H2O Posted October 1, 2015 Author Share Posted October 1, 2015 1.09" today. Damn. Way more than i expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 1.09" today. Damn. Way more than i expected Wow. Only .26" here. 57.7F after a low of 56.4F earlier this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 0.98" today. Pretty good rain rate for soaking into the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Today was the coolest daytime since Apr 25 for DC. Screwed by an overnight high of course tho. Winter is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Rain forecasts keep dropping. Two days ago the Friday/Saturday forecast was over 4" Now down to not even 1.2" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Let's just hope the tracking is much better than the last few days around here. I think you will become more resilient in terms of how you react to threats working out down here in the Mid-Atlantic once your optimism for the best-case output at 72+hrs gets beaten out of you Just give it another two years.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I think you will become more resilient in terms of how you react to threats working out down here in the Mid-Atlantic once your optimism for the best-case output at 72+hrs gets beaten out of you Just give it another two years.... I've gotten to the point where I'm pretty much waiting for the rug pull outside of 72. Gets pretty easy to deal with. OTOH- I love it when stuff sneaks up on us right in that 72-96 hr range. When were were never in the game at all and all of a sudden things start breaking our way. Those almost always perform in some fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 A great day for a lot of planting. Gonna need to finally get back to mowing soon, at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I've gotten to the point where I'm pretty much waiting for the rug pull outside of 72. Gets pretty easy to deal with. OTOH- I love it when stuff sneaks up on us right in that 72-96 hr range. When were were never in the game at all and all of a sudden things start breaking our way. Those almost always perform in some fashion. Iow, to be in the shoes of NE when they get bullseyed by a storm forecast to be ours 3-5 days out? Yeah, that's living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Winter is coming. Midnight high of 62F today. 0.98" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 0.07" today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Yep. This is much better than a sunny, mid 60's October day. Said no one sane, ever. Then call me insane. Fall is the one time of the year when I root for cold rain with temps in the 40s and 50s. Today felt great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Then call me insane. Fall is the one time of the year when I root for cold rain with temps in the 40s and 50s. Today felt great You're insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Legit Nor'easter-type conditions at Ocean City right now: 24/41 mph with heavy rain and last hour was 25/39 with heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 DT got too carried away and proclaimed all weekend sunshine DC and northeast. With the orientation of the upper low and Joaquin passing somewhere it seems we'll continue with this onshore fetch etc. It's been an extremely lengthy period of such. I wonder if we have some widespread significant coastal problems even without the hurricane hitting. Lots of beaches already look like ass going in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Yeah, beaches were hit hard a few times this summer with strong surf. Lots of big cuts back on labor day weekend and last week. Not gonna be pretty after this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Not nearly as sexy as the J west shift with the 0z gfs but strong model consensus for broad brush 1.5-2.5" of rain over the next 36 hours with dc south favored for the higher totals. Based what we already saw today, I don't think it's a reach for some locations to hit 3-4". It's an anomalous wet pattern after weeks on end of dry. Good stuff even if it doesn't include 100mph winds and devastation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Not nearly as sexy as the J west shift with the 0z gfs but strong model consensus for broad brush 1.5-2.5" of rain over the next 36 hours with dc south favored for the higher totals. Based what we already saw today, I don't think it's a reach for some locations to hit 3-4". It's an anomalous wet pattern after weeks on end of dry. Good stuff even if it doesn't include 100mph winds and devastation. All this media hype....Is this going to bust? Is 1-2" that big of a deal?...is 3-4"+ realistic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Radar is starting to fill in nicely SE of the DC area. I can hear the rain and wind starting to blow through the trees. 55 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 All this media hype....Is this going to bust? Is 1-2" that big of a deal?...is 3-4"+ realistic? Widespread 3-4" doesn't seem likely IMHO. But I'm confident were going to see localized 3"+ depending on who gets lucky under the best lift. Heck, today was supposed to be .25 tops but 1" was splattered around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Models often underplay the heavy rain NW of the front. I wouldn't go above those numbers in a forecast but I wouldn't be surprised. Ground is probably saturated enough at this point to lead to at least some flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 0z Euro drops almost 3" for all of DC metro over next 72 hours..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 0z Euro drops almost 3" for all of DC metro over next 72 hours.....? I can't even get 2" in many spots let alone 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 1.34" total since yesterday. All day rain coming. Jacket weather too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 .38" yesterday, not expecting much the next two days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Been raining steadily here since midnight. 0.83" so far. Pretty stiff breeze too at 15-20 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 That's an impressive radar - just a wall of raiin Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Neighbors have their AC on and it's 53 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 .38" yesterday, not expecting much the next two days .89" down this way in the last 24 hours, which is more than I expected. We had some localized flooding around these parts that caused some temporary road closures on Tuesday, so I expect the same later today and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Anyone notice how the axis of heavy rain seems to be north of where it was predicted? Charleston was the bullseye. If I was in Charleston. I'd be saying "bust". Seems the moisture train is more north into VA/NC. Hopefully this means more for us. Or it could mean I'm a huge weenie lol. Light rain and 52. .80 in the bucket so far. Chilly morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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