WxBlue Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 There were several HUGE gusts roaring across the parking lot of where we're staying for weather balloon launches. And to think it'll pick up even more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 5 inches with the hardest snow so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 My reports so far 4:30 1:00” 5:30 2:00” 6:00 2:75” 6:50 3:25” Mod snow currently with little wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 is the dry slot filling in. don't quite know why gsp snow maps show Buncombe county with 6-8 now unless that is still to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Surprised to actually hear the wind from inside the house. Snow blowing off the trees. 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Ok good morning guys. Managed to get a couple hours of sleep and looks like we've got a good 5 inched so far. But it's not snowing. Now here where I get confused a little bit. Where is all the other snow supposed to come from?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Meaning that I have no idea how were gonna make the projections... *edit* found the article on the main thread showing the development mid morning but I'm still nervous that might not happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Ok good morning guys. Managed to get a couple hours of sleep and looks like we've got a good 5 inched so far. But it's not snowing. Now here where I get confused a little bit. Where is all the other snow supposed to come from?? I know people rip weather.com but look at their Future projection. It shows that "fire hose" just east of Atlanta moving very slowly over you and adding moisture from the Atlantic. Then it has what it looks like a deform band developing in GA...or could just be radar blowing up back west in GA. Then after all of that, there is the snow in west Tennessee that needs to be watched for Saturday. http://www.weather.com/weather/radar/interactive/l Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Meaning that I have no idea how were gonna make the projections... *edit* found the article on the main thread showing the development mid morning but I'm still nervous that might not happen. looks like on the radar that there is a lot of snow to come thru with the deformation zone and when the low gets cranking on the coast will throw snow west to help enhance the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If the band's keep filling in then we might be good with the deform zone. But I was under the impression that the Atlantic wouldn't be in play til you went farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Great read about what the storm will be like further North: http://jimladueview.blogspot.com/2016/01/if-anything-snow-fall-could-be-even.html Here is part of it: "I'm expecting at some point the excessive mess-alpha scale vertical motion field will sufficient vertical instability to generate lightning, momentarily blinding you in a sheet of brilliant orchid purple. No doubt you'll expect to hear a blast of thunder but with the insulating effect of billions of frozen hydrometeors the sound will be surprisingly muffled. If there is to be lightning, the snow may wind up falling as soft graupel the size of nickels to quarters. Such intense convective frozen precipitation has been documented by Picca et al. (2014) in another epic snowband in Long Island. With temperatures approaching the melting point aloft, some of the grapple may appear refrozen, however the convective nature of the heaviest part of the band will prevent pure sleet. You'd have to be outside the band to see sleet, especially southeast of the district. One thing that may happen is that the band will be sufficiently electrified to charge the snow flakes and soft graupel to the point that it will stick to everything. It's quite likely signs will become caked with snow. Perhaps your car may as well requiring even more frequent wiping with your glove on the highway shoulder, should you find it. With the bad visibility and snow-caked highway signs, you'd better have a GPS enabled map to make sure you don't miss the exit should you wish to bail. If you do bail, make sure you've got 4-wheel drive or chains. There are plenty of hills that will offer up a free uncontrolled ride into something you don't want to hit." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Right on the line here in Bostic (Rutherford) The warm nose wants to press forward as the returns are lighter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Nice return going on right now. flakes have gotten larger. This is the type of bands that need to set up. Im at the red dot. Edit: IP is mixing. Never saw mod- heavy snow with IP mixed in, Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 FYI..the SPC Mesoanaylsis 850 temps numbers are not particularly accurate. For instance, it shows a temperature of 0 Celsius at 850mb but ground report at the same location of Mt. Pisgah is only 17 degrees(-8 C) which is about at the 850 mb level due to its elevation. No doubt the thermal fields in the mountains are very complex this morning due to the interaction of a very dynamic system and terrain. Note: Webcam up on Mt. Pisgah this morning: http://www.brpwebcams.org/cam/10/1 Looks like they are buried in snow...much more snow than Balsam which evidently is getting some shadowing from the SE wind. (For a good view..hit the 24 hour animation loop.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 That map is way off these winds have dropped me into the low 20s and I'm not even in the mountains. I got 23 degree reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mixing here even with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I have just under 6.5 inches already. Radar looks good to me, Check out this spin: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=gwx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Went over to sleet for a little while. Now back to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Current HRRR shows a nice warp around with solid banding. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRSE_CUR/cloop.html I have just under 6.5 inches already. Radar looks good to me, Check out this spin: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=gwx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Nice. Was watching that on the radar. Went over to sleet for a little while. Now back to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Lets talk impacts. So far, the wind is preventing any snow from accumulating on trees or power lines. If that holds, seems to me losing power should be a very low chance. The winds themselves may cause a few issues but the weight of the snow alone shouldn't be the culprit. Thoughts? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Nws is calling for up to another 13 inches for my area through tomorrow. Hopefully we'll get it that would bring me to around 20 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Lets talk impacts. So far, the wind is preventing any snow from accumulating on trees or power lines. If that holds, seems to me losing power should be a very low chance. The winds themselves may cause a few issues but the weight of the snow alone shouldn't be the culprit. Thoughts? Winds on the ground may continue to increase some peaking out around 16Z. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZipTZA.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_ncep_jet:&runTime=2016012209&plotName=gust_t610m&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=25&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=24&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This is the hardest it has snowed since it started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Lets talk impacts. So far, the wind is preventing any snow from accumulating on trees or power lines. If that holds, seems to me losing power should be a very low chance. The winds themselves may cause a few issues but the weight of the snow alone shouldn't be the culprit. Thoughts? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I don't have power lines to look at, but the trees are plastered. I am all for not losing power. How much snow do you have? How do you see this going forward? It continues to pour here. I feel like my location has been optimal for this for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 We haven't had hardly any wind yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I have just under 6.5 inches already. Radar looks good to me, Check out this spin: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=gwx&loop=yes Curse Broken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't have power lines to look at, but the trees are plastered. I am all for not losing power. How much snow do you have? How do you see this going forward? It continues to pour here. I feel like my location has been optimal for this for a change. From my perspective, the forecast is unchanged from yesterday. It seems the HRRR has an excellent handle on things and keeps snow flying in the mountains through 3pm or so with a lull (as has been expected) until the upper low passes overhead. Tonight we see the deformation band come through and then we switch to a classic NWFS event tomorrow morning. Here in southwest Buncombe, we have a solid 6" this morning, pretty much on par with what the GFS and Euro were forecasting by 12Z. If they are right, we have about 6-10" more snow to come today through midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Only a couple of inches here with light flurries. Just not going to be a big snow here. Hoping for maybe 6 when it's all over. I'll take it though because it'll put me over a foot for the year. Glad to see others getting some decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From my perspective, the forecast is unchanged from yesterday. It seems the HRRR has an excellent handle on things and keeps snow flying in the mountains through 3pm or so with a lull (as has been expected) until the upper low passes overhead. Tonight we see the deformation band come through and then we switch to a classic NWFS event tomorrow morning.i like the sound of that. Here in southwest Buncombe, we have a solid 6" this morning, pretty much on par with what the GFS and Euro were forecasting by 12Z. If they are right, we have about 6-10" more snow to come today through midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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