snowfan Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 Def earlier than 11/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 16, 2015 Author Share Posted October 16, 2015 Turning the furnace on for sure tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 No, it should be earlier than that. According to this CWG article the avg. first freeze at BWI is Oct. 29, so I would think it is maybe a good week earlier in the Westminster/S PA area, probably even sooner than that given the IAD avg. first freeze is Oct. 15. https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/first-freeze-of-fall-in-the-washington-dc-area-is-typical-by-mid-october/2012/10/12/8ecc969a-141c-11e2-be82-c3411b7680a9_blog.html Cool, WBAL and WGAL this morning had the climo as Nov. 1st and I thought it a bit odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 Climo for Adams/York/Lancaster/Carroll Counties for first freeze is Nov. 1st, correct? This would be about two weeks early. Still have a few farms with corn that is green and needs the two weeks to finish up. CWG https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/10/16/first-freeze-targets-d-c-s-suburbs-sunday-and-monday-morning-right-on-schedule/ map inside. made a few years ago with Ian, but should be about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 in case anyone wants to see the map without having to visit the article Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 That map looks great. Probably the most accurate out there. BTW Freeze Watch posted for NW of 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 That map looks great. Probably the most accurate out there. BTW Freeze Watch posted for NW of 95. thanks -- made in 2011, so not sure how out of date it could be. I could probably go back and tweak it, but it works for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 thanks -- made in 2011, so not sure how out of date it could be. I could probably go back and tweak it, but it works for now. Unless Weatherguy's dreams come true, it could probably be used for decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 Wonder if we might see some graupel Sunday. Sfc seems too warm for snowflakes but it's below freezing below 850 on the NAM during main potential time for something. Backside vort on departing trough is pretty powerful. Even some very marginal sfc CAPE. But we do have a sfc high building in as well and the location of the vort has shifted a bit N/E lately. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 Wonder if we might see some graupel Sunday. Sfc seems too warm for snowflakes but it's below freezing below 850 on the NAM during main potential time for something. Backside vort on departing trough is pretty powerful. Even some very marginal sfc CAPE. But we do have a sfc high building in as well and the location of the vort has shifted a bit N/E lately. Maybe. Tony Pann mentioned flurries on the radio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 Tony Pann mentioned flurries on the radioMaybe in the hills. Pretty good low level dry column tho. Plus I don't think pure snow would make it with sfc temps AOA 50 but it could end up a little cooler.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 34 at 1:15am. Should break the freezing mark tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Already 33 here àt 3 am. http://www.findu.com/cgi-bin/panel.cgi?call=DW6569&units=english Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 First freezing temps of season here, dropped just below to 31.7 right at 5 am, then at 6 started climbing when wind picked up, now 33.9/31.4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 Only a low of 40 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 39 for the low Crisp, clear morning. Some nice color starting to show in the foliage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Low of 37, with some patchy frost on the grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 36F for the low. Didn't see any frost; there is a bit of a breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Low 39 here. My first 30s of the season I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Low of 43.5F. Can anyone top that? I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Low of 43.5F. Can anyone top that? I doubt it. We only got to 43. I'm a little surprised given some of the other local reports (especially more urbanized areas), though it was breezy for quite a while last night. Maybe the PWS went wonky... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Looks like it was about 45 here per wxbug. Pretty close to DCA. I guess DC doesn't count tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Went from sunny to heavy clouds Looks & feels like a fall day . 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Need sun. Clouds and breezy in the mid-50s does nothing for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Hearing of snow at Deep Creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Hearing of snow at Deep Creek. https://www.facebook.com/WispResort?rf=142222355814171 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 And as soon as I asked for it, the sun came out. Beautiful in that warm October sun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 I think I watched it about ten times. Yeah, it's great. Can't wait for first flakes 54/36 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Low of 43.5F. Can anyone top that? I doubt it. 45.8 this morning, though that won't end up the daily low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 17, 2015 Share Posted October 17, 2015 Guidance was a little warm today. And the DP already down to 30 at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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