MikeGold Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 just running some quick math those numbers don't add up. Just what we got over the last 6 years and march 93 it's not adding up, I'm not even including Jan 96 or the mid/late 80's winters. Perhaps they averaged in this season all ready and it knocked the average down? Wow...I'm just not feeling the love. Still give it less than 50% chance of a major snow the rest of the month. Regarding February, it very likely will be milder than January so it probably will not salvage the season either. (Here at my Michigan residence..beautiful wind blown snow this morning and stranded at home with nothing to do but watch it fall!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Snowing in ashe now...what lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 HRRR is still going with few afternoon flurries for border counties and maybe even Asheville. Probably minor accumulation in high elevation areas between AVL and Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 HRRR is still going with few afternoon flurries for border counties and maybe even Asheville. Probably minor accumulation in high elevation areas between AVL and Boone.Yep moisture looks decent I guess lol. I think Asheville sees a brief snow shower between like 3-5pm. Who knows though.. More NWF looks possible Friday night into Saturday.I also haven't given up on the Sunday storm. We sit in a good spot guys, and I think the models are finally getting a grip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Flakes beginning to fly here in Boone at 2:23pm Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Same here in WJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Not to mention the wind is really starting to rip too Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Enjoy it boys. Hopefully you can get the car tops and garbage can lids covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Right on time with this morning's HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Winds gusting to 68 mph on Mt. Mitchell at the 6200 foot level.(Too bad no measurement at the peak tower) Light snow falling on my mtn as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Coming down pretty good here in Boone. Wind is really whipping too. Amazing out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 Yeah having some on and off snow. Wind is ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 The heaviest appears to be over. Question. Was reading Matthew easts blog earlier and he says most of the precipitation in the mountains on Friday would be a wet snow... I love East but what is he talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Well, that was a bunch of nothing. Just enough to coat the ground, barely. Windy with a temp of 25.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 Well, that was a bunch of nothing. Just enough to coat the ground, barely. Windy with a temp of 25.7.Lol yeah this is sad. We may have more possibilities shortly but I am not sold on anything at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Hard not to get excited about the potential next weekend after the winter we've had. Keeping expectations low for right now though. I'd take a dusting at this rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 Hard not to get excited about the potential next weekend after the winter we've had. Keeping expectations low for right now though. I'd take a dusting at this rate I'd take a dusting in a heart beat down here in the hills! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 So multiple sources are switching to a mostly snowy solution for friday, this will be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 So multiple sources are switching to a mostly snowy solution for friday, this will be fun.I saw that also. But I don't see it on the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 So multiple sources are switching to a mostly snowy solution for friday, this will be fun.mid levels are a furnace don't see how it snows until some upslope kicks in behind the departing low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 mid levels are a furnace don't see how it snows until some upslope kicks in behind the departing low.Yeah Robert had a good write up tonight on Facebook. Just talked about some decent upslope. We will see. Not excited at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 I would be cautiously optimistic about out upcoming storm chances. You just never know about these systems. The strength, the cold , and the track. Remember last year's storm looked great but was not nearly as strong. Let's get this in 2 days under. Let's see what the models say Friday then maybe we can get a little more optimistic about things. Until then we watch and wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 Also as we see the euro is suppressed. It's very hard to go against the euro at this time frame. We will see but don't get your hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yea the Euro usually excels with southern stream energy, hard to believe the GFS at this point, I wouldnt be surprised if the GFS backs off some next run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yea the Euro usually excels with southern stream energy, hard to believe the GFS at this point, I wouldnt be surprised if the GFS backs off some next runIt would be mass hysteria if the gfs lost the whole storm. I would be pissed but it would be funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 It would be mass hysteria if the gfs lost the whole storm. I would be pissed but it would be funny. Yea people are already getting close to the cliff, that would push some over it.. I really wouldnt be surprised if we get shutout in the foothills and piedmont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 Yea people are already getting close to the cliff, that would push some over it.. I really wouldnt be surprised if we get shutout in the foothills and piedmontShoot iv been thinking we may get shutout the way things have been going. It's funny watching the main thread people trying to talk themselves into wanting to really believe the gfs but knowing how many times the gfs has burnt them in the past. It's just so hard to get a great storm in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Shoot iv been thinking we may get shutout the way things have been going. It's funny watching the main thread people trying to talk themselves into wanting to really believe the gfs but knowing how many times the gfs has burnt them in the past. It's just so hard to get a great storm in the SE. If you look at one of my posts in the climatology topic you will see how a lot of our winters are similar one season to the next season as far as snowfall is concerned. Many times a snowless winter will breed another one its happened 5-6 times the past 30 years. I truly believe there is weight to the notion of snow droughts regardless of patterns and indices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Shoot iv been thinking we may get shutout the way things have been going. It's funny watching the main thread people trying to talk themselves into wanting to really believe the gfs but knowing how many times the gfs has burnt them in the past. It's just so hard to get a great storm in the SE. i'm praising the GFS right now. i'm so tired of being shutout i'm going extreme against the Euro lol. *Edit* Not something I recommend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 i'm praising the GFS right now. i'm so tired of being shutout i'm going extreme against the Euro lol. *Edit* Not something I recommend. lol I hear yeah. I want some snow to man but at a cautious look from 5 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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