snowbird1230 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Some icy conditions in Graham County at the moment..Salt trucks are treating some roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Rain snow mix this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Rain snow mix this morning. nice, wish it were more for you guys. Maybe late next week. That period looks pretty good for such a long lead! Not wanting to discount the inch or so you could get this weekend. At least there are more chances lately, though I guess one is probably more than we have had up until this point.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 nice, wish it were more for you guys. Maybe late next week. That period looks pretty good for such a long lead! Not wanting to discount the inch or so you could get this weekend. At least there are more chances lately, though I guess one is probably more than we have had up until this point.. lolensembles continue to beat the drum for next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Snowing on Mt Mitchell: http://www.nchighpeaks.org/cam3/slideshow.php Watching the webcam for my Mtn..looked like it might have started as snow but then switched over to liquid but the top of the mountain is obscured. http://www.saunookweather.com/wxwebcam.php From Davis Weather Link data...The temperature at 4400 feet is 36...about 5000 it is 35...at 6500 feet near Mt. Mitchell it is 32. EDIT: Appears to be raining there now as well. EDIT: Now Heavy snow there as of 1 PM and 33 degrees. Appears to change to snow during heavier precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 15, 2016 Author Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yeah we started out as a bit of a mix but boy is this a cold rain. Temp as the house is 34 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Despite recent runs, I'm not convinced we'll see more than an inch in Asheville through the weekend. If we get 2-3" around here, that's a win to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 With the way the models haven't been able to completely lock down the system yet I think the safe bet of around an inch is a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I'm going to my dad's house in Marion this weekend and if they get an inch i will be ecstatic. I think it is a decent possibility though, all the models now except the NAM are showing some light snow at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Despite recent runs, I'm not convinced we'll see more than an inch in Asheville through the weekend. If we get 2-3" around here, that's a win to me. I am going with 1-3" and some possible surprises. These type events usually surprise people and make WLOS look really bad. The orientation of this flow favors the valleys around here so don't be surprised to wake up to .5" and it still falling Sunday morning. Heck tomorrow morning could even give some in the French Broad Valley a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 In these types of systems the snow line starts on 221 right before entering McDowell heading into Marion. Normally cuts Rutherford in half. Normally I'm going to my dad's house in Marion this weekend and if they get an inch i will be ecstatic. I think it is a decent possibility though, all the models now except the NAM are showing some light snow at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 and make WLOS look really bad. The Farmers Almanac makes WLOS look bad on most days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 In these types of systems the snow line starts on 221 right before entering McDowell heading into Marion. Normally cuts Rutherford in half. Normally The thermal city divide? Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 In these types of systems the snow line starts on 221 right before entering McDowell heading into Marion. Normally cuts Rutherford in half. Normally Yea thats the classic cut off right there.. I remember one storm in the early 2000's where Marion only got an inch or so but we drove down to Rutherfordton and you had 4-6 inches... pretty rare for that to happen but it does on occasion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 You know it. I alway blame it on the Thermal belt . lol The thermal city divide? Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Mt. Mitchell is getting plastered right now with snow GEEZ.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Snowing on Mt Mitchell: http://www.nchighpeaks.org/cam3/slideshow.php Watching the webcam for my Mtn..looked like it might have started as snow but then switched over to liquid but the top of the mountain is obscured. http://www.saunookweather.com/wxwebcam.php From Davis Weather Link data...The temperature at 4400 feet is 36...about 5000 it is 35...at 6500 feet near Mt. Mitchell it is 32. EDIT: Appears to be raining there now as well. EDIT: Now Heavy snow there as of 1 PM and 33 degrees. Appears to change to snow during heavier precip. Webcam shows Mt. Mitchell getting pounded with accumulating snow...pleased high elevation forecast is sort of verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeeMeTalk Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Just changed over the snow on Beech/Sugar. Hopefully it stay.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Signal there for wed and next friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Webcam shows Mt. Mitchell getting pounded with accumulating snow...pleased high elevation forecast is sort of verifying. I'd say so man, nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Had the proverbial " 33 degrees and rain" here for most of the morning. I did see maybe 12 snowflakes though. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 16, 2016 Author Share Posted January 16, 2016 Had the proverbial " 33 degrees and rain" here for most of the morning. I did see maybe 12 snowflakes though. Pathetic. Lol hold on Joe! We may see some snow yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 WPC says to watch near Jan21st. 30% probs from West Jefferson to Mount Mitchell for .25 liquid equiv of snow/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 NWS has a strange forecast this morning for my area tonight and tomorrow.. 40% chance of HEAVY Snow. Accumulations less than a half inch..Does that make sense to anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 16, 2016 Author Share Posted January 16, 2016 NWS has a strange forecast this morning for my area tonight and tomorrow.. 40% chance of HEAVY Snow. Accumulations less than a half inch..Does that make sense to anyone else?Lol no. I think things are going to have to develop before any increase in accumulation. This is a tricky forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 9z sref mean at KAVl is .78, which doesn't sound like much, but it is up from .29 at 3z, so a definite improvement. Boone is up to 1.3 from .26. Trends, hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I'd say so man, nice! Thanks! Unfortunately my own mountain missed out and only around a inch fell in the Balsams; only the very top of Mt Mitchell received the heavy snow...the report I saw at the 6200 foot level ranger station was less than 1 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 So very close yesterday. Even Bastardi mentioned this morning yesterday's storm should have been one of the big snows for the winter up the Appalachian Chain into the NE He said the problem was just too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Here is my call map, I think this one could over perform here in WNC. Get that phase to happen a little earlier and we could do pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 Nice map Hvward. Very well done. Based on the way our last rain storm over performed, it certainly seems reasonable. At this point, I would take an inch of snow and run, and if we could beat that, it would just be a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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