IsentropicLift Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Looks like the front dried up The parent low is all the way up in Central Canada so nothing more than a few hundredths is expected. We should continue to see several rounds of scattered showers through the rest of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 The 12z GFS has an above average look days 6-14 with a return of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Nothing crazy, but numerous days with highs into the 70's and relatively dry weather aside from a frontal passage on day 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 BTW, september was warmest on record for the park... don't know if anyone mentioned it https://www.facebook.com/NWSNewYorkNY/photos/a.188187191210604.50415.177148895647767/1143204512375529/?type=3&theater I think bluewave did. It was hot for sure. I for one am happy to see the hot weather go. This year has truly been incredible for weather extremes. I would assume the most anomalous of any year on record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 This was from near Binghamton Saturday: Dirt track racing? Someday when I have $$ to burn I want to get into that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 The 12z GFS has an above average look days 6-14 with a return of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Nothing crazy, but numerous days with highs into the 70's and relatively dry weather aside from a frontal passage on day 9. same ol pattern.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 The Euro has some snow showers around Saturday night, especially over the LHV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Looks like the front dried up Rgem had that occurring and then a round of heavier rains from 7pm to 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 I think bluewave did. It was hot for sure. I for one am happy to see the hot weather go. This year has truly been incredible for weather extremes. I would assume the most anomalous of any year on record People would have laughed at anyone that forecast last December that NYC would see the coldest February since 1934 followed by the warmest May through September on record. The only other event that somewhat reminded me of this was near record cold December 1989 flipping so mild for January and February. After the Thanksgiving snow and 3rd coldest December, I was expecting a repeat of 76-77. I just couldn't believe it when January and February finished near the record warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Some cells fired in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Rgem had that occurring and then a round of heavier rains from 7pm to 10pm. and here it comes-scattered storms, one that will likely pass just south of Citifield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Nice t storm just came through englishtown. Good lightning show and some good rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 The weekends cool shot is basically an anomaly in what will likely be another AN month. Cold air is vaporized by mid next week and we'll be well above normal with several days in the 70s if the gfs is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 The weekends cool shot is basically an anomaly in what will likely be another AN month. Cold air is vaporized by mid next week and we'll be well above normal with several days in the 70s if the gfs is correct. It actually makes the cold shot stand out more when you consider how warm it was before, and most likely how much it will warm up after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Princeton University today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Over next 15 days, the 850's vary by -9 to +16 or 25C and the 500mb THK varies by 500m, 572-522. Both are good for a total potential difference at the 2M of about 45 degs. So 35 degs and 80 degs are both possible over the next 15 days. I expect this to be reduced to closer to just 30-35 deg difference over period however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Both the Euro and and GFS have tropical development in the Bay of Campeche towards the middle of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 If NYC can fall below 40 degrees before 10/20, then it would only be the third time since 2005. First readings below 40 in NYC since 2005: 11/3/14 11/3/13 10/13/12 10/27/11 10/25/10 10/19/09 10/28/08 10/29/07 10/27/06 10/26/05 Shows how warm it has been. NYC is almost a lock to get into the 30s this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Foliage really starting to pop now in central Nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 The weekends cool shot is basically an anomaly in what will likely be another AN month. Cold air is vaporized by mid next week and we'll be well above normal with several days in the 70s if the gfs is correct. We started the month well below avg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 We started the month well below avg That was another island of cool in a sea of warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
googmoog Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Sure, Sept was very consistently warm. But October has felt very seasonal thus far here upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Just when you thought you've seen it all... Nice Fujiwara between a closed ULL off the NJ coast and a recurving tropical system on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Just when you thought you've seen it all... Nice Fujiwara between a closed ULL off the NJ coast and a recurving tropical system on the 12z GFS. It hits New England lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 We started the month well below avg And that got vaporized with ease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Seeing a ton of nice color today regarding the foliage! I think after the cold snap we will definitely be on schedule and near peak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Yes catching up after slow start.the ones changing are doing good but still alot totally green Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 And that got vaporized with ease. The first 5 days of the month where at or below Normal at knyc, the next 5 where above normal. Only one torch day that was +11 and the coldest -9 for two days. Obviously it hasn't be way below or way above (example September)…the month can go either way right now as its +1.5 at Knyc. Day 10 on a few afternoon 12z models have hinted at another cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 The first 5 days of the month where at or below Normal at knyc, the next 5 where above normal. Only one torch day that was +11 and the coldest -9 for two days. Obviously it hasn't be way below or way above (example September)…the month can go either way right now as its +1.5 at Knyc. Day 10 on a few afternoon 12z models have hinted at another cold shot. EWR , JFK and LGA are .05 above , this all gets erased by Monday , so the 1st 20 days in many spots will be at or BN . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 EWR , JFK and LGA are .05 above , this all gets erased by Monday , so the 1st 20 days in many spots will be at or BN . I was just using KNYC as that seems to be the debating point getting closer to the colder months. Ewr will radiate better now at night then Knyc going forward. If people think Mild spells and 70's are over you should think again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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