metalicwx366 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Is that storm all the models are showing in the Gulf tropical or non tropical? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Patricia is a pretty impressive storm. Sustained winds 185 mph, gusts over 200 mph. I've got to think this could be one of the strongest hurricanes to ever hit North America if it maintains this intensity. I wonder if the intensity of Patricia is at all related to the El Nino ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Patricia is a pretty impressive storm. Sustained winds 185 mph, gusts over 200 mph. I've got to think this could be one of the strongest hurricanes to ever hit North America if it maintains this intensity. I wonder if the intensity of Patricia is at all related to the El Nino ? You can think of it as a 20 mile wide EF3 tornado ringed by 30 more miles of EF2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Patricia is a pretty impressive storm. Sustained winds 185 mph, gusts over 200 mph. I've got to think this could be one of the strongest hurricanes to ever hit North America if it maintains this intensity. I wonder if the intensity of Patricia is at all related to the El Nino ? NHC The purpose of this special advisory is to update for a significant increase in the intensity of the hurricane. Reports from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that Patricia has intensified at an incredible rate since yesterday. The plane measured peak 700-mb flight level winds of 179 kt in the northeastern eyewall, and this may be an unprecedented value for a tropical cyclone. Using the 90 percent adjustment value to convert this to a surface wind speed yields an intensity estimate of 160 kt, which is tied with eastern north Pacific Hurricane Linda of 1997 for the strongest on record. A dropsonde released into the eye measured a sea-level pressure of 894 mb with 25 kt of wind. Adjusting this pressure for the surface winds (i.e. the drop did not land into the actual center of the eye) gives an estimated minimum central pressure of 892 mb, which breaks the record for the lowest pressure of an east Pacific hurricane. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely today due to eyewall replacements, but Patricia should maintain category 5 status through landfall this afternoon or evening. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0530Z 16.5N 105.3W 160 KT 185 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 17.4N 105.7W 160 KT 185 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 19.7N 105.3W 160 KT 185 MPH...INLAND 36H 24/1200Z 22.5N 103.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 48H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Wow! 25.99/ 880 MB , 200 MPH sustained winds Patricia is a MONSTER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Wow! 25.99/ 880 MB , 200 MPH sustained winds Patricia is a MONSTER! Pretty silly, and even sillier is they increase it to friggen 205 RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL ....... anyone within say 10-15 miles of the eye might be in trouble even in well built structures....this is also the faster I have ever seen a storm ramp down 205-70 in 12 hrs. the mts there at gonna shred this thing but there will be places a few miles inland at 1000 ft and the winds there will be possibly some of the highest to ever effect the ground outside of a high end tornado. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0900Z 17.0N 105.5W 175 KT 200 MPH 12H 23/1800Z 18.8N 105.4W 180 KT 205 MPH 24H 24/0600Z 21.7N 104.2W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 36H 24/1800Z 24.5N 102.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I haven't been paying attention to Patricia until this morning. Looks like it could be the strongest hurricane on record to hit North America. This could be catastrophic for Mexico. I wonder if it will remain a hurricane when it gets to Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I haven't been paying attention to Patricia until this morning. Looks like it could be the strongest hurricane on record to hit North America. This could be catastrophic for Mexico. I wonder if it will remain a hurricane when it gets to Texas. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 No. Just looked at the forecast track and saw that. At least that's some good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Saw on the main board that there doesn't seem to be any type of mandatory evacuation going on down there in Mexico. Someone posted this from twitter showing a note the guests got at a hotel down there. https://twitter.com/TelemundoNews/status/657552310051037184 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted October 23, 2015 Author Share Posted October 23, 2015 Just looked at the forecast track and saw that. At least that's some good news.Its gonna redevelop in the Gulf along the coast. Look at the models. Not sure if it will be fully tropical though, but impacts will be that of a tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 If Patricia redevelops in the gulf and becomes a tropical storm would it take on an entirely different name ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 If Patricia redevelops in the gulf and becomes a tropical storm would it take on an entirely different name ? It should, because it would then be considered an Atlantic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 It should, because it would then be considered an Atlantic storm. If this storm was a tornado it would be pushing an EF-5! Can't believe how strong it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted October 23, 2015 Author Share Posted October 23, 2015 It should, because it would then be considered an Atlantic storm. Yeah it would. I'm not sure if it will be fully tropical though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 If this storm was a tornado it would be pushing an EF-5! Can't believe how strong it is. It's pretty amazing to see. I have saved off several satellite images for posterity! Yeah it would. I'm not sure if it will be fully tropical though. Yeah, I don't think it will get back there...but you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 It's pretty amazing to see. I have saved off several satellite images for posterity! I have as well. Let's hope we can say that about a winter storm this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted October 23, 2015 Author Share Posted October 23, 2015 It's pretty amazing to see. I have saved off several satellite images for posterity! Yeah, I don't think it will get back there...but you never know. Yeah the tropics can do anything account to Patricia. Joe Bastardi thinks the ghost of Patricia will produce TS conditions and a tornado outbreak next week along with flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Yeah the tropics can do anything account to Patricia. Joe Bastardi thinks the ghost of Patricia will produce TS conditions and a tornado outbreak next week along with flooding. Halloween special. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I have as well. Let's hope we can say that about a winter storm this winter! That's what I'm talking about right there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Holy s*&t Patricia ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Holy s*&t Patricia !879MB !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 889 MB !!!! 879, right? Sustained winds of 200 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 879, right? Sustained winds of 200 mph.Yeah, my bad! Tired fingers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Maybe they should consider having a Cat 6 hurricane for extreme hurricanes such as Patricia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Why is all the Hurricane Patricia talk in the Banter thread? Nobody's ever going to find it if they were looking back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Why is all the Hurricane Patricia talk in the Banter thread? Nobody's ever going to find it if they were looking back... there's an Atlantic hurricane discussion thread but not one for the Pacific I would say a new thread should be started for Patricia but since she's about to make landfall it may be too late for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Why is all the Hurricane Patricia talk in the Banter thread? Nobody's ever going to find it if they were looking back... On it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Video from the hurricane hunters cockpit yesterday as they flew through the eyewall and then back into it. These guys are all business. Very little chatter in the cockpit. What a thrill ride, though. The sounds are so different when they break into the eye and vision is restored. I've never seen this type of video before. https://www.facebook.com/josephklippel/videos/10153565172024471/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 On it. Thanks, Burns. That was fast. Why do they use prop planes for hurricane hunting? Something with the physics of jet propulsion that work well in hurricanes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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