strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hoping to break the cruse in MBY then Ha! Ha! Well, you would think that curse has been beaten down Mark, but it is always lurking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Whose doing pow laps with me at Sugar and Beech Friday/Saturday?! Unfortunately my 4 day run of Sugar and Beech is next weekend. luck of course would have it I'm working this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Well, with the 850s wrapping up as forecast it should at least make it interesting. My friends place in Highlands sits at only about 4900 ft, but I'm confident that snow will fall at an angle and not straight down for at least a while. Today at Purchase Knob at 5000 feet the winds were about 5 mph despite 850 winds at 40 knots+. Nevertheless, hard to say what you will experience but I'm sure it will be interesting. Please let us what you see! Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HT and Mike are both great posters, thanks for your input guys! Here is my call map, might be a little conservative and could push totals higher tomorrow depending on short range evolution and might take away any precipitation for Wilmington area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hoping to break the cruse in MBY then Yeah! Let's hope for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Don wish you where up here bud. Its just not the same man.Thanks 85! That means a lot. It's the price we pay I guess.....Unless your Joe. I'll be with you guys in spirit for sure and really rooting for all. I will also update you guys from the warm sector & let you know what type of thunderstorm activity we get.Edit: didn't see your post Jason thank you also! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Nice map Hvward ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Looks like a good map ward. Looking over the 12z runs the Canadian is actually a little colder at 850 than the euro. So it's not just the euro vs the gfs, and the ukie is probably fairly similar. I wouldn't mind seeing a subtle shift south on the next couple of model cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 wlos saying snow won't start until Friday afternoon. Seems everything I've seen says this should start as snow and pretty much stay snow for the whole event. starting late Thursday or early Friday morning. for the Mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 HT and Mike are both great posters, thanks for your input guys! Here is my call map, might be a little conservative and could push totals higher tomorrow depending on short range evolution and might take away any precipitation for Wilmington area.. I'll take it and say goodnight ! Good luck! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Thanks guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Thanks 85! That means a lot. It's the price we pay I guess.....Unless your Joe. I'll be with you guys in spirit for sure and really rooting for all. I will also update you guys from the warm sector & let you know what type of thunderstorm activity we get. Edit: didn't see your post Jason thank you also! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Hey...What's that suppose to mean.....??? I also remember when Jason started his sit in campaign . And he was dedicated. Poor boy got screwed for a long time. We were so glad to get him back from the dark side and start posting again. Now off-banter, still light/mod snow here. I've picked up almost another inch in the last few hours. Temp has actually gone up a couple of degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Hey...What's that suppose to mean.....??? I also remember when Jason started his sit in campaign . And he was dedicated. Poor boy got screwed for a long time. We were so glad to get him back from the dark side and start posting again. Now off-banter, still light/mod snow here. I've picked up almost another inch in the last few hours. Temp has actually gone up a couple of degrees. It means you get bask in the islands & camp out in a awesome snow fort.....strictly compliments Joe. I wanna live your life! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It means you get bask in the islands & camp out in a awesome snow fort.....strictly compliments Joe. I wanna live your life! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Says the man living on the Florida gulf coast......... Really looking forward to a good ole' fashion snow storm. Anticipation of it is sometimes the best part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The NAM put everybody in the main forum in a sour mood. Good to see so many on here still positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The NAM put everybody in the main forum in a sour mood. Good to see so many on here still positive A lot of people hanging on each run in that thread'. If the euro is north tonight I would be a little concerned. It's teeth grinding time but no where near cliff time! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS is much better than the NAM, but the chance of the 15-20" in AVL are fading quickly. Lucky to get a foot methinks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 It's always posotive in here and at the same time truthful. Spent lot of time growing up in this area, know it well.70s was a kid in northern buncombe and late 80s early 90s WCU. Can't count the days spent 6000 feet up on the parkway in mikes neighborhood lol. Anyway Hvward you need to put that call map in our storm thread. I'd copy and post over there but on the phone. Good luck guys. Post pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Busy times at the Foothills Weather Network tonight... I'm beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GFS is much better than the NAM, but the chance of the 15-20" in AVL are fading quickly. Lucky to get a foot methinks.... Yea, coming back down to Earth a bit, but still the biggest event we've had in quite a while. It looks like about 80% of the GEFS members exceed 12 inches for Asheville still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Yea, all the models have backed down the snow totals for our area, but still 2 things to remember. 1.) all storms have over produced. 2.) A northern trend which we all know has a tendency to happen could give us more snow. I think anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Great updated snowfall map this morning. For me in the southern foothills, GSP has increase totals from 2-3" Im at the yellow dot. Living in the isothermal has it issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 As one who wanted no part of a 15 to 20" snowfall I like seeing the trends toward something less destructive (i.e. something I can enjoy vs. worry about). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Great updated snowfall map this morning. For me in the southern foothills, GSP has increase totals from 2-3" Im at the yellow dot. Living in the isothermal has it issues Screen Shot 2016-01-21 at 5.20.10 AM.png That's a significant increase in my area. Goes from 8 to almost 14 inches. It's go time pretty much. You can only model watch so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 21, 2016 Author Share Posted January 21, 2016 Gsp has upped totals from 8 to 18 inches. I think that's a good range to cover all that may fall. 8 inches is still significant but a foot plus can be catastrophic especially here in the mountains where people forget how to drive in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 That's a significant increase in my area. Goes from 8 to almost 14 inches. It's go time pretty much. You can only model watch so much. I see that they are going crazy in the Balsams with up to 20". There will be extreme upslope in the Southern Balsams with something like hurricane force winds at cloud level. (With such high winds, the upslope enhancement may carry further into Haywood/Jackson counties than it normally would with winds out of the South or SE.) Looking at point soundings..still too close to call on just how much of the precip will actually fall as snow or really just how much precip there will be. The latest NAM appears to be too low on QPF locally but I am still very pleased about the Northern Virginia grand slam! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 My nws forecast is showing me 10-20 inches I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Most of you guys are in a better spot than me on this. If I can get into the 6-10 range it would be a win in my book. Looking at the 6z gfs and rgem they are both a lot colder back this way and imply mostly frozen with very little rain per the precip type accumulation from wxbell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 GSP has me between 9-17in. I'll gladly take it, would like to see all snow. I'm worried about sleet cutting my totals down, but its way better than frzr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 The 0z cmc is even colder at 850 than its 12z run! It keeps almost all the mtns even a few counties down into north georgia below freezing at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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