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Joaquin/ULL inland flooding threat


BullCityWx

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The weather story for today is water in the form of rainfall, flooding of urban and poor drainage areas and MAJOR coastal/tidal flooding. Two to four inches of rain is expected through this evening. Rain tapers off Saturday. Northeast winds of 35 to 45 mph at the coast will push tides to MAJOR flood levels with the afternoon and evening high tides. Along the coast and exposed areas on the Bay high waves will batter the shore resulting in significant beach erosion. River flooding along mot major rivers across central and southeast VA is also expected to develop later this weekend and linger into next week. Track all the latest forecasts and warnings at www.weather.gov/akq

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The upper level low on strongwx's image has dropped down from the northwest. It will bottom out and crawl east to a position near Jacksonville by Sunday night. As it does this, the rains will work west from the coast, and pivot across the Carolinas. A lot of times these heavy precip bands can setup farther north than modeled, that's why I mentioned the southern half of NC earlier could be hit hard even though the models are targeting SC more at the current time. There's going to be a focused area of intense rains.

Yeah just looking at the 12z Gfs the mountains get hammered tomorrow into Sunday. Very concerning here in the mountains.
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Looks like totals are coming back up for NC.

 

Yes, models possibly are increasing QPF for us, but the radar right now is really pathetic.  So much for all this moisture influx...this is a below average for even a regular rain event much less for potential flooding.

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Yes, models possibly are increasing QPF for us, but the radar right now is really pathetic.  So much for all this moisture influx...this is a below average for even a regular rain event much less for potential flooding.

 

Sucks for us need this axis to shifts its like a water hose pointed right at us, I have gotten 1.5" since 9:30 and that's most likely low ball since the wind keeps it going sideways....

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