Damage In Tolland Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 WinWe win!39.1 ORH 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 We win! 39.1 ORH 38 Try again METAR KORH 181754Z 30014G19KT 10SM BKN055 OVC070 03/M09 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP228 T00281089 10044 21011 56005 = Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 43 high today low 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 lol that's an error Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 ORH high was 40F according to 6 hourlies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 ORH high was 40F according to 6 hourlies. Apparently we toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Yeah not sure where that 44 appeared magically from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Something to look forward to over the next 10 days of warm and boredom..newly fallen leaves, drought..and now fall fires ECENS MEAN HAS AT MOST 0.25-INCHES OVER THE NEXT 8-DAYS WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE N/W HIGH TERRAIN...LEAST S/E. WE MAY NEED TO STARTTALKING ABOUT FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT WEEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 snow flurries dockside in Galilee!!! only a few minutes but way cool!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Yeah not sure where that 44 appeared magically from That's 4.4o C or 40o F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 That's 4.4o C or 40o F lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 That's probably about for winter this year. It was fun though. We'll see ya next year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Man that is an atrocious looking pattern on the ensembles the next 2 weeks. Good Lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Man that is an atrocious looking pattern on the ensembles the next 2 weeks. Good Lord What does this even mean? A torch? Definitely does not look like a torch the next two weeks. Looks like cold shots mixed with mild pulses...pretty typical in shoulder seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 What does this even mean? A torch? Definitely does not look like a torch the next two weeks. Looks like cold shots mixed with mild pulses...pretty typical in shoulder seasons. Why saying torch? No. Just looks mild overall and dry. Some places are in drastic need of rain to your south and I was hoping the promised wet Nino pattern/ coastals might start showing up late month into early Nov. There had been hints of it, but they backed off. I'd like to start seeing some coastal storms take shape. A fall with no coastals is never a good thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Yeah not sure where that 44 appeared magically from Lol seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Why saying torch? No. Just looks mild overall and dry. Some places are in drastic need of rain to your south and I was hoping the promised wet Nino pattern/ coastals might start showing up late month into early Nov. There had been hints of it, but they backed off. I'd like to start seeing some coastal storms take shape. A fall with no coastals is never a good thing Well we had a good coastal earlier this month...but there's no way to say we wouldn't get another from that ensemble pattern. There's a mean trough over the east around D10 and then a hint D15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Why saying torch? No. Just looks mild overall and dry. Some places are in drastic need of rain to your south and I was hoping the promised wet Nino pattern/ coastals might start showing up late month into early Nov. There had been hints of it, but they backed off. I'd like to start seeing some coastal storms take shape. A fall with no coastals is never a good thingwhats the drastic need of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Any sign of the pattern turning wet at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Any sign of the pattern turning wet at all? I wonder if anyone has seen the latest Euro weeklies? I don't have access myself. If this November is anything like 2009 which was our most recent mod.-strong Nino then I'd be willing to bet it's drier than average. BDL had 2.27" that month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 I wonder if anyone has seen the latest Euro weeklies? I don't have access myself. If this November is anything like 2009 which was our most recent mod.-strong Nino then I'd be willing to bet it's drier than average. BDL had 2.27" that month.I saw the temps from the Thursday run, and it was all out torch thru week 4. I know ENS are mostly dry thru day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 I saw the temps from the Thursday run, and it was all out torch thru week 4. I know ENS are mostly dry thru day 104 week ave plus 1 is an all out torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 4 week ave plus 1 is an all out torch? HP is going to mute it . A dry NOV and no autumn coastals is a concern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 I remember on here several years ago..someone posted a study or link that showed a low number(or none) of coastal storms in the autumn directly correlated to a lackluster winter(in terms of storminess) And likewise..an active autumn correlated to a very active winter.I don't know who posted it..but I remember it was on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 I remember on here several years ago..someone posted a study or link that showed a low number(or none) of coastal storms in the autumn directly correlated to a lackluster winter(in terms of storminess) And likewise..an active autumn correlated to a very active winter.I don't know who posted it..but I remember it was on here October 2011? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 I remember on here several years ago..someone posted a study or link that showed a low number(or none) of coastal storms in the autumn directly correlated to a lackluster winter(in terms of storminess) And likewise..an active autumn correlated to a very active winter.I don't know who posted it..but I remember it was on hereSeems anecdotal to me. How would you decide what systems to include? And how do you measure "active"? Number of snowfalls? Above normal precip?I think it's just one more of those things weenies can get excited about or worry about, but in the end has no real meaning with what happens 3-4 months from now in the heart of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 That said..everything I've seen has shown or pointed to a very wet winter....but to me I think we'd like to see some sort of stormier pattern set up as we move into and thru Nov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Seems anecdotal to me. How would you decide what systems to include? And how do you measure "active"? Number of snowfalls? Above normal precip? Well generally in the winter we need coastal for great snow seasons. Moisture starved clippers or overrunning can only go so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 I remember on here several years ago..someone posted a study or link that showed a low number(or none) of coastal storms in the autumn directly correlated to a lackluster winter(in terms of storminess) And likewise..an active autumn correlated to a very active winter.I don't know who posted it..but I remember it was on here Hmm, just looking at some recent years that doesn't necessarily seem to be true. At least not always but there may be some positive correlation. But 1997 was dry in October (not in November though) and 2000 was dry in October and November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Well generally in the winter we need coastal for great snow seasons. Moisture starved clippers or overrunning can only go so farYeah but take like 2012-2013 winter...you got the vast majority of your snow in two big storms. Is that an active year? What if you had 5 storms but less snowfall?It seems impossible to measure how active a season is and its correlation to October nor'easters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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