Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 They have been waffling back and forth. Do I need to remind you about awful they were the nigh before last? true, but with models showing a likely track out to sea, it would not surprise me if we're largely dry through Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 If this were January, people would be jumping off bridges. Looks like a 'major' crisis will be averted. That is great news! Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Agreed, I think we get through the rains tonight and tomorrow and see what happens. Yep. Should be a cool day tomorrow. Like you said though, it's better to let this system work its way out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYI91Tavares Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Not quite ready to throw in the towel yet with this still being many days out, but if things still look the same tomorrow...well at least we got a real cool storm to look at on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 We went from a ton of rain to bascially nothing. These models suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 If this were January, people would be jumping off bridges. Looks like a 'major' crisis will be averted. That is great news! Sent from my LG-V410 25 billion saved perhaps. Think of the damage anywhere-NC/VA/NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 We went from a ton of rain to bascially nothing. These models suck.You have GGEM yet? If it caved then it's a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Well, by historic standards our winter just got a whole lot colder and snowier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 ggem is out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Well, by historic standards our winter just got a whole lot colder and snowier explain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 If this were January, people would be jumping off bridges. Looks like a 'major' crisis will be averted. That is great news! Sent from my LG-V410 Id get used to this Ralph, especially this year. Trends...ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Thank god this wasnt a blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Very good news for us. Never wanted a hurricane anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 We went from a ton of rain to bascially nothing. These models suck. Yup, so much for the drought buster. The PRE on Friday doesn't look that impressive. As Lee Goldberg said yesterday, the heavier rain will fall south of the city. Maybe we get a half inch to three quarters of an inch up here. Then with the hurricane likely missing, that's about it. I was pleased to get 1.35" the other night. Finally a good soaking, but not nearly enough to bust the drought. I was looking forward to a LOT more this weekend. This is pretty frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike1984 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Awesome news. So can we breath easy now..or wait a few more model runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Id get used to this Ralph, especially this year. Trends...ftw Euro ftw lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 explain? This area has not had a cold/snowy winter following a landfalling hurricane in the summer/fall in quite a long time. Its likely just coincidence more than anything but 54-55, 61-62, 85-86, 91-92, 11-12, and 12-13 were all pretty inactive winters and all followed landfalling hurricanes in the summer or fall. 1944-45 though is an exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 hackers need to steal the coding for the Euro and put it into out systems.... so much for Pam's "new and revolutionary" French model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Yup, so much for the drought buster. The PRE on Friday doesn't look that impressive. As Lee Goldberg said yesterday, the heavier rain will fall south of the city. Maybe we get a half inch to three quarters of an inch up here. Then with the hurricane likely missing, that's about it. I was pleased to get 1.35" the other night. Finally a good soaking, but not nearly enough to bust the drought. I was looking forward to a LOT more this weekend. This is pretty frustrating. models getting drier in that dept...it's possible we get a shutout on add'l rain. Especially the further north and west one is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 This area has not had a cold/snowy winter following a landfalling hurricane in the summer/fall in quite a long time. Its likely just coincidence more than anything but 54-55, 61-62, 85-86, 91-92, 11-12, and 12-13 were all pretty inactive winters and all followed landfalling hurricanes in the summer or fall. 1944-45 though is an exception. Interesting stat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Are you sure the GGEM is OTS? At 60 hrs it's headed right for OBX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 You guys have the right GGEM frame. My met buddy says it's a hit on Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Interesting stat. I'm sure most remember the Post sandy October snowstorm... I think I received about 10" of wet snow with leaves still on the trees, power was out almost 2 days... Didn't see a single flake till February later that season and even then it was only a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 1, 2015 Author Share Posted October 1, 2015 Are you sure the GGEM is OTS? At 60 hrs it's headed right for OBX. It's def headed for obx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 This says a lot about how pathetic these models are and they lost to the Euro again after Sandy. The models busted horribly for this entire week regarding the rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 It's def headed for obx That's exactly what I heard. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I'm sure most remember the Post sandy October snowstorm... I think I received about 10" of wet snow with leaves still on the trees, power was out almost 2 days... Didn't see a single flake till February later that season and even then it was only a couple inches U mean post-Irene? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I'm sure most remember the Post sandy October snowstorm... I think I received about 10" of wet snow with leaves still on the trees, power was out almost 2 days... Didn't see a single flake till February later that season and even then it was only a couple inches Blizzard of '13 saved us out here (30 inches) but you are right, the 11/7/12 storm was the biggest for many as was the post Irene storm of 10/29/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Lol check your model times and dates before saying the outcomes!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 GGEM still keeps the US hit option, but keep in mind it's abysmal verification on tropical systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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