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We hoist, huge drought busting rains with potential coastal flooding. Sep 29-30

Ginx snewx

By Ginx snewx,
in New England

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

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Euro is really nothing for SNE with regard to Joaquine.  If the Euro is right, we better hope this first round delivers a couple inches of rain, because this thing gets Squashed big time.  North Carolina and Virginia washed away with rain, but Storm goes out to sea.  So much for the blocking high pressure keeping this from escaping, instead it Crushes it out and away from the coast.

 

GFS and Euro are letting it escape.  If you wanted a big storm, these trends are not your friend.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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Euro is really nothing for SNE with regard to Joaquine.  If the Euro is right, we better hope this first round delivers a couple inches of rain, because this thing gets Squashed big time.  North Carolina and Virginia washed away with rain, but Storm goes out to sea.  So much for the blocking high pressure keeping this from escaping, instead it Crushes it out and away from the coast.

 

GFS and Euro are letting it escape.  If you wanted a big storm, these trends are not your friend.

 

The PRE will very likely give SNE at least 1-2 inches of rain in that setup. Unless you are rooting for >6" of rain, I think there will be enough to go around combining the two events.

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Gwhizkids

Gwhizkids

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Euro is really nothing for SNE with regard to Joaquine.  If the Euro is right, we better hope this first round delivers a couple inches of rain, because this thing gets Squashed big time.  North Carolina and Virginia washed away with rain, but Storm goes out to sea.  So much for the blocking high pressure keeping this from escaping, instead it Crushes it out and away from the coast.

 

GFS and Euro are letting it escape.  If you wanted a big storm, these trends are not your friend.

 I dunno...5"+ rain in the next 6 days qualifies as a big storm to me...

 

gfs_namer_144_precip_ptot.gif

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powderfreak

powderfreak

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Its going to be pretty hard to escape this setup over the next 4-5 days without a lot of rain.

You can really see the pre-axis getting its act together in NY state and PA...like PIT-ITH-UCA-GFL-MPV zone probably takes a real good dose of rain in the next 48 hours. There's already some real narrow bands of very heavy rain mixed in amongst the more general light to moderate stuff.

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

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What is the PRE?  I wasn't rooting for 6 plus inches, but just like in the winter, all models going crazy with all these crazy outputs, and the mainstream media start alerting that there could be a very serious situation unfolding for the local area/SNE, and then the Euro comes out, and Poof, it's gone.  The Euro that Steve posted showed about two inches for alot of SNE with the two events combined.  That's a big difference from what we were thinking just this morning.  But that two inches will be better than anything we've had all summer long, so thats a positive. 

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