Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Nah, there is a NNE threat with that. I buy it. Even if we rain at 39..just end this freaking deep summer BS we're in thru next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 that d9/10 scenario (...well, guess it's 8.5/9.5) on the operational Euro is a classic teleconnector tweener system. basically, it's contained within its own mass field and operates in a sort of disconnect from the standard statistical spatial correlations. that's code for, happening despite of the teleconnector argument(s). you notice that up across southern canada, as that system over the contiguous US moves e of the Rockies, there is a ridge rolling out immediately astride in N latitudes. that is a 'progressive rex block, where the high and the low are a mass-balanced couplet; balanced is the key term. the standard tele correlation on a positive nao/-pnap may not be as useful, because the coupled rex system as a whole fits snuggly inside those larger domain spaces with lots of room to spare. in terms of conserving mass, all numbers are square in this case. more code for a coolish system could take place and be sort of missed for lack of better term, in the ensemble derived probabilities. interesting. that's not a prediction for a winter event -- more a boost to confidence for a system of some sort actually being there... but i would offer that a polar high lurking through se canada would impose a cold wedge in the lowest levels. i have my doubts that system would cut west anyway, because the ridge node rippling along up there is block - models will dismantle those too fast at all scales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 BDL gonna pull off 4 straight days of 70+ and possibly one day of 80(Friday). Nauseating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Nice write up by Eric Fisher on warm BOS Novembers and low snow winters http://boston.cbslocal.com/2015/11/04/warm-november-lackluster-winter/?cid=facebook_WBZ_NewsRadio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Congrats everyone on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Nice write up by Eric Fisher on warm BOS Novembers and low snow winters http://boston.cbslocal.com/2015/11/04/warm-november-lackluster-winter/?cid=facebook_WBZ_NewsRadio we had an extensive discussion this morning in the winter thread, meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 The Euro has a real nice overrunning to miller B setup in the same time frame. Probably good enough to deliver the goods for most of Northern and parts of Central New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 we had an extensive discussion this morning in the winter thread, meh Yeah...just saw that. I wouldn't put all of my eggs in that basket...but it is an egg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 988mb in the Gulf of Maine on the Euro, day 10. Heavy snows for VT/NH and upstate Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Congrats Sunday River on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Congrats Sunday River on the Euro. I just made two posts about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 That would be perfect a month from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 ....heh, I still say ice is a real possibility should that U/A pattern pearl out and become less cohesively one entity like this run... three cycles, three variations, but at least we have consistency for SOMEthing to be there in that time frame. Note the migrating/progressive rex configuration in there, too - that's going to be pivotal in profiling along the 40th parallel because that local scale block N of superior supplies a cold thickness... (discussed all that earlier) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 I just made two posts about that. yeah but ur posts don't count - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Damn I forgot about the time change, but day ten is not worth two posts is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Damn I forgot about the time change, but day ten is not worth two posts is it? relative to glass sea devoid of events ... the crow's nesters are peering to the horizon for any hope of land - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 yeah but ur posts don't count - Yeah....ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Yeah....ok j/k ... hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Damn I forgot about the time change, but day ten is not worth two posts is it? No, not really. But sometimes boredom gets the better of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 j/k ... hahahaha I know. I took my oversensitive juice this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Note the date on the euro d10 system. Matches 1997. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Note the date on the euro d10 system. Matches 1997. One day earlier and it would match 2004 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Congrats Sunday River on the Euro. I dunno, the day 10 snow maps like Wildcat and Cannon a bit better. I love wxbell, haha. Allows you to take the crude snow graphic (anything under 0C H85 is snow I think), and then apply a 15:1 ratio to it... gives a low-end warning criteria snowfall here and 12-16" for the Whites into Maine. You can make the maps look how you want them to look, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 One day earlier and it would match 2004 Nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 I will take a few inches down in the foothills for my tracking pleasure please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 I will take a few inches down in the foothills for my tracking pleasure please sounds dirty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 relative to glass sea devoid of events ... the crow's nesters are peering to the horizon for any hope of land -Classic, poetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Well as we surmised several days back..that wave moving east may finally be giving us a different look after mid month. Some deeper troughing east of Rockies and signs of ridging south of AK. Still an AK trough, but it's showing signs of lifting out. Knowing how models rush things my guess is probably nothing terribly interesting until after the 20th or so. If at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Well as we surmised several days back..that wave moving east may finally be giving us a different look after mid month. Some deeper troughing east of Rockies and signs of ridging south of AK. Still an AK trough, but it's showing signs of lifting out. Knowing how models rush things my guess is probably nothing terribly interesting until after the 20th or so. If at all. We/ lol kevspeak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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