ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:05 PM, CoastalWx said: Hammertime on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:13 PM, ORH_wxman said: Why the weenie? It is certainly going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 12:43 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Wow.. That's impressive dryness. Wait until the month is over. At my place, Sept and Oct each recorded nearly 70% of monthly rain during a single event during the final 4 days. Top 20 all time drought. Holy cow Yup. 17th driest of 67 years, or 25th percentile. I've got some BDL records back thru 1920 - same elev, don't know if same spot - and there 2015 is 26th of 96, or 27th percentile. Dry, but nothing all that noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Why the weenie? It is certainly going to happen.Yeah. My bad. Did you gas up your snow blower for Thanksgivnimg yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:32 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah. My bad. Did you gas up your snow blower for Thanksgivnimg yet? No, I'm waiting on whether or not we get a coastal, to make my final preps for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:41 PM, CoastalWx said: No, I'm waiting on whether or not we get a coastal, to make my final preps for winter. Prob a good idea. I prepped early once we didn't get an October snowstorm. I figured we were good to go once we avoided that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:13 PM, ORH_wxman said: Text book -EPO crash --> boom scenario... Bunner or not, that's factually what that [likely to be?] erroneous solution is offering.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 Deep winter come Thanksgiving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 Here ... took a rip and read image out of my Synoptic Meteorology text book, Chapter 1, Norther American Cold Loading... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:32 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah. My bad. Did you gas up your snow blower for Thanksgivnimg yet? Enough with that gibberish, I'm driving back to Ma that week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 5:53 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Here ... took a rip and read image out of my Synoptic Meteorology text book, Chapter 1, Norther American Cold Loading... cloading.jpg Well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 Pond hockey for Thanksgiving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 Flashbacks to Buckeye's big dog image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 Can we change the name of this thread to "sultry novie"? It is pretty gross out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 6:22 PM, moneypitmike said: Can we change the name of this thread to "sultry novie"? It is pretty gross out. Napey Novie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 wow, 70fuchumsix degrees... I think Scott was railing Kevin last week because ...well, Kevin deserves daily doses of deriding, but more importantly because of how hard it is to get these kind of temperatures at this time of year. well, much to our chagrin! Scott's right, but this is a bit more absurdly SD warm than I think many were expecting. I don't think 80 is happening, though 79 could be tickled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 I'm pleased with how things worked out forecast wise. Wxwise it blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 6:30 PM, Typhoon Tip said: wow, 70fuchumsix degrees... I think Scott was railing Kevin last week because ...well, Kevin deserves daily doses of deriding, but more importantly because of how hard it is to get these kind of temperatures at this time of year. well, much to our chagrin! Scott's right, but this is a bit more absurdly SD warm than I think many were expecting. I don't think 80 is happening, though 79 could be tickled. Good mixing. This week was a bit warmer in the torch spots for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 down to 71 here after reaching 73. Muggy summery day-another day with not having to use the heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 6:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I'm pleased with how things worked out forecast wise. Wxwise it blows Yeah, your forecast verification (all year round) is directly correlated to how abnormal the weather is. Once we start getting several standard deviations from normal, your forecast verification is pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:08 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah, your forecast verification (all year round) is directly correlated to how abnormal the weather is. Once we start getting several standard deviations from normal, your forecast verification is pretty good. Very true. I still think his 78-80 is going to fall short...maybe someone tickled above 75F (I think I saw BAF did earlier getting to 76F before they dropped back to 73) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Very true. I still think his 78-80 is going to fall short...maybe someone tickled above 75F (I think I saw BAF did earlier getting to 76F before they dropped back to 73) We actually hit 75F up here at MVL today. That's incredible to me. http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?table=1&banner=off&sid=KMVL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: Very true. I still think his 78-80 is going to fall short...maybe someone tickled above 75F (I think I saw BAF did earlier getting to 76F before they dropped back to 73) Is it that hard to commend weenies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:18 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Is it that hard to commend weenies? Why are you so insistent on everyone praising you? Congrats on a warm forecast that was a bit too warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:28 PM, ORH_wxman said: Why are you so insistent on everyone praising you? Congrats on a warm forecast that was a bit too warm... I actually think he did quite well. Not sure if the reasons were right, but whatever. I didn't think this would have the teeth it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 70.4/56 at the Pit. Feels like early September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:31 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I actually think he did quite well. Not sure if the reasons were right, but whatever. I didn't think this would have the teeth it did. BDL snuck in a 76F. A forecast for 80F is the same error as 72F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:31 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I actually think he did quite well. Not sure if the reasons were right, but whatever. I didn't think this would have the teeth it did. This reminds me of a couple of adages: "Even a blind squirrel finds a nut every once and a while" and "A broken clock is right twice every day" Perhaps this one too: "Close, but no cigar" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 On 11/6/2015 at 7:39 PM, dendrite said: BDL snuck in a 76F. A forecast for 80F is the same error as 72F. Good point. It looks like the hills were in the 73-74° range. I think the big story is the dp's. Even low 60s feel "muggy" this time of year. People at work (the GP) are loving it but it's a little over the edge for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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