This is a pretty bad pattern. There's no shame in saying that. Most point to the fact that it doesn't really snow in November and we aren't protecting the snowpack, or whatever...but IT CAN snow. I think that's the point. You wait the entire warm season, there are only so many months of the year that it can snow (not months that it will, just can). November is an easy month to punt, but its also a month that can make winter longer.Bingo. Couldn't have said it any better myself. I don't know how many times ive said that over the years. There's only a few short months when it can be cold and/or snow. Contrast that with how it can be warm for at least 9-10 months.. If we have to wait for a delayed cold season .. That really really blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Wow, fall plants still blooming in fall!! Shocking!!! Seasons in seasons. Ugly ugly ugly Eric Fisher @ericfisher 1m 1 minute agoBoston, MA Still plenty of blooms in the North End. Doesn't look like Boston will dip below freezing again until December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 windsexy weekend for Vt and the Berks with some spill over squalls to ORH, windy as heck too. Definite fall feel incoming. Will not be surprised to see many below 32 Sun AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Wow, fall plants still blooming in fall!! Shocking!!! Seasons in seasons.Rhodys, and geraniums are fall plants? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Clown range...breathe it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Clown range...breathe it in. 2mdep.png Congrats Brownsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Can't wait for my grass to green up after this rain we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Can't wait for my grass to green up after this rain we had. Might be mowing on Christmas morning at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 70's for days and days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 70's for days and days 75-80 Turkey day still your call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 All the fallen leaves in my yard are turning green again. It's magical! Can't wait for my grass to green up after this rain we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Nothing unusual about seeing any of those in the city at this time of year. Still plenty here at Northeastern. Rhodys, and geraniums are fall plants? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Clown range...breathe it in. 2mdep.png lol that's ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Clown range...breathe it in. 2mdep.png Looking at the map and then extrapolating forward a few days, it would seem likely that even if the trough is de-amplifying we would still drop down to near or even a notch or two below normal with that amount of cold air driving that far south. AT least some of it will translate eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 windsexy weekend for Vt and the Berks with some spill over squalls to ORH, windy as heck too. Definite fall feel incoming. Will not be surprised to see many below 32 Sun AM Definitely going to be an interesting time here Friday night through midday Saturday. I think even at home I could be snowing a little on Saturday morning. Meso-scale models are very, very wet (like 1.5-3.0") for the summits, and although at least half of that is likely rain, would not surprise me to see like a high elevation pasting. When H85 temps so marginal near 0C for a while tomorrow afternoon/evening, if strong orographic ascent can produce localized cooling, could see some decent snow on the picnic tables. Looks like all models bring orographic showers straight down to the Berkshires, probably some snow showers there on Saturday morning, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 75-80 Turkey day still your call? Was never anyone's call. We mistook next week for TGiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Winter "starts" for me around Thanksgiving. So basically I have 2 more weeks where IDGAF. Doesn't start in the tropics till Chrissymas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 70's for days and days Could be pretty cloudy next week with temps in the 60s. Doesn't look like nicest torch of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Could be pretty cloudy next week with temps in the 60s. Doesn't look like nicest torch of all time. Good news then..The cloudier..the better. Love these dark, cloudy short daylight days in Nov. If we can't have the cold..let's have the clouds at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 There's some potential for some pretty strong winds tomorrow night as the CAA sets in. Good mixing down 925mb..Probably some 40-50 mph gusts everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Those look like mums, kale and a rose bush... they'd be fine under a foot of snow Ugly ugly ugly Eric Fisher @ericfisher 1m 1 minute agoBoston, MA Still plenty of blooms in the North End. Doesn't look like Boston will dip below freezing again until December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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