IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 We're in big trouble, taking a Sandy Hook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Well it initialized too weak by the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 You guys with slower model data need to let the run play out. It gets captured at hr 78 and has no choice but to left hook right into the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 If anything this only leaves more time for wiggle room back westward. This is why we must wait and see! Still 4 days out. Incredible change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 He's making a turn, ruh roh, but yeah go Euro and stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Well it initialized too weak by the way. Irrelevant, see some main post threads. The GFS isn't capable of resolving the initialization data properly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Worst case scenario, should landfall near Southern NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Uh oh where did it make landfall at on the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 We're in big trouble, taking a Sandy Hook Yup, this is not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Either way, it's closer to the euro solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 The only possible saving grace here is that with the 500mb low sliding East in may actually pinwheel Joaquin SW before landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Either way, it's closer to the euro solution. It actually fits the final solution that I posted about earlier. A later capture, further North landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Sandy Redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Either way, it's closer to the euro solution. It actually fits the final solution that I posted about earlier. A later capture, further North landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 It actually fits the final solution that I posted about earlier. A later capture, further North landfall.Agree. Last thing we need is this. Cannot go through another sandy type of storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Right into your living room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Through 96hrs track does look similar to Sandy. Long ways to go with this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Worst case scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 What direction is it moving at this point <105 hrs>? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 And looks like she stalls right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Right into your living room Good lord. Currently in Atlantic City. This would be catastrophic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 And looks like she stalls right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Right into your living room Geez, for a hurricane this far north, you'd think the precip shield would be much larger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 And looks like she stalls right there Joaquin is a guy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 lowest pressure is 978 here, Implying weakening. However, wouldn't the closer approach tighten the gradient and cause ver strong winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I think Isentropic alluded to this, but if the capture takes too long, the upper low could swing south of Joaquin and force it west and then southwest before making landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I can't post the images but surface winds at the coast are above hurricane strength and tropical storm force winds stretch back to the DE river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Let's hope this doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 WPC DAY 4 issued at 11:00pm http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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