ncforecaster89 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 He says the current pressure where he's located is 972 mb and rapidly falling. Praying for his safety and all the others in harms way...from all impacts of this very dangerous storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 He says the current pressure where he's located is 972 mb and rapidly falling. Looking at the latest frames, it appears to be coming ashore very close to his location. Hard to know for certain based on satellite alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Does anyone have a link to the La Manzanilla cam. The link I earthcam link just trys to load but seems to busy. Any other Utube type live link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Beach Cam appears to have gone down. Looks to have just landfilled based on satellite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Beach Cam appears to have gone down. Looks to have just landfilled based on satellite. Looks like possible landfall at 545 pm CDT. Also appears Josh is either getting the eye or just outside of it in the NE quadrant! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Does anyone have a link to the La Manzanilla cam. The link I earthcam link just trys to load but seems to busy. Any other Utube type live link? Maybe others can suggest better...but here's one from Colima. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dWT3kRX-eiQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Just talked briefly with Erik (who is chasing with Josh) 945 and dropping. Definitely in the eyewall right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Man is it me or is TWC really geeking out on this thing? Is this new? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I'm guessing Josh's land line is gone. It looks like he was just to the south of the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Man is it me or is TWC really geeking out on this thing? Is this new? This is Wunderground on The Weather Channel. It's new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Josh coming on soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Josh coming on soon We'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 So they just mentioned Josh will be on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Poor Josh, he probably just wants to film and experience the meat of the storm and not be stuck with producers waiting to go live on the WC, but yet again maybe he likes that. I would just want to experience the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Josh is on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Got down to 930 MB, might have been the eye wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 check it out https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZRArAZfWGp8 On the list of "wow" moments, penetrating the eyewall into the clear in a HH is right up there. What a sight that must be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 This is a post on a La maz message board from the beach web cam owner when asked about it for posterity..... Well see how long the car battery holds out. If it does much more of the crazy **** it did a bit ago I'm going to split. http://members5.boardhost.com/lamanzanilla/msg/1445634746.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Got down to 930 MB, might have been the eye wall. Think he said it bottomed out in the 930's and very little doubt he was in the eyewall. He described the turbulent nature of the wind gusts I anticipated and mentioned earlier. Impressive obs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Josh didn't seem impressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Josh didn't seem impressed. It died out quite a bit at landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 HURRICANE PATRICIA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 625 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015 ... CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE PATRICIA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITH 165-MPH WINDS... Satellite images indicate that the center of the eye of Patricia made landfall at approximately 615 PM CDT...2315 UTC...along the coast of southwestern Mexico near Cuixmala. This position is also about 55 miles...85 km...west-northwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The maximum winds were estimated to be 165 mph...270 km/h. SUMMARY OF 615 PM...2315 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.4N 105.0W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES $$ Forecaster Blake/Stewart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 From the 5pm Advisory: 3. The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft reports that at this time, the Category 5 winds are occurring over a very small area near the center - about 15 miles across. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cypress Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 This is a post on a La maz message board from the beach web cam owner when asked about it for posterity..... Well see how long the car battery holds out. If it does much more of the crazy **** it did a bit ago I'm going to split. http://members5.boardhost.com/lamanzanilla/msg/1445634746.html priceless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Cuixmala is a resort area just a few miles from where they are at. They were going to go there as it looked better structurally, but it was from what I gathered inaccessible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I'm not sure I buy this thing still having 165 mph top wind at landfall. Andrew had 165 mph wind with about the same pressure at landfall, but Andrew was rapidly strengthening with a very healthy inner core while Patricia had already filled 40 mb and was steadily weakening at landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I'm not sure I buy this thing still having 165 mph top wind at landfall. A rapidly strengthening Andrew had 165 mph wind with about the same pressure at landfall. Patricia had already dropped 40 mb and was steadily weakening at landfall. agreed. i only care what the ground reports say. the rest is all talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I'm not sure I buy this thing still having 165 mph top wind at landfall. Andrew had 165 mph wind with about the same pressure at landfall, but Andrew was rapidly strengthening with a very healthy inner core while Patricia had already dropped 40 mb and was steadily weakening at landfall. Well, there's a 15 mile swath of maybe cat 5 winds. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Like I said....abundance of precedent. Devastating, absolutely. Never intimated otherwise. I'm just so glad that it went through an ERC right before landfall. Think of all the lives and property saved. I would have hated to see something so disastrous and unprecedented in its destruction. I followed this thread all day and clicked refresh on the satellite floater page every 5 minutes hoping that it would go from a category 7 to a category 4 before anyone on the ground had to experience it or take a video of it. The emotional climax of knowing that the 25-30 people in the direct path of the eyewall are only experiencing category 4 hurricane conditions instead of global record-breaking winds was well worth the 8 hours of wasted production at work. Human well-being fetish satiated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 I'm just so glad that it went through an ERC right before landfall. Think of all the lives and property saved. I would have hated to see something so disastrous and unprecedented in its destruction. I followed this thread all day and clicked refresh on the satellite floater page every 5 minutes hoping that it would go from a category 7 to a category 4 before anyone on the ground had to experience it or take a video of it. The emotional climax of knowing that the 25-30 people in the direct path of the eyewall are only experiencing category 4 hurricane conditions instead of global record-breaking winds was well worth the 8 hours of wasted production at work. Human well-being fetish satiated. The weather lovers paradox. Love seeing something historic, and am disappointed that I weakened prior to landfall; but at the same time happy that the potential wind damage may be minimized. As has been rehashed in the thread several times, surge and mudslides may be the real killers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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