OHweather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 I'm sure Lake Nipigon just provides the initial lift, but Superior and Lake Michigan provide 99% of the moisture that gets to me. This band actually was almost all the way to Bay City earlier. The thing about Lake Nipigon, its influence ends almost by Dec 1st. It spends the next 5 months frozen over. Oh, definitely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 First flakes of the season imby Sent from my XT1563 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 First flakes of the season imbySent from my XT1563 First flakes of the season imbySent from my XT1563 First flakes of the season imbySent from my XT1563 Congrats ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Not sure where the quote came from........ An official weather office recording station in N. London a 1/4 mile from where I lived at the time in London recorded 60" in a 5 day stretch in Dec'77, so we do have our moments. I remember Dec. 2010. One of the greatest London events ever, that band was so strong and they just got pummeled. I think some totals were over 50". Did you guys get hit bad by this one? Location snowfall amounts (cm snow) London 45-55 London aiport 53 Southeast of London 65-70 Lucan (northwest of London) 114 That band had insane returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 It looks like one of the Wunderground webcams in northern London has a little snow on the grass. It looks like the band will setup a little west of where it is now and persist in a similar location for several hours, so the worst may just miss London. Could be an interesting site later this morning. The bands in the northern LP of MI and UP near and east of MQT are fairly intense and it's certainly cold enough for accums there. The bands are moving a little bit which will hopefully keep things under control. The HRRR keeps spitting out a good amount of QPF overnight into the morning east Marquette and also between Lake MI and I-75 in northwest lower MI. Hopefully someone who posts here gets lucky and wakes up to a couple inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 No accumulations as of 7:30am. Band set up several miles west of me. Sent from my XT1563 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slow poke Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Just woke up to a light dusting here, Higgins Lake MI. Maybe 1/2" but snowing lightly still. I'll take a few pictures when the sun comes up more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Nothing here in the west end of London either. Just a few random flakes coming down, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 Just started to snow. Exeter radar is showing the band has shifted east a bit. Sent from my XT1563 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Bands too shifty to get anything decent but a nice first snow. Between yesterday and last night, I've had almost 2". A cold day on tap. only 23 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 Just started to snow. Exeter radar is showing the band has shifted east a bit. Sent from my XT1563 No accumulations as of 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 The Georgian Bay band is doing a lot better (right now). From the alignment of the winds you can see it has better fetch going and a more unidirectional flow pattern than the Lake Huron/London band. Colder temps to the north obviously help too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 The Georgian Bay band is doing a lot better (right now). From the alignment of the winds you can see it has better fetch going and a more unidirectional flow pattern than the Lake Huron/London band. Colder temps to the north obviously help too. If winds veer a bit more(which is shown on the HRRR for this aft) the band should be able to extend further south as topography and slightly better fetch allow it to extend out from the lip of the bay. I have noticed that the larger the N component to the wind, the more confined the band is to areas likes Meaford/Shelburne/markdale etc. I can see the band shifting from C-W to Northern york region this afternoon. As sfc temps heat up and 850's stay AOB -7c it would make sense that some pop up snow showers will extend well away from the snowbelts. Some flakes into the GTA seems possible IMO between 1-4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 It looks like the band off of Lake Huron has only produced a small area of meaningful accumulations thus far closer to the lake. It's been sort of cellular in nature and not really focused which has probably been hurting it. The Georgian Bay band also looks a little cellular but may be a little bit more focused near the shoreline, so it could be producing some better accums in a smaller area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 It looks like the band off of Lake Huron has only produced a small area of meaningful accumulations thus far closer to the lake. It's been sort of cellular in nature and not really focused which has probably been hurting it. The Georgian Bay band also looks a little cellular but may be a little bit more focused near the shoreline, so it could be producing some better accums in a smaller area. Any chance of accumulations tonight in the London area? It's looking like we are just going to get flurries today w/ no acc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Any chance of accumulations tonight in the London area? It's looking like we are just going to get flurries today w/ no acc.It's possible this evening as the winds gain a bit more of a westerly component ahead of a trough moving through. I'm a little surprised the band hasn't been more organized this morning, but maybe you can get some heavy bursts and quick accums this evening. I'd feel more confident a little farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 It's possible this evening as the winds gain a bit more of a westerly component ahead of a trough moving through. I'm a little surprised the band hasn't been more organized this morning, but maybe you can get some heavy bursts and quick accums this evening. I'd feel more confident a little farther north.Alright, thanksSent from my XT1563 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Picked up little over 2 inches here since yesterday. big winner down near kalkasaka over 5 inches were reported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Picked up little over 2 inches here since yesterday. big winner down near kalkasaka over 5 inches were reported.Pretty impressive. These early season with a ton of instability never seem to completely behave, do they? Marquette got a rather unexpected 2-4" too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 I just had a very brief Lake Effect snow shower.... in Hillsdale. Don't know how it popped up, but it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 First flakes of the season here in North York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Had a couple decent snow showers so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 No accumulations as of 3:20pm. Sent from my XT1563 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Picked up little over 2 inches here since yesterday. big winner down near kalkasaka over 5 inches were reported. Yep. 5.7" near Kalkaska. From a friend on Facebook: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Congrats Michigan folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 No accumulations as of 3:20pm. Sent from my XT1563 Had some nice fluffy flakes driving between London and Stratford today. Nothing accumulated though. But I'm on the board for the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 I just had a very brief Lake Effect snow shower.... in Hillsdale. Don't know how it popped up, but it did. I notice now DTX has "Isolated Snow Showers" in my Forecast. Yet to see anything though, and it's quite warm still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 I notice now DTX has "Isolated Snow Showers" in my Forecast. Yet to see anything though, and it's quite warm still. Saw some flurries this afternoon around 4pm. Was not expecting it. Snowflakes too, no rain, no graupel. DTW already on the board for the 2015-16 with a T. Temps are in the low-mid 40s but dewpoints in the low-mid 20s. The temp drops when a shower falls. A friend said he had a nice snow shower in Commerce Township today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Any word on accums downwind of Lake Huron or Georgian Bay? There have been very strong radar returns in those bands all day. With the extreme instability I still don't want to rule out a decent accum tonight in localized areas where any bands sit...even NW PA could still do locally OK in the higher terrain if a good Huron-Erie connection remains in place overnight which seems like a good possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Any word on accums downwind of Lake Huron or Georgian Bay? There have been very strong radar returns in those bands all day. With the extreme instability I still don't want to rule out a decent accum tonight in localized areas where any bands sit...even NW PA could still do locally OK in the higher terrain if a good Huron-Erie connection remains in place overnight which seems like a good possibility. Looks like they got hit good. https://mobile.twitter.com/vaughanweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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