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4th Annual Fall/Winter Thread for the Mountains/Foothills


Met1985

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Under a tornado watch till 3:00am down here in the handle. Nasty storms over in Mississippi. As Mike knows from his knowledge of the area the worst weather is always inland as far as tornadic situations go.

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Watch the severe weather Don. Some of those storms near Mobile are nasty.

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This moderate rain in AVL is worrisome. The wet bulb has been reached....I smell a horrible bust for this front end stuff. I hope the 850 cools as much as the models say...

 

It's worth noting HRRR doesn't change over to snow until 2 am. Still...  850 & 925 are awful indeed.

 

TNtB0MN.png

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Pulled this from the main discussion thread. (Credit to superjames1992)

SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC COAST

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

PREFERENCE: NON-NAM COMPROMISE

CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE

THE 00Z NAM IS A NORTHWARD OUTLIER ALOFT SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE

BECOMING A SLOW OUTLIER THEREAFTER -- THE NAM HAS A BIAS OF

OCCASIONALLY BEING TOO SLOW. A COMPROMISE OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z

ECMWF/12Z CANADIAN/12Z UKMET IS PREFERRED WITH ABOVE AVERAGE

CONFIDENCE.

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