Juliancolton Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 I know which name is being retired this year... RIP to those who passed away. I doubt Joaquin will be retired. "Erika" is more likely to be removed for its impact on Dominica, I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Joaquin is one of the strongest hurricanes to impact the Bahamas in modern times. Though thankfully the core did not directly impact more populated areas, the islands it did cross over were completely devastated. Additionally, the indirect impacts to the southeastern US due to Joaquin's interaction with the the trough\ULL will be remembered for a long time by residents of South Carolina. That must also be considered. That name is gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 Hurricane Joaquin now versus two days ago. Now: Sunday evening: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 Looks like Joaquin is getting the gulf stream bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 The Euro ensembles have consistently shown Joaquin strengthening over the next 24-36 hours before tailing off. Oh how awesome would it be if he turned more Southerly and got back into the warmer waters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 The sun sets on a surprisingly well-formed Joaquin: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Awesome Sat image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 If my Grandmother had balls she would be my Grandfather If it wasn't for the ULL to the Northeast helping to push it too far to the Southwest the last few days it would have been a slam dunk Carolina or VA landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 One run. Then it was ots for the next few days iirc. this is way off the CMC had the east coast hit for several runs ina row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Pretty long lived system for a home brew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Joaquin is one of the strongest hurricanes to impact the Bahamas in modern times. Though thankfully the core did not directly impact more populated areas, the islands it did cross over were completely devastated. Additionally, the indirect impacts to the southeastern US due to Joaquin's interaction with the the trough\ULL will be remembered for a long time by residents of South Carolina. That must also be considered. That name is gone. I don't think the flooding was directly attributable to Joaquin.....no populated area were hit hard, otherwise....tough call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Pretty long lived system for a home brew. It's now post tropical. The interesting thing is that the NHC forecast has it turning South. Maybe it can eventually get picked up by the Easterlies and carried back West. The GFS has it eventually ending up in the Mediterranean Sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 That top sat image, today, looks pretty damn tropical to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 That top sat image, today, looks pretty damn tropical to me. 000WTNT31 KNHC 080234TCPAT1BULLETINPOST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOAQUIN ADVISORY NUMBER 42NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1120151100 PM AST WED OCT 07 2015...JOAQUIN HAS BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE......THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...42.0N 37.0WABOUT 595 MI...960 KM WNW OF THE AZORESMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical CycloneJoaquin was located near latitude 42.0 North, longitude 37.0 West.The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 35 mph (56km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward speed isexpected over the next couple of days.Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next48 hours.Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)from the center.The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND: Gale-force winds associated with the post-tropical cycloneare expected to spread over portions of the Azores on Thursday.SURF: Swells generated by Joaquin will continue to affect AtlanticCanada during the next day or so. Swells affecting much of theeastern coast of the United States are now mostly associated with anon-tropical area of low pressure over the western Atlantic, andthese swells are expected to continue for the next day or two.Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely inassociation with these swells. Please consult products from yourlocal weather office.NEXT ADVISORY-------------This is the last public advisory issued by the National HurricaneCenter on Joaquin. Future information on this system can be foundin High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, underAWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on theWeb at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml, and inhigh seas forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50LFPW and available on the web athttp://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin.$$Forecaster Pasch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 NVM, my mistake.....pic is old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 NVM, my mistake.....pic is old. It hung on a long time but finally succumbed yesterday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Sandy redux happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 I don't think the flooding was directly attributable to Joaquin.....no populated area were hit hard, otherwise....tough call.I don't really see the tough call here. As stated in my post about the "indirect effects on the southeast U.S.," clearly the flooding isn't of a catastrophic nature without the presence of Joaquin and its interaction with the cutoff. No Joaquin, no beefed up moisture stream equals a much different scenario. However, even without considering the indirect effects, the direct physical destruction to the eastern Bahamas will be distinct and noticeable for decades, as will the emotional impacts to the people who lived through it, not excluding the shipping tragedy.Sent from my LG G4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 According to Weatherbell's ACE page, Hurricane Joaquin accounted for 50.64% of the total ACE of the Atlantic season so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 this is way off the CMC had the east coast hit for several runs ina row You're wrong but it's cool. The CMC was horrible in the medium range with Sandy. I'm not going to get into an argument with you though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billgwx Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 Oh I dunno, this looks like a pretty good Sandy forecast by the Canadian... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 Oh I dunno, this looks like a pretty good Sandy forecast by the Canadian... 545267_4343743805674_2065413983_n.jpg Haha yup. That's actually almost perfect! It was like a run or 2 in the long range then it completely lost it ots or up in NE for days. It eventually caught on though.Thanks for posting that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 SANDY ? I thought the issue was cmc and Joaquin You're wrong but it's cool. The CMC was horrible in the medium range with Sandy. I'm not going to get into an argument with you though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 um no it did not Sandy redux happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 SANDY ? I thought the issue was cmc and Joaquin Yea. My reply was in response to a GGEM/Sandy post. The CMC showed hits for several consecutive runs for Joaquin as you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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