stemwinder Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 This will be pretty much what a talk about. http://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf Thanks very much! I don't have TWC access, but I hope your video pops up on the wunderground.com blog. Will look for it. The PDF is great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 HPC sees a lot of rain in our future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 I'll take the black line consensus track for $500 Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 I'll take the black line consensus track for for $500 Alex that... would be really really bad for philly and NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 that... would be really really bad for philly and NJ Next few days would be a good time to tune up the chainsaw just in case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 after going through sandy don't want to see the jersey shore see another hit, I am thinking if there is landfall might be closer to Lewes De up to Cape May NJ, about 60-100 miles south of Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 0z GFS congrats Ray! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 NCEP has crashed, yeah it's a big run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 @105 looks like hit just north of Norfolk, that will be a bad solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 @105 looks like hit just north of Norfolk, that will be a bad solution Keep it down there, I learned from Sandy I like having power. Some gusty 40-50mph winds and heavy rain is good enough for me. But I have a nagging feeling this will come 50-100 miles north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 growing up along the jersey shore with family and friends still there I don't want this to hit anywhere along the coast not good at all, LBI is still rebuilding in areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Bang bang bang GGEM mirrors the GFS and UKMET further north pretty much worse case for Delaware bay with the UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Euro initialized 30 mins till we have an idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 hr 42 just east of Bahamas, Cat 1 borderline Cat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Euro OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Euro is not only ots it is completely out to lunch. Last week or so the Euro has been horrendous. Im not buying it. Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Western based models are coming in even farther West. Appearing NJ will avoid a direct hit. Consensus is for landfall around Cape Hatteras though there is still some wiggle room and time for that to change. Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Normally I don't come back around until the end of November. But now the media is talking about another possible sandy solution so here I am. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Western based models are coming in even farther West. Appearing NJ will avoid a direct hit. Consensus is for landfall around Cape Hatteras though there is still some wiggle room and time for that to change. Sent from my LG-V410 Big winds from Joaquin. SNJ has 60 mph gusts on the GFS, and I think parts of PA get in on that wind too. Seems like we're finally going in to some more interesting weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Normally I don't come back around until the end of November. But now the media is talking about another possible sandy solution so here I am. Sent from my iPhone Not even a close comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Not even a close comparison. The clueless and sensationalist media isn't looking at the big picture. All they see is a hurricane that's going to hook left (like Sandy did) and immediately compare this one to her. It makes for better headlines and more page hits.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Euro is not only ots it is completely out to lunch. Last week or so the Euro has been horrendous. Im not buying it. Sent from my LG-V410 Either the storm escapes out to sea or turns inland. No middle ground on this. The pendulum is swinging toward a east coast hit but the Op Euro solution is still possible. Although I will point the ensemble mean is much further west than the operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 We now have Hurricane Joaquin. 5 Day track still showing a lot of uncertainty but looks pretty ominous for the area. HPC continuing to predict very heavy rains. Significant flooding region wide if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Will be on the weather channel at 11:10 am for those who missed it yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bliz299 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 after going through sandy don't want to see the jersey shore see another hit, I am thinking if there is landfall might be closer to Lewes De up to Cape May NJ, about 60-100 miles south of Sandy Gee, thanks! Seriously now folks. I don't wish this on anyone, but some place on the east coast sure looks likely. Just a brush offshore would be OK; still could use more rain. About 1.6" yesterday & today. It amazes me how many people NOW want to know what I think! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Will be on the weather channel at 11:10 am for those who missed it yesterday. maybe someone can youtube it since VERIZON cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Just saw some of the 12z suite. Looking more and likely that we will dodge a direct hit in our area. Models are keying on the area from Wilmington NC to Cape Hatteras NC. Im not sounding the all clear yet just relaying what ive seen from 12z thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 With the ULL and possible Ida resurgence, I'd be hesitant to call any solution likely at this juncture. Just too much in play still, and model error averages are 300-400 miles at this point in the game. While this solution would be better for the area, there would still likely be a bunch of rain and coastal tidal flooding as the models are all indicating one hell of an onshore flow for the next 5 days. Even the winds are 20-30 mph and stronger on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Gfs cmc and ukie have pretty much the same track right now. Not that it cant shift but thats a pretty good consensus at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 No changes in EC through hour 36. PRE rain spreading from east to west into region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.