nrgjeff Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 I'm sorry the NC fall foliage disappointed some. Looks like the Blue Ridge was great; and, Linville was gorgeous a couple weeks ago. Understand wind and rain, and perhaps early summer heat, caused a poor lead-up for lower elevations. Let your heart not be troubled though. If you can do a road trip, the Tennessee side might be good this weekend. I'm talking about 2,500 FT or so. Our Cumberland Plateau and gulfs (overlooks) should be pretty. A little closer the Cherokee National Forest should be good in the 2-3K zone. Above 3,500 FT will be past peak this side too. Forecast is based on the Tennessee Side of the Cherohala Skyway dazzling last weekend, and may do so again in the 2-3.5K zone. See my pix in Banter, Tennessee Valley sub-forum. Only issue might be clouds. Some say the more even light makes better pictures on the trail. However mountain pics tend to be less brilliant, unless filtered or enhanced. I will be back on your side plenty this winter. Sugar has a high-speed lift to go with that new run. Nino might also help our friends in southwest NC like Catalooche et all. Always something to look forward to, so keep hope alive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Some here in the valley need to give it a few days before giving up on seeing good fall color. We usually don't peak until late October and I am starting to see some really pretty undertones beginning to show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 I'm sorry the NC fall foliage disappointed some. Looks like the Blue Ridge was great; and, Linville was gorgeous a couple weeks ago. Understand wind and rain, and perhaps early summer heat, caused a poor lead-up for lower elevations. Let your heart not be troubled though. If you can do a road trip, the Tennessee side might be good this weekend. I'm talking about 2,500 FT or so. Our Cumberland Plateau and gulfs (overlooks) should be pretty. A little closer the Cherokee National Forest should be good in the 2-3K zone. Above 3,500 FT will be past peak this side too. Forecast is based on the Tennessee Side of the Cherohala Skyway dazzling last weekend, and may do so again in the 2-3.5K zone. See my pix in Banter, Tennessee Valley sub-forum. Only issue might be clouds. Some say the more even light makes better pictures on the trail. However mountain pics tend to be less brilliant, unless filtered or enhanced. I will be back on your side plenty this winter. Sugar has a high-speed lift to go with that new run. Nino might also help our friends in southwest NC like Catalooche et all. Always something to look forward to, so keep hope alive! That's what I've been hearing as well. My friends and I are thinking about hitting up NC/TN border this weekend for more fall foliage sightings. Some here in the valley need to give it a few days before giving up on seeing good fall color. We usually don't peak until late October and I am starting to see some really pretty undertones beginning to show. I know Asheville is still quite a way from peak, but leaves that did turn over early on didn't look great. Hopefully rest of trees in the city make up for it in next two weeks, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 27, 2015 Author Share Posted October 27, 2015 Typical fall day here in the mountains. Current temp is 45 degrees with moderate rain and some gusts of wind about 20 to 30 mph. More high wind to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 I've picked up 4.10 since Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 29, 2015 Author Share Posted October 29, 2015 I've picked up 4.10 since Saturday.Nice Rainforrest! Not quite that much here. Just at 2.85 inches but I'll take it. Was a good steady rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 29, 2015 Author Share Posted October 29, 2015 Even though the radar is not showing up any rain we are getting some steady rain this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 2, 2015 Share Posted November 2, 2015 Picked up 1.12 overnight with moderate rain still falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 2, 2015 Author Share Posted November 2, 2015 Picked up 1.12 overnight with moderate rain still falling.Yeah we have been getting hammered overnight with moderate to heavy rainfall. So far we are at 1.87 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 5, 2015 Share Posted November 5, 2015 First chance for higher mountain snow flakes looks to be coming on Monday. this one could have Mikes mountain in play. Looks like warm air advection could eventually win out but above 5000' I bet we see some flakes before a switchover happens. GFS has surface temps at 38 in the valley just before the precip moves in, while they Euro keeps around 42 degrees. Not a good early setup for the valleys, but it will be neat to see if anyone with elevation gets a flake or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 5, 2015 Author Share Posted November 5, 2015 First chance for higher mountain snow flakes looks to be coming on Monday. this one could have Mikes mountain in play. Looks like warm air advection could eventually win out but above 5000' I bet we see some flakes before a switchover happens. GFS has surface temps at 38 in the valley just before the precip moves in, while they Euro keeps around 42 degrees. Not a good early setup for the valleys, but it will be neat to see if anyone with elevation gets a flake or two.Thanks ward. Have not even been paying that close to this recently. Have been doing some camping recently in the Pisgah national forest near Big East Fork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted November 5, 2015 Share Posted November 5, 2015 First chance for higher mountain snow flakes looks to be coming on Monday. this one could have Mikes mountain in play. Looks like warm air advection could eventually win out but above 5000' I bet we see some flakes before a switchover happens. GFS has surface temps at 38 in the valley just before the precip moves in, while they Euro keeps around 42 degrees. Not a good early setup for the valleys, but it will be neat to see if anyone with elevation gets a flake or two. I decided to look as far as possible into the crystal ball and I don't see I definite snow signal in the higher elevations until around December 6th per the fun/entertaining CFS besides a few minor NW flow events before then. Of course, that far out all solutions should be ignored but I have seen several times now on the CFS these strong cold upper level lows with a rather non-standard movement that have strong cold air advection coming in from the SW with decent orographics which would bury the Balsams if they ever actually materialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 5, 2015 Share Posted November 5, 2015 I decided to look as far as possible into the crystal ball and I don't see I definite snow signal in the higher elevations until around December 6th per the fun/entertaining CFS besides a few minor NW flow events before then. Of course, that far out all solutions should be ignored but I have seen several times now on the CFS these strong cold upper level lows with a rather non-standard movement that have strong cold air advection coming in from the SW with decent orographics which would bury the Balsams if they ever actually materialized. Well I said chance not definite, so no need to get out the crystal ball.. I havent had a chance to look at upper level sounds but I was just going off of seeing surface temps at KAVL at 37 and then applyed WALR. My sounding on AMWX havent been working recently. Models show this low temp bullseye over the Balsams so above 5500' I believe has a chance to see sleet/freezing rain or a few flakes at the onset. If it doesn't happen I guess I was wrong for saying that there was a chance lol. Hopefully Dec 6th works out for us though, but It might be a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 5, 2015 Share Posted November 5, 2015 Thanks ward. Have not even been paying that close to this recently. Have been doing some camping recently in the Pisgah national forest near Big East Fork. Nice man! Glad you got to go, I am pretty jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted November 5, 2015 Share Posted November 5, 2015 Well I said chance not definite, so no need to get out the crystal ball.. I havent had a chance to look at upper level sounds but I was just going off of seeing surface temps at KAVL at 37 and then applyed WALR. My sounding on AMWX havent been working recently. Models show this low temp bullseye over the Balsams so above 5500' I believe has a chance to see sleet/freezing rain or a few flakes at the onset. If it doesn't happen I guess I was wrong for saying that there was a chance lol. Hopefully Dec 6th works out for us though, but It might be a bust. Sounding very warm due to WAA so despite the cool surface temps...the freezing level is extremely high. For all those waiting for snow, most forecasts suggest a rather late start to Winter so some patience is in order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 18z gfs has the first fantasy flakes of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 6, 2015 Author Share Posted November 6, 2015 Nice man! Glad you got to go, I am pretty jealous.Yeah it was very nice. Hiked in about 2 miles and stayed right on the river. Just spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 9, 2015 Author Share Posted November 9, 2015 Pretty chilly night with a temp of 43 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted November 9, 2015 Share Posted November 9, 2015 Pretty chilly night with a temp of 43 degrees. Highs may only be in the 20's this coming weekend in the highest elevations. At the moment, GFS moisture profiles look too meager for snow south of Snowshoe, WV but probably worth keeping an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Finished up my fall time-lapse of WNC today. Hope you guys enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Fantastic work, Hvward! I really liked the sunset time lapse and the final northern sky time lapse. It was all great artistry, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Fantastic work, Hvward! I really liked the sunset time lapse and the final northern sky time lapse. It was all great artistry, though. Thanks Calc! We live in such a beautiful part of the world! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 3.15 yesterday and 6.54 the last 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 10, 2015 Author Share Posted November 10, 2015 Highs may only be in the 20's this coming weekend in the highest elevations. At the moment, GFS moisture profiles look too meager for snow south of Snowshoe, WV but probably worth keeping an eye on it.Yeah with the pattern I do not see us seeing any snow this month at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 10, 2015 Author Share Posted November 10, 2015 Finished up my fall time-lapse of WNC today. Hope you guys enjoy! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6kfssOnNE_E Great job Ward! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 10, 2015 Author Share Posted November 10, 2015 3.15 yesterday and 6.54 the last 10 days.This could be setting up as one of the wettest Novembers in quite a while. Impressive. We had 2.56 inches yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 Great job Ward! Thanks Met! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 Finished up my fall time-lapse of WNC today. Hope you guys enjoy! Holy cow, the quality of this video is incredible. I can tell you changed a few things from last year's timelapse! Sadly, I won't have time to put together my timelapse until break from school start in early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 11, 2015 Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 Going to be a frosty morning! Already down to 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 Ray with Raysweather reports: "At my house just east of Boone, near Bamboo Gap, 27.38" has been recorded in the last 10 weeks" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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