Tacoma Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Can't believe that we have some of the coldest temps of the season and we're 24 hours away from a rain storm. Just a weird system but I guess it fits in with a weird winter Is this not the pits, all this nice cold air and gone when the heaviest moisture arrives, just nothing to hold that cold H pressure in place long enough. was hoping for south trends on the storm but we saw very little over the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 snowing over Buncombe County but all drying up before it hits the ground. sure looks like snow it has gotten so dark, looks like its going to poor snow any minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Huge flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Rays Mountain Weather Morning thoughts [sNIPPED IMAGE] Image courtesy of Raysweather.com Looks pretty good to me at this point. What is the definition of "Significant icing", though? 0.1"+ or 0.25"+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Ward, I have bonafide light snow now with a temp of 17.2. Didn't expect snow this early.Wow nice Joe! Congrats Ashe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I'm not... and was never... optimistic about this storm. Not even sure we'll get enough to miss classes at UNCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Graupel falling in Boone. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 I'm not... and was never... optimistic about this storm. Not even sure we'll get enough to miss classes at UNCA. looking at the radar from tenneessee looks like the moisture is headed right for Buncombe County and points west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 looking at the radar from tenneessee looks like the moisture is headed right for Buncombe County and points west. I've had light snow, moderate at times, all morning. When that blob hits it's going to pick up quite a bit. Never thought I would have about a half of inch by now. Still 4 hours before the warning starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Models are finally going cold for Monday/Tuesday AM. Might be more icier here than forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 guys what time do you think we start getting some snow in Buncombe County? I know we won't get much but maybe an inch or two? just wandering of the start time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Seeing a few flurries here in north Asheville. Looks like it starts pretty soon frits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 5" to 10" Watauga, Ashe, Alleghany Issued By: NWS Blacksburg (Southwest Virginia) Sent: 14:22 EST on 02-14-2016 Effective: 14:22 EST on 02-14-2016 Expires: 12:00 EST on 02-16-2016 Severity: Moderate Urgency: Expected Target Area: Alleghany Ashe Watauga WINTER STORM EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING, .A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. MEANWHILE, A SERIES OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL TRACK TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND MONDAY BRINGING A VARIETY OF WINTER PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION. LOOK FOR MOSTLY SNOW TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY, THEN A WINTRY MIX MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT AS WARMER AIR BEGINS TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF WINTER PRECIPITATION ARE LIKELY. WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY, * ACCUMULATIONS, SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A TENTH AND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH. HIGHEST ICE TOTALS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE. * LOCATIONS, AREAS OF VIRGINIA, WEST VIRGINIA, AND NORTH CAROLINA FROM THE BLUE RIDGE WESTWARD. * HAZARD TYPES, SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING, SNOW DEVELOPING THIS EVENING CONTINUING INTO MONDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS, HAZARDOUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW AND ICE COVERED ROADS. * TEMPERATURES, SINGLE DIGITS INTO THE LOWER AND MID 20S TODAY, TEENS AND 20S MONDAY, RISING INTO THE LOWER AND MID 30S BY TUESDAY MORNING. Instructions: A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW, SLEET, AND ICE MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF WINTER PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DANGEROUS TO PERHAPS IMPOSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, WATER, AND A BLANKET IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS, ICE ACCUMULATION OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT [email protected] OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1, 8 6 6, 2 1 5, 4 3 2 4.FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, VISIT US ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. REPORTS CAN ALSO BE SUBMITTED TO OUR FACEBOOK OR TWITTER PAGES. NWS Blacksburg (Southwest Virginia) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 WWA for central and southern mtns. I am still hoping for a surprise. Winter Weather AdvisoryURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC252 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY....AN ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINASAND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THECENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY WILL MOVE EAST AND SPREAD MOISTUREINTO THIS COLD AIR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WITH COLD AND DRY AIRINITIALLY IN PLACE TONIGHT...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOWTHROUGHOUT. THE SNOW WILL CHANGE OVER TO SLEET AND THEN FREEZINGRAIN THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY ON MONDAY...BECOMING ALL RAININ MOST AREAS BY MONDAY EVENING. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OFSNOW...SLEET...AND ICE MAY OCCUR...PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHERNMOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062-150400-/O.UPG.KGSP.WS.A.0003.160214T2300Z-160216T0000Z//O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0007.160214T2300Z-160216T0000Z/MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...HIGHLANDS252 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO7 PM EST MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUEDA WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICHIS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. THE WINTERSTORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.* HAZARDS...SNOW...MIXING WITH AND CHANGING OVER TO SLEET ANDFREEZING RAIN.* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING AND LAST INTO MONDAYMORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET MONDAY MORNING...CHANGINGOVER BRIEFLY TO FREEZING RAIN BY MIDDAY. A CHANGEOVER TO ALLRAIN IS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...ALONG WITHAROUND A TRACE OF ICE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Issued By: NWS Greenville-Spartanburg (Western North Carolina and Northwest South Carolina) Sent: 14:52 EST on 02-14-2016 Effective: 14:52 EST on 02-14-2016 Expires: 00:00 EST on 02-16-2016 Severity: Moderate Urgency: Expected Target Area: Alexander Avery Burke Mountains Caldwell Mountains Eastern McDowell Greater Burke Greater Caldwell McDowell Mountains Mitchell Yancey WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY, .AN ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY WILL MOVE EAST AND SPREAD MOISTURE INTO THIS COLD AIR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WITH COLD AND DRY AIR INITIALLY IN PLACE TONIGHT, THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW THROUGHOUT. THE SNOW WILL CHANGE OVER TO SLEET AND THEN FREEZING RAIN THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY ON MONDAY, BECOMING ALL RAIN IN MOST AREAS BY MONDAY EVENING. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW, SLEET, AND ICE MAY OCCUR, PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY NIGHT, * LOCATIONS, THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS, SNOW, MIXING WITH AND CHANGING OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING, SNOW WILL BEGIN SUNDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH SLEET MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN BY MONDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM JUST ABOVE FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS, SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES, AND UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE. * IMPACTS, ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW, SLEET, AND ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS, SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES, IN THE UPPER 20S. Instructions: A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW, SLEET, AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE, AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Probably makes no difference, but the high today was supposed to be 29 and I have made it to 22. Edited to add, it seems as if all the precip has a trajectory north of Asheville. I assume that will change at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 14, 2016 Share Posted February 14, 2016 Picked up an inch and a half today. Temp is only 13.7. Looks like another batch ready to roll through from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 About 3 inches in Boone and still coming down. I think the back end of the precip may be coming soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 fellows do we ever get snow in Buncombe County, I'm starting to think we don't see any according to the future radar, if its right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 fellows do we ever get snow in Buncombe County, I'm starting to think we don't see any according to the future radar, if its right. Correct. See my post from earlier this morning. So far my forecast is verifying well. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 About 3 inches in Boone and still coming down. I think the back end of the precip may be coming soon I just went over two here. By the way radar looks, that might be it until tomorrow morning and then the warm air. Maybe another inch then rain. That would still be in the 2 - 5 range that the WSW stated. A good call at least for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Light snow here now got the cars coated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lettucesnow Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 fellows do we ever get snow in Buncombe County, I'm starting to think we don't see any according to the future radar, if its right. Wasn't really expecting much from this 'storm', but now I would be happy with >1"...But I agree it doesn't look like we're going to get anything around here any time soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 If the 00z nam is correct it could get very ugly in the mountains with ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 From Chris Justus: Latest 0Z (evening) NAM tracks low 30-50 miles further south compared to 12Z (this (morning) NAM. Also the models didn't show as much activity in northern Alabama that's moving through now. It could arrive after midnight. Likely won't amount to much since we are so dry but it will help moisten up our dew points which are around 2 degrees right now! These are things I'm watching as we "nowcast" this storm. If this trend continues we could be looking at an earlier start and therefore more moisture at the beginning while temps are cold. I'll keep you posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm getting nervous about this storm with the new Nam trending colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Alexander; Avery; Burke Mountains; Caldwell Mountains; Eastern McDowell; Greater Burke; Greater Caldwell; McDowell Mountains; Mitchell; Yancey Winter Storm Warning (North Carolina) Feb 15, at 04:24 AM EST Feb 16, at 00:00 AM EST A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE...AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. PLEASE REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. LEAVE A MESSAGE WITH YOUR OBSERVATION AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED. YOU CAN ALSO POST YOUR REPORT TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG FACEBOOK OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP. ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION TODAY... .A COLD AND DRY ARCTIC AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS MORNING. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY WILL MOVE EAST AND SPREAD MOISTURE OVER THE TOP OF THE COLD AIR THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AS SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND LOCATIONS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 THIS MORNING...AND GRADUALLY SPREAD TO THE REST OF THE REGION...ALBEIT WITH FAIRLY LIGHT AMOUNTS IN THE LOWER PIEDMONT. THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BECOMING ALL RAIN BY EVENING IN MOST OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE SOUTHERN TIER OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. FREEZING PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER THE LONGEST ALONG THE NORTHERN BLUE RIDGE AND ADJACENT FOOTHILL AREAS THIS EVENING. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN MAY OCCUR...PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...SNOW THIS MORNING...MIXING WITH AND CHANGING OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THROUGH THE DAY. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL MIX OVER TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN STARTING AROUND MIDDAY. FREEZING RAIN COULD LINGER WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO RAIN AROUND MIDNIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES EARLY...ALONG WITH A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN LATE. * IMPACTS...ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 MPH ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS...WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. MOUNTAIN WINDS MAY GUST BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH AT TIMES LATE IN THE DAY. * TEMPERATURES...MOSTLY IN THE 20S...RISING INTO THE 30S TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Looks like my heavy snow arrived. Gonna be a fun drive into work soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 HRRR Boone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 what a dud of a storm for Buncombe County, 6 on Monday morning and not a flake of snow and I thought we would at least get an inch out of this storm, started out 1-3 hell I'd take 1/2 inch now. Saturday's surprise snow was a lot more than this. why is it sometimes so cold and dry here where as up north you never hear about to dry to snow, they get a low pressure and as long as its cold it snows with no problem. FRUSTRATED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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