wxmx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Yikes 173300 1810N 10516W 7100 01924 8795 +274 +110 032022 044 061 000 03173330 1809N 10514W 7085 01937 8784 +279 +069 213041 064 077 001 03173400 1808N 10513W 7029 02129 8934 +206 +167 211129 164 166 000 00173430 1807N 10511W 7018 02441 9214 +203 +155 206181 191 161 005 00173500 1806N 10510W 7036 02576 9413 +175 +107 201155 160 149 004 03173530 1805N 10509W 7021 02681 9522 +160 +111 201137 141 126 000 00173600 1804N 10507W 6991 02785 9612 +138 +131 199121 127 105 000 00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 191kt FLight Level, 166kt unflagged SFMR, 878.4mb pressure 173200 1813N 10519W 6889 02580 9275 +129 //// 056155 160 145 037 01 173230 1811N 10518W 6663 02584 8957 +160 //// 051106 143 100 011 05 173300 1810N 10516W 7100 01924 8795 +274 +110 032022 044 061 000 03 173330 1809N 10514W 7085 01937 8784 +279 +069 213041 064 077 001 03 173400 1808N 10513W 7029 02129 8934 +206 +167 211129 164 166 000 00 173430 1807N 10511W 7018 02441 9214 +203 +155 206181 191 161 005 00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 first pass: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Damn. 878 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Wow, even with cloud warming Patricia appears to be in the 870s.... holy smokes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 878.4mb extrapolated! 191 FL winds, 161 SFMR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 No doubt this was in Tip's league several hours earlier overnight...given the 878 mb extrapolated pressure even with a warmer CDO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Holy crap...191 flight level still supports the 175 knot intensity. Might be even stronger since that was a NW to SE pass. Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 amazing how quickly it ramps up.. did they even hit the center? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Wow, even with cloud warming Patricia appears to be in the 870s.... holy smokes. Must have been diurnal fluctuation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Patricia sustaining sub-880mb pressure for nearly 12 hours is incredible. A lot of canes have trouble maintaining 930 mb strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Holy recon. And no surprise the board crashes right as its headed through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Cloud tops cooling again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Oh jesus......literally praying for an eastward jog.....*u** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 25.93 , unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 If Josh hits the center, that could be the lowest central pressure over land for a hurricane (tropical cyclone, for that matter) ever recorded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 That 878 was with 60 knot surface winds!! I'm in awe Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 airport close to the path http://www.wunderground.com/mx/playa-de-oro-international Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Oh jesus......literally praying for an eastward jog.....*u** Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 No doubt this was in Tip's league several hours earlier overnight...given the 878 mb extrapolated pressure even with a warmer CDO. This is just the 5th TC in recorded history to go below 880 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Oh jesus......literally praying for an eastward jog.....*u** An eastward jog? Towards Manzanillo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Why? He hates Manzanillo ... I think he mentioned he has family in Puerto Vallarta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 25.93 , unreal Any regular observation of such a pressure would make you think it's a typo. That's nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Before the recon radar site went down, I looped the recent images and saw a northwest jog of the inner core. The newest satellite image appears to confirm a sudden left jog. The track should then smooth out to the nne again over the next couple hours. I'd say Manzanillo is out of extreme danger now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 whats the exploration on a 60knt SFMR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 878.4mb extrapolated! 191 FL winds, 161 SFMR That is in knots? 191knots 218mph 161 knots 185mph, am I correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 An eastward jog? Towards Manzanillo? I'm all set with my sister's house being destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Before the recon radar site went down, I looped the recent images and saw a northwest jog of the inner core. The newest satellite image appears to confirm a sudden left jog. The track should then smooth out to the nne again over the next couple hours. Shows here too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 That is in knots? 191knots 218mph 161 knots 185mph, am I correct? Yes...but it was 166 kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubiksDestroyer Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Cloud tops beginning to cool again, and it appears to be beginning to make a more northward turn... Next flyby will be really interesting. I would say Emiliano Zapata is the place to be if Josh wants to get near the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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