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Upstate NY/North Country + adjacent ON, QC, VT: End of Fall/Into Winter!


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LES Advisory posted for BUF:

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
340 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

NYZ010-011-110500-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0003.160111T1700Z-160112T0600Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
340 PM EST SUN JAN 10 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 1 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND WESTERN GENESEE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT MONDAY
NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES MONDAY AND 2 TO 4 INCHES MONDAY
NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO [email protected]
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

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Got so sick of seeing Bombs go by to our S and E all the damn time, I decided to buy a home in ME as well so now I have the best of both worlds, lol!!  Just 15 miles S of Portland ME, a perfect location to see true bombogenesis in the GOM. A home in Oswego County as well, in the Southern snow belt, which will get pounded tues-wed and again Fri-Sun.  So I get to experience tues-wed 6-8" up here in ME, then I head to Oswego County where next weekend should be a treat!

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like the sound of this..

 

 

 

TUESDAY EVENING...LAKE-INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL INCREASE
TOWARD 15KFT AS 850MB TEMPS PLUMMET TO AROUND -18C WHICH IS NEARLY
2SD BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. STEERING LEVEL FLOW WILL
VEER TO AROUND 280-290 DEGREES WHICH WILL SETTLE THE BANDS SOUTHEAST
OF THE LAKES OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. BUFKIT TIME-
HEIGHT PROFILES SHOW A STRONG CROSSHAIR SIGNATURE WHERE THE PRIME
DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION INTERSECTS PLENTIFUL LIFT WITHIN THE
CLOUD LAYER WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE TO HIGH SNOWFALL RATES
WITHIN THE BANDS FOR 24 HOURS OR MORE.
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like the sound of this..

Don't forget the squall to kick start things for "round two"

 

 

ALBERTA CLIPPER AND ARCTIC FRONT....

THE CLIPPER AND ITS ASSOCIATED ARCTIC FRONT WILL QUICKLY PASS ACROSS

WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TUESDAY AND EXIT TO THE EAST TUESDAY

NIGHT BRINGING A WIDESPREAD GENERAL SNOWFALL FOR ALL. WHILE OVERALL

SNOWFALL FROM THIS WILL BE LIGHT /OUTSIDE OF THE SOUTHWARD RETURNING

EMBEDDED LAKE EFFECT BANDS/ THERE ARE CONCERNS FOR A BURST OR SQUALL

OF SNOW ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE ARCTIC FRONT WITH OF PERIOD OF

LOW VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW BEHIND THE FRONT AS A 40 KNOT LOW

LEVEL JET BRINGS WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 KNOTS.

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160rmfm.png

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I'm open to it, I just prefer the Redfield area. Can't the Boonville/Turin area get downsloped a little being on the east side of the Tug? I know Lowville can and does somewhat frequently.

 

Turin looks really good for this event....I think Boonville does well too although just on the edge.

They would give you more lodging options is why I suggested them.

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Everyone throughout W/CNY should have a healthy smile on their faces by the end of the next 10 days, heck the next 36 for some, lol, but others will have to wait a bit longer.

Enjoy Maine, long drive but a good spot for synoptic snow...not looking like much going on here this week other than passing snow showers, although your place in Oswego county may score several inches later this week. It appears the action will be mostly from Parish north and east, sled country. They can have it!

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BUF shifts significantly north for the first event. Barnes Corners/Lowville jackpot. Second event probably will produce higher totals somewhere. 

 

Still feeling confident that somewhere sees 40" from this first event. If I had to bet it would be somewhere near Barnes Corners on the Tug (Route 177 corridor)

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Really pumped for this event off Ontario. Gonna try and chase this one later this week into this weekend (I know most of it will be over by then) but I'm having trouble finding may spots on the Tug to stay, particularly around Redfield. When I chased last month I stayed in Pulaski which was nice because they have amenities within walking distance of the hotel, however I wasn't in the bullseye being at a lower elevation , with the Tug 30 miles east seeing triple the amount I saw, but for this one Id love to be in the thick of the event near Redfield. Anyone know of any spots I could stay this weekend? Hotel, cabin, private house? Thanks in advance for any responses.

There's the otter limits and nook motel. I stayed there snowmobiling 15 yrs ago, worked perfect for what we wanted. There is a gas station/ food here to. There use to be a hotel/bar just up the rd but that burned several yes ago but I think there is still one other place for food between those 2, but I can't remember.

Just up the rd is the crossroads inn/ cabins. No experience but can't recall ever reading bad info.

There was a place called fort geranimo yrs ago idk if that place is still going or what.

These places are all within prolly 1.5-2miles of each other...

I'll go find my maps and see what else is in the area... Be advised, if the weather is bad getting to redfield could be quite a task. That county rt 2 is curvy and has up/ downs along it. Trees are right on the edge and there's little in the way of a shoulder.

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Couple of questions guys, mostly out of envy!

 

- Any live streaming stations to this event? Or good coverage? Forecasts? (TV wise)

- Do we have any good webcams or personal cameras from anyone within affected areas?

 

Thanks and enjoy!

Plenty of webcams all over the Tug: http://www.northernchateau.com/northernchateau.htm 

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Webcam from this afternoon. Pretty much starting over at camp. This is pretty much right in the cross hairs on the Tug in Redfield. Though just reading the Buffalo update, late week event is not going to be stationary and winds may be too NW for a Tug special?

post-1257-0-91840300-1452472630_thumb.pn

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