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October 2015 Observation thread


Snowless in Carrollton

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These 0.00"  reports hopefully will change soon. I guess a lot has to do with how the Patricia remnants interact with the current system flooding Texas, and frontal passages for us in the East.

AS FAR AS WEATHER HAZARDS WITH THIS SYSTEM MID-WEEK... THE SYSTEMHAS BEEN TRENDING WITH A FASTER MOVEMENT AND A TRACK OF THE MAINSTORM WELL TO OUR WEST. THEREFORE... THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL TOWIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN APPEARS TO BE LOWERING. HOWEVER... A MODERATERAINFALL EVENT WITH QPF OF 0.5 TO 1.5 STILL APPEARS LIKELY WITH THEHIGHEST QPF IN THE WESTERN PIEDMONT WHERE THE RAINFALL SHOULD LASTLONGER.
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Not in our area but i wanted to point out the cool radar imagery out of texas this morning. Moisture from patricia is meeting up with a slowly sagging front and producing a pretty neat convergence of precipitation...or at least the appearance of it since it's the front itself that is moving south while the convection is forming on the front...while the rain in front of and behind the front is moving in nearly the 180 degree opposite direction. Earlier the activity moving up from the south was more showery/thunder showery in nature which isn't that unusual to see but the rain to the south has evolved to be more stratiform in appearance which makes it look cooler or a bit more unusual.

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Nice windy day today with winds sustained around 20mph gusting to 25.

Tomorrow and especially Monday should be fun. Strong thunderstorms and wind in the forecast. Will probably be gusting up to 40mph at times even without thunderstorms. SFC low east of Brownsville is currently intensifying and well defined spin on radar. Sustained winds around 26mph near South Padre Island already. HRRR has this SFC low with winds of 57KTS tomorrow and SFC LP of 995.

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This wedge means business...down to 47 degrees and been a steady rain just about all morning.  I am just afraid that someone is going to get at least one big ice storm this winter with the way we have already had several CAD events even before November.  Oh and the fact that we are due for a significant ice storm in the CAD regions.

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This wedge means business...down to 47 degrees and been a steady rain just about all morning.  I am just afraid that someone is going to get at least one big ice storm this winter with the way we have already had several CAD events even before November.  Oh and the fact that we are due for a significant ice storm in the CAD regions.

 

Yep, CAD is locked in here.  Down to 58, with winds 15mph out of the ENE.

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