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October 2015 Observation thread


Snowless in Carrollton

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Something for Wednesday?

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.WHILE CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING HEATING ANDINSTABILITY ON WEDNESDAY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS COULDDEVELOP...MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT ANDTHE COASTAL PLAIN.
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Been a raw, wet, chilly day here in North GA, first of the fall season. My location is up to .79" storm total. Wedge is holding strong / likely is at its mature stage. Has only gotten to 53.4 today. Currently 53.2 with heavy drizzle/very light rain and continued strong NE Winds. I love me a wedge!

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You want it 41.9 degrees with rain? No worries, I think that will happen a lot this winter.

You know what, I'd much rather be at your location because more than likely, you will be receiving snow and/or ice while it is 42 here with cold rain. So, I'm not worried about that happening here because I know it will so why worry. Just a fact of life in Winter here in the south. But, I do like the trend of all these wedges this fall. Hopefully the trend will continue into this winter and we'll score something big.

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Been watching the Charleston reports come in this morning. Very impressive, considering that this really isn't 'storm' generated. 4th and 3rd highest respectively on record yesterday, and still high today. Not to mention the flooding they had the first part of the month.

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC1148 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2015...HISTORIC TIDES ALONG SOUTH COASTAL SOUTH CAROLIA AND NORTHCOASTAL GEORGIA...HERE ARE THE HIGHEST 10 TIDES ON RECORD AT CHARLESTON AND FORTPULASKI...CHARLESTON /RECORDS GO BACK TO 1921/...1. 12.56 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 21 1989 /HURRICANE HUGO/2. 10.27 FT MLLW ON AUGUST 11 19403. 8.84 FT MLLW ON JANUARY 1 19874. 8.69 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 27 20155. 8.67 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 4 19795. 8.67 FT MLLW ON MAY 28 19346. 8.57 FT MLLW ON NOVEMBER 2 19477. 8.29 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 3 20158. 8.27 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 28 2015  <---- TODAY9. 8.17 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 15 19479. 8.17 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 29 195910. 8.10 FT MLLW ON JUNE 23 2009FORT PULASKI /RECORDS GO BACK TO 1935/...1. 10.87 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 15 19472. 10.47 FT MLLW ON AUGUST 11 19403. 10.43 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 27 20154. 10.27 FT MLLW ON DECEMBER 3 19715. 10.23 FT MLLW ON FEBRUAR7 7 19936. 10.07 FT MLLW ON JUNE 24 20097. 9.96 FT MLLW ON SEPTEMBER 17 20018. 9.94 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 3 20159. 9.90 FT MLLW ON OCTOBER 28 2015   <---- TODAY10. 9.89 FT MLLW ON MAY 8 2012. 
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I was in what was left of Bull's Bay 3 weeks after Hugo... Impressive tree scars 12-18 feet off the ground from the surge.

 

Meanwhile, for that whole coastal area...

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.COASTAL FLOODING...CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ELEVATEDHIGH TIDES INTO THE WEEKEND. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODINGCOULD OCCUR WITH EACH HIGH TIDE CYCLE...THOUGH THE BEST CHANCESWILL BE WITH THE MORNING HIGH TIDE. ADDITIONAL COASTAL FLOODADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.
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I registered another 1.22 inches of rainfall today.  That brings my storm total to 3.37 inches for the three days 10/26 - 10/28.  That also brings my October total to a pretty amazing 6.77 inches.  This is my fifth October at this location, and I have never had more than 2.77 inches of rainfall in any prior October.  El Nino...

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Here's some storm totals and a map from the recent precip event...

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201510300135-KGSP-NOUS42-PNSGSP

 

attachicon.gifGSP_pcpn_20151026-20151029.png

Forecast and models did well, keep thinking no way these big totals from the models verify but they are

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/46808-fall-2015-pattern-discussion/page-14#entry3733479

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