Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 How much damage can I expect? Should I bring in the lawn furniture? Where you are in Central NJ? Probably just a rain shower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 HRRR rips a nice line thru later including what looks like a massive supercell thru Waterbury then SE twds HVN area HRRR is definitely impressive - nice juxtaposition of low level shear and CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Ryan's on it. Working solo all afternoon/evening Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan There is a threat for severe thunderstorms this afternoon in Connecticut. Gusty winds possible with a low chance for a tornado.#FirstAlertCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 HRRR is definitely impressive - nice juxtaposition of low level shear and CAPE. Seems like Western CT with biggest threat centered on WBY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Seems like Western CT with biggest threat centered on WBY? Maybe... just need to get a bit of CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 The NCAR ensembles and the SPC SSEO are pretty meh for later today. That said the SPC WRF that Chris posted earlier looks good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Prospects of any significant sunshine look rather dim here in far northern CT. Not getting overly excited. 35 mph winds and a couple of rumbles and some good downpours is what I'm expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 RPM agrees with other hi -res guidance..could be pretty wild late afternoon and evening pike south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 RPM agrees with other hi -res guidance..could be pretty wild late afternoon and evening pike south Lol which tweet did you rip that off from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Lol which tweet did you rip that off from? https://twitter.com/capecodweather/status/652494448618770432/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 9, 2015 Author Share Posted October 9, 2015 Tons of sun here in Clinton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 cloudy here with off and on downpours all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Been lightly raining to occasionally moderate here the last 2 hours. 65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 The HRRR is rather aggressive showing several bowing segments: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 There's going to be some damage in some lucky areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 9, 2015 Author Share Posted October 9, 2015 Mesoanalysis is a tad intriguing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Radar looks like crap. Models show stuff blossoming in the next hour or so - we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 9, 2015 Author Share Posted October 9, 2015 Can someone please post the last RAP bufkit profile for Waterbury which shows the cape values at different levels for like 20z and 21z? I'm not near a computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Mesoanalysis is a tad intriguing Looks best from SE NY through mid-Atlantic right now, but right now limited instability and residual CIN reside across parts of SNE. An MD just went up too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Can someone please post the last RAP bufkit profile for Waterbury which shows the cape values at different levels for like 20z and 21z? I'm not near a computer. 20z is marginal, but winds really veer by 21z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrewmac Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Kick them a bit north, could you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 9, 2015 Author Share Posted October 9, 2015 20z is marginal, but winds really veer by 21z: rap_oxc.png Yeah by 21z that's when something moves through by...models have been pretty consistent with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Driving from andover to long Island but storms should be over by the time i get down there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Maybe a TOR threat under darkness ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Maybe a TOR threat under darkness ? Meh - radar still looks atrocious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Maybe a TOR threat under darkness ?Are you serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Are you serious? Every forum needs a village idiot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Meh - radar still looks atrocious. Overall yes,,but signs of strengthening on ALB radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Every forum needs a village idiot. Considering you started a severe thread in NYC in mid Oct yesterday..mirror meet Yanksfan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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