lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I'm going to Eden, will take some pics/videos.looks like the northern edge of that band has slipped just south of Eden center. Drive carefully. The webcams of the thruway are insane. Total whiteout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 I made it already! 10 mins whiteout conditions here. Going for walk by Eden school. Definitely over a foot with heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 15" average snow depth rates 1-2" per hour but increasing now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Eden will easily top 2 feet from round 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Uh oh travel advisorys going up all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Should probably head back before I get stuck here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 I have like 4 more videos being uploaded to YouTube now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Just got home travel bans were going up and didn't want to get stuck at the in laws house. posting pics and vids soon.What a difference a few miles make. 6" in water valley, 18" in Eden town, 20"+ South eden hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Nice vids/pics ayuud! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Just got home travel bans were going up and didn't want to get stuck at the in laws house. posting pics and vids soon.What a difference a few miles make. 6" in water valley, 18" in Eden town, 20"+ South eden hills. Dude Boston had like 6-8" and that was 5 hours ago, with snowfall rates of 3"+ and a nearly stationary band they must be approaching 2ft+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Nice vids/pics ayuud! Thanks man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 The band coming off Ontario is always a thing of beauty with a fetch like this. Nothing quite like it anywhere else in the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTSSNOWFALL OF/INCHES/ MEASUREMENTNEW YORK...ERIE COUNTY...EVANS CENTER 18.0 100 PM 1/11 EMERGENCY MNGRANGOLA 15.0 100 PM 1/11 DEPT OF HIGHWAYSNORTH COLLINS 10.5 1230 PM 1/11 PUBLIC...LEWIS COUNTY...LOWVILLE 21.0 100 PM 1/11 AMATEUR RADIOGLENFIELD 19.0 245 PM 1/11 TRAINED SPOTTER6 S LOWVILLE 11.0 1230 PM 1/11 TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Pure Beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Wow 3 feet of snow being reported near West Falls@!, here are some pics taken in Brant on rt 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Hot off the press! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016NYZ010-120430-/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0003.160112T1500Z-160113T0300Z//O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160112T0600Z/NORTHERN ERIE-INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO319 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM ESTTUESDAY......LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM ESTTUESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECTSNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM ESTTUESDAY.* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY.* TIMING...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 AM TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY EVENING.* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SOUTHTOWNS. 4 TO 7 INCHES TUESDAY...AND UP TO 2 INCHES TUESDAY EVENING PRODUCING TOTALS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS IN THE SECOND EVENT.* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWIN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILLBE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES INROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OFWEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILSCAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INBUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO [email protected] THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAGBUFWX&&$$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Wow 3 feet of snow being reported near West Falls@!, here are some pics taken in Brant on rt 5 Based on obs and radar, nws numbers seem very underdone. Wouldn't rule out 6' somewhere on Tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Based on obs and radar, nws numbers seem very underdone. Wouldn't rule out 6' somewhere on Tug. Check out the latest AFD! STRONG LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS CONTINUE EAST OF BOTH LAKES THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE ERIE...LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS REMAINED STATIONARY THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH SOME IMPRESSIVE ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 18 INCHES IN THE HARDEST HIT LOCATIONS...WHILE SUNNY SKIES CURRENTLY GRACE MUCH OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. UPSTREAM DATA SHOWS A NOTABLE NORTHWARD TREND OVER THE WESTERN LAKE ERIE BASIN...SO THE QUIET WEATHER OVER AT LEAST SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NIAGARA FRONTIER WILL CHANGE FOR THE WORSE...PROBABLY AFTER DARK. FROM A COMMUTING STANDPOINT...MOST AREAS WITHIN METRO BUFFALO SHOULD FAIR OKAY EXCEPT FOR THOSE TRAVELLING TO AND PAST THE SOUTHTOWNS...WHERE CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE. ONCE THE BAND STARTS MOVING INTO THE METRO BUFFALO AREA...EXPECT IT TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT WARM WHILE FLOW QUICKLY BACKS TOWARD THE SOUTH. THEREFORE...WILL LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS WITH TIME AS THE BAND MOVES NORTHWARD...ENDING THE LAKE EFFECT ALTOGETHER BEFORE MIDNIGHT. LAKE ONTARIO...A BAND HERE IS ALSO REMAINED STATIONARY WITH UPSTREAM CONTRIBUTIONS FROM BOTH LAKE HURON AND THE GEORGIAN BAY...LEADING TO INITIAL TOTALS PROBABLY IN EXCESS OF 2 FEET. THIS BAND TOO IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH DURING THE EVENING AND ALSO DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN NY...EXPECT ONLY LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE REGION. THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT FAR WESTERN NY JUST BEFORE OR AROUND DAYBREAK. ON TUESDAY...NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE...AS WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WNY...SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE AROUND OR BEFORE THE AFTERNOON. THIS...COMBINED WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME IMPRESSIVE ALBEIT SOMEWHAT SHORT-LIVED SNOW RATES OVER THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. WILL THEREFORE ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR NIAGARA AND NORTHERN ERIE COUNTIES...AND ADVISORIES FOR THE COUNTIES FURTHER EAST FOR THIS ENHANCEMENT. NORMALLY A CLIPPER WOULD ONLY DROP A FEW INCHES AS IT QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH...BUT WITH LAKE EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS SOARING TO ABOVE 15000FT WITH A WELL ALIGNED WSW FLOW...THE COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC SNOW...LAKE ENHANCEMENT...FRONTAL PASSAGE...TOGETHER WITH WIND GUSTS TO 30MPH CREATING BLOWING SNOW AND SOME WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...FEEL IT IS WARRANTED TO GO ABOVE MODEL QPF. DAYTIME AMOUNTS SHOULD REACH 4-8 INCHES...MUCH OF THIS OCCURRING IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER ORLEANS AND GENESEE COUNTIES. SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE...THERE WILL BE MINIMAL LAKE ENHANCEMENT UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT WITH ONGOING SYNOPTIC SNOW...WILL START THE WARNING FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE IN THE AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE HIGHEST TOWARD SOUTHERN METRO BUFFALO HOWEVER...WITH DAYTIME ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 3-6 INCHES...TAILING OFF SOME TO THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION...MOST AREAS FROM THE GENESEE VALLEY EAST SHOULD SEE 1-3 INCHES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT ENHANCEMENT MAY START TO TAKE SHAPE NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS THE FLOW BEGINS TO BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY...AND WILL THEREFORE START THE NEXT LAKE EFFECT WARNING IN THE AFTERNOON FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. -- End Changed Discussion -- && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...LAKE PARAMETERS BECOME INCREASINGLYFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES IN A GENERAL 280-290 FLOW REGIME. 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO NEAR -18C WILL CERTAINLY GENERATE EXTREME OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY WITH LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEARING 18K FEET. MODEL SOUNDINGS KEEP THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE PEGGED WITHIN THE CLOUD LAYER WHICH WILL LIKELY YIELD SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOURS FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE LAKE SNOWS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWARD AS THE FLOW BACKS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. THIS MAY BRING SOME DECENT SNOWFALL VERY CLOSE TO THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS DEPENDING ON JUST HOW MUCH THE FLOW BACKS. TEMPERATUREWISE...MID WINTER TEMPERATURES WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING INTO THE 20S TO LOW 30S EACH DAY AND DIPPING INTO THE TEENS EACH NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 We had so many downers on this event a few days ago, yet the analogs said we all get hammered. Feels good man! I;m telling ya the GGEM catches on to LES trends the fastest of all models, followed by Euro and than GFS in longer range. Obviously mesocale models and high res do the best close up to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 We had so many downers on this event a few days ago, yet the analogs said we all get hammered. Feels good man! I;m telling ya the GGEM catches on to LES trends the fastest of all models, followed by Euro and than GFS in longer range. Obviously mesocale models and high res do the best close up to the event. Man i got to give it to the canadian and the euro with this one, goofus was all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Man i got to give it to the canadian and the euro with this one, goofus was all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 That's just for event 1. Wonder if the tug can pull out 100"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 That's just for event 1. Wonder if the tug can pull out 100"? That Ontario band is CRANKING, 21" of snow fell in Lowville from 9 am-1 pm today! that's 5" per hour. insanity,, :arrowhead: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 Getting destroyed here for last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2016 Share Posted January 11, 2016 Getting destroyed here for last hour. What's the snowfall rate? Fingers crossed it holds together as it lifts northward through the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 What's the snowfall rate? Fingers crossed it holds together as it lifts northward through the city. 2-3" Per Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2016 Author Share Posted January 11, 2016 NYZ010-012-019-085-112045- SOUTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-WYOMING-NORTHERN ERIE- 224 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA...NORTHERN WYOMING...AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES... AT 217 PM EST...A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW PRODUCING SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR WAS LOCATED FROM NEAR DUNKIRK TO SILVER CREEK AND ANGOLA...EXTENDING INLAND ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS AND WESTERN AND NORTHERN WYOMING COUNTY. THIS BAND OF SNOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OR EVER SO SLOWLY DRIFT A BIT NORTHWARD THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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