Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 I'm only out to 72hr on eurowx what site are you using to make that call???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 943 mb at 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 the KING has spoken, this is a major caneThe question becomes... Where is she going Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 the KING has spoken, this is a major cane But one that does NOT make landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 The question becomes... Where is she going Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A you mean he..Joaquin...hopefully OTS, we dont need another Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 hr84 moving NNE, but the next 36 hours will tell the story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 you mean he..Joaquin...hopefully OTS, we dont need another SandyLol all my bad ass storms are girls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 HR 90 still moving NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 HR 90 still moving NNESandy did the same thing about this time frame Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Hr 96 at 956 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 HR 108 OTS....didn't expect that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 HR 108 OTS....didn't expect thatIt is possible... If it gets strong enough to remain it's own identity. That would be the best case scenario... Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 I agree OTS is good for everyone along the coast, just didn't expect the Euro to keep that call, still an outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 At 120, 949 mb and OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Out to Hr 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 The trough isn't as negatively tilted on the 00z Euro run as expected. Maybe the high and the trough won't be strong enough to hook Joaquin back west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 HR120 starts to move N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Doubtful though. The Ridge in the Atlantic is damn strong Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Well west of the 12z run, this has more of a N curl rather than NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 I don't really see how the hurricane can get to the position shown at 120 on the 0z ECM given its position and WSW movement right now, looks unlikely to me. Also, much slower evolution of the storm on the 0z ECM. By 120 hours, 0z GFS already has this thing over central VA...Timing looks to be a little off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Gotta love the flip between the gfs and Euro with what they're showing with this storm and what they showed with Sandy. Which model is superior this go around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 At 144, further NNE with the fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Hr 144, Joaquin is at 35N 65W at 950mb. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Hr 144, Joaquin is at 35N 80W at 950mb. Interesting. That would be inland over SC/NC, its at 35N 65W at 144hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 That would be inland over SC/NC, its at 35N 65W at 144hr Yep. My mistake. Need a new pot of coffee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Gotta love the flip between the gfs and Euro with what they're showing with this storm and what they showed with Sandy. Which model is superior this go around? if you wanna bring Sandy up then Euro, the king nailed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 FIM9 perpetually experimental model uses GFS T1534 init conditions -- but diff model. Same track as GFS http://t.co/nJPDNj5W90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 if you wanna bring Sandy up then Euro, the king nailed it[/quote If it's really king then it'll be correct with its OTS solution and the coast can breath easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Totally different times. When Sandy, euro was a better model. And it kept showing almost the same solution..now on every run it gives you a totally different scenario. The same with the GFS. Joaquin is given them a headache. The thing with joaquin is, no model had this storm as a cat 1 or 2 neither 3. Now we are seeing possible Cat 3. Maybe that changes everything and doesn't let it hook back West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 EPS are way west of the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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