swva Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Almost certainly will be in a weakened state tomorrow morning as the flow backs a little bit ahead of the approaching s/w. Tomorrow is really when activity should pick up, although I still think we see some better organization later this evening/tonight. Webcams from some areas near the Tug look like at least a few inches has fallen in places. It's just going to slowly accumulate over the next 48 hours or so. Good call!! Looks like some organization starting to happen. Band looks to be repositioning and strengthening. Hopefully getting ready to get into the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Good call!! Looks like some organization starting to happen. Band looks to be repositioning and strengthening. Hopefully getting ready to get into the action. Thanks. Looks like a general 4-8" will fall tonight across I-81 from Pulaski to Adams and eastward through the Tug. At least I hope so because that's what I put in the forecast for the DOT. Not exactly sure how far north the band drifts tomorrow morning, but I'd guess Watertown would see an inch or two tomorrow morning. Still not confident Oswego/Fulton sees more than a few inches tomorrow/Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Looks like the Erie band just might make it to metro Buffalo for the ball drop! Wonder if we will exceed the .1 inch at the airport to hold the record. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Nothing like a solid LES band through my area as we bring in the new year!! Happy New Years all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Hmmm the band just fell apart and is reorganizing well south again... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Looks like the actual band is somewhere near Adams or Mannsville based on base velocity scans. Everything is about what I expected at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 At least the Ontario band is showing some good radar returns... The Erie band is just flopping all the place but not really getting its act together... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 At least the Ontario band is showing some good radar returns... The Erie band is just flopping all the place but not really getting its act together... Sent from my iPhone ? Already over an inch with moderate snow coming down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 That Erie band looks unimpressive on webcams even under the heaviest returns. Ontario looks to be a different story... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 That Erie band looks unimpressive on webcams even under the heaviest returns. Ontario looks to be a different story... Not cold enough yet. Still mixing with sleet so doesn't appear to good on webcams. Already over an inch and tomorrow morning should bring another 3-5". Be cool to grab 6" out of this one. If you look to Lake Michigan you will see what will be coming tomorrow morning. Better moisture and colder temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Not cold enough yet. Still mixing with sleet so doesn't appear to good on webcams. Already over an inch and tomorrow morning should bring another 3-5". Be cool to grab 6" out of this one. If you look to Lake Michigan you will see what will be coming tomorrow morning. Better moisture and colder temps. If last event is any indication you should get used to graupel with these 850 temps. Or at the very least poor flake growth with the DGZ barely involved (if at all).On the bright side we still haven't had a major cold shot to kill the lake for later this month and February! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 If last event is any indication you should get used to graupel with these 850 temps. Or at the very least poor flake growth with the DGZ barely involved (if at all). On the bright side we still haven't had a major cold shot to kill the lake for later this month and February! Yeah it's definitely affecting the accumulations with half sleet/snow. Visibility lowering at Hamburg. You never have to worry about that with Ontario, but Erie won't be freezing this year unless the PV makes a 3-4 week visit this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Cold air is deepening, nearly all snow coming down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Nice... OFF LAKE ERIE... EXPECT A FEW HOUR WINDOW THIS MORNING WHERE THE BAND MAY MAKE IT AS FAR NORTH AS DOWNTOWN BUFFALO TO THE BUFFALO AIRPORT. OVERALL EXPECT A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME FOR THE BAND TO REMAIN OVER ERIE COUNTY TODAY... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Woke up to see the Lake Erie band looking pretty impressive to my surprise, then I checked webcams and it looks like it's barely snowing, roads are clear in Hamburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 The Erie band is really blowing up on radar last hour. I'm at work in northern OP and it's still only a light snow right now... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Hamburg looks to be getting hit pretty good at the moment... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 It's coming! Check out screenshots from our parking lot camera... 6 minutes apart from clear sky to white out... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Still snowing in Redfield but only about 2" since yesterday. Seems consistent with some other reports. Think I saw Lowville with 4" and Highmarket 3". Hopefully it will add up today with some of those whiteout conditions later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 So yeah, it snowed overnight here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 So yeah, it snowed overnight here. Nice! Moderate snow here for about 30 minutes. Pretty sure I heard a few rumbles of thunder down to the south in the last 15 minutes - band looks pretty strong in S. Cheektowaga/West Seneca area right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Thundersnow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 8" so far with heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Nice! Moderate snow here for about 30 minutes. Pretty sure I heard a few rumbles of thunder down to the south in the last 15 minutes - band looks pretty strong in S. Cheektowaga/West Seneca area right now. Just an awesome band! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 They need to upgrade to warnings for all of Erie county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 If we're getting this today and tonight...Be way over 12" ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT... AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY...RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS OF SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 1, 2016 Author Share Posted January 1, 2016 Picture from the backyard. That thing in the back is 15" high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Getting scraped by that band here in Cheektavegas. 2" or so Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 1, 2016 Share Posted January 1, 2016 Nice to see a whitening of the landscape across Erie County - finally! Took these yesterday along Pike Creek in Southern Erie County. I'm sure things look a lot different now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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