mississaugasnow Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 It's looking like it could get intense tomorrow. Hopefully the subway doesn't flood (like it did in 2013). The newer models keep upping the amount of rain tomorrow. With the GTA at peak fall foliage, the high winds gusting 60-70km will take most of the leaves down and clog the drains. add 2-3 inches of rain in 12 hours and we could be looking at some flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 I love wind storms and this looks to be quite a serious one. ..HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDTWEDNESDAY...* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND LAKE ERIE SHORE LINE IN WESTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AND SOUTHWESTERN ERIE COUNTY.* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY IS VULNERABLE TO SOUTHEASTERLY CROSS WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. ALSO...TREES WITH ANY LEAVES REMAINING CAN BE MORE EASILY BE TOPPLED WHICH MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2015 Author Share Posted October 28, 2015 I love wind storms and this looks to be quite a serious one. ..HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDTWEDNESDAY...* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND LAKE ERIE SHORE LINE IN WESTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AND SOUTHWESTERN ERIE COUNTY.* TIMING...EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY IS VULNERABLE TO SOUTHEASTERLY CROSS WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. ALSO...TREES WITH ANY LEAVES REMAINING CAN BE MORE EASILY BE TOPPLED WHICH MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. I'm not sure about any local climo effects but southeast is also usually an atypical direction to get those kind of winds. Trees may not handle it as well compared to if they were coming from another direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 I'm not sure about any local climo effects but southeast is also usually an atypical direction to get those kind of winds. Trees may not handle it as well compared to if they were coming from another direction. We very rarely get these type of winds coming from that direction. Our highest wind events are SW going up the full stretch of the lake. This will definitely be something we haven't seen in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 We very rarely get these type of winds coming from that direction. Our highest wind events are SW going up the full stretch of the lake. This will definitely be something we haven't seen in awhile. Impressive downsloping effect in this scenario. Plenty of warnings up in Ontario (Rainfall and High Wind). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Chilly, breezy, and wet tonight. Coming up on a 1/3" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Impressive downsloping effect in this scenario. Plenty of warnings up in Ontario (Rainfall and High Wind). Yeah man, let me know how high you guys get tomorrow. Should be a very windy 2 days here with first SE than SW winds Tomorrow morning into Thurs evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Up to 1.02". Been raining or drizzling continuously for over 14hrs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 As far as I can tell, the SE Michigan area has a PW (precipitable water) of 1.2-1.3" right now. This is higher than the mid/late-July average PW value at the DTX sounding station. The typical highest PW of the year at DTX is in mid/late July. Median PW is 1.02" for July 25th; mean PW is around to 1.15" around this time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 As far as I can tell, the SE Michigan area has a PW (precipitable water) of 1.2-1.3" right now. This is higher than the mid/late-July average PW value at the DTX sounding station. The typical highest PW of the year at DTX is in mid/late July. Median PW is 1.02" for July 25th; mean PW is around to 1.15" around this time frame. Even higher PWATs to the south of us moving NNE currently, these have to be close to record territory for this time of year: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 The record PWAT for October 28th at 12z per SPC sounding climatology is 1.15 at DTX, I expect that to be crushed today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nokywx Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Closing in on 3"...2.77" so far at CVG. Looks like we should finish with at least 3.5" storm total. Really steady, consistent rain most of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Closing in on 3"...2.77" so far at CVG. Looks like we should finish with at least 3.5" storm total. Really steady, consistent rain most of the night. Your area looks like it could be bullseye for precip totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Just over 2 inches and still raining steady right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Rain here must have picked up late last night/overnight, because most of yesterday was a light rain/drizzle fest. Measured 0.71" in the Stratus this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Models didn't go quite wet enough over here. Widespread 1.00-1.50" fell across ec/ne Iowa and my county was the bullseye with many 2+" reports. I received 2.06". It looks like much of the northern US got a nice soaking from this system. I now have an above average 3.29" for the month after having no rain at all until the 20th. Another decent rainfall is possible on Halloween. It has been quite the turnaround. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 pretty classic fall soaker, nothing impressive here total wise followed by wind whipped showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Heard the rain rates pick up after I went to bed last night. 0.89" as of 7am this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 0.85" here already and it's only been raining for 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 1.31" in Madison. Fairly constant from around 4pm yesterday till 9 this morning. still a chance of some on and off showers this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Storm isn't done yet, but it appears precip totals may fall on the low end of the model solutions. Looking pretty dry to the south on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2015 Author Share Posted October 28, 2015 Absolute mess outside...leaves down all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Today is the epitome of crummy fall weather. Taking a walk made me feel more tired and sluggish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 0.72" for CMH ending at midnight on 10/27 1.22" for CMH ending at 11am on 10/28 which is a daily record. So 1.94" in about 18 hours and 0.67" had fallen Oct 1st-26th. Many areas along I-75 in western Ohio received 3-4" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 28, 2015 Author Share Posted October 28, 2015 For anyone looking at Chicago precip totals: The precipitation sensor at Chicago-O'Hare is malfunctioning, causing the automated observed precipitation amounts to be incorrect. FAA contract observers at O'Hare will be taking manual precipitation measurements every 6 hours until the issue is resolved. On the METAR reports, the synoptic 6-hour precipitation amounts will be augmented by the contract observers, but hourly precipitation amounts will not be augmented. Refer to the bulletins at 7am, 1pm. 7pm and 1am CDT for the correct precipitation amounts, as the hourly METAR reports will not add up to the 6-hour amounts. Technicians are working on the issue, though it is unknown at this time when the precipitation sensor at O'Hare will be restored to proper working order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Some pretty good snow falling at times. Still about 38F so not sticking to anything. But the precip is falling heavy enough to cause some occasional bursts of moderate wind-whipped snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Looked like leafmageddon happened outside this morning when I woke up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ingyball Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Today is the epitome of crummy fall weather. Taking a walk made me feel more tired and sluggish. Crummy for you, perfect for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Looked like leafmageddon happened outside this morning when I woke up. Here too. Lot of leaves clogging storm drains. Snow falling in Bemidji and Hillman, MN. About 1" of rain fell here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Trees have really lost a lot of leaves after all the rain and now the wind. I'd say over half the trees are already bare. Picked up 1.31" total. Up to 2.37" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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