Mallow Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 The wind verification for today could be odd. Even though the 0651z report shows a wind of 19kts, if it was quickly coming down at that time, the 07z-07z daily climo wind may be substantially lower. EDIT: Nope, 20kts it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 84/50/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoistWx Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 84/50/12/0.00 Was tempted to go higher on the winds, especially since they should change to more WSW, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 84/49/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 85/48/12 As always, the low is a big question mark. I could see another 44/45, especially with light winds, but then again, it's almost anyone's guess here. There are two clusters of models for highs tomorrow (near 80 and near 86) and then MOS has showed a slight uptick over the last few runs, leading me to sway a touch warmer. I don't see a strong signal for high winds, as we're not looking at a 07z peak, instead, winds slowly increase tomorrow evening. Going into the final day ranked #2, so hopefully I can secure a lock for the top 10 in this city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 84/48/12 Looking around 36 if we end pretty decently tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 85/47/15/0.00" With the high of 80F today, I've managed to crawl within 1 error point of 2nd place for Category 4. Tried to take a little bit of a risk for tomorrow, in an "all or nothing" mentality. If I can get the 47F low or lower, I should be in really good shape to win a trophy. We'll see though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 85/48/12 Solid city overall for me, but my ABR score boosted me from 100th all the way to 48th nationally for the year. I'll take that and likely Top 150 finish in this city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 84/49/16 Currently #2 in Cat-2 so this is an important forecast. The pressure gradient favors that southwesterly gap wind so I went higher on the wind. The nights with southerly flow have also failed to plunge into the mid-40s. High was based on forecast heights which are nearly identical to Wednesday when it was 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 84/49/16 Currently #2 in Cat-2 so this is an important forecast. The pressure gradient favors that southwesterly gap wind so I went higher on the wind. The nights with southerly flow have also failed to plunge into the mid-40s. High was based on forecast heights which are nearly identical to Wednesday when it was 84. Not sure what to think about the low tonight. Temperatures are already falling much faster than last night, but the directional change is a key consideration. Maybe temperatures fall for a while longer and then level off by the pre-dawn hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Not sure what to think about the low tonight. Temperatures are already falling much faster than last night, but the directional change is a key consideration. Maybe temperatures fall for a while longer and then level off by the pre-dawn hours. That's what I'm thinking/hoping will happen. Drop to the low 50s and then level off. The colder trend compared with Tuesday night (3F colder) is concerning though. It's pretty simple for me, if the low stays at 49 or above, I hang onto the #2 Cat-2 spot no matter what. If the low is 48 I need 15 kt wind. If it's 47 or lower I need 16 kt. Also could finish at #1 overall if I get the warmer temperatures and 16 kt wind. Doesn't matter what the high does. Knowing my luck on the final day, the low will plunge and the wind won't show up. Usually it's precip that defeats me so it will be a nice change of pace this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 Down to 48. Really need a degree lower to feel more confident. Wind will still need to help me out later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 46 is the low... Southwesterly flow starting to ramp up...10 kt now. I need 16 kt!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 46 is the low... Southwesterly flow starting to ramp up...10 kt now. I need 16 kt!!!!! If the temperature can surge to 85, I will be golden! Wouldn't mind a higher wind either... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 4, 2016 Share Posted March 4, 2016 83/46/14 via climo. Winds are near peak, but wouldn't be totally shocked if they end up a knot or two higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 83/46/14 via climo. Winds are near peak, but wouldn't be totally shocked if they end up a knot or two higher. looks like one of my profs will finish in second overall in the city congrats to all that did well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 looks like one of my profs will finish in second overall in the city congrats to all that did well My best finish in a city yet over the years, got bumped down to 3rd overall after the wind ramped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 My best finish in a city yet over the years, got bumped down to 3rd overall after the wind ramped up. Congrats man, way to hold it down for the Cann. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 Congrats man, way to hold it down for the Cann. Someone had to finish about the national consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 With the 14kts I tied for first in Cat 4. A bump to 15th would put me in 1st by myself. Certainly better than I hoped! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 Well, people wanted Fort Wayne, apparently. Sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 I came up 1 point short but I'm happy with a top-10. Nice job to the winners! Too bad about the Portland vote but at least we'll have Seattle for the AMS city next year (or at least those of us doomed to spend more years in school...). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 Ended 62 for the city 139 overall. Beckley is already looking fun data not available seems like it will make for a fun time just like Binghamton Metars show Kgrr but this is kbkw gonna be a fun one for sure lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 5, 2016 Share Posted March 5, 2016 I came up 1 point short but I'm happy with a top-10. Nice job to the winners! Too bad about the Portland vote but at least we'll have Seattle for the AMS city next year (or at least those of us doomed to spend more years in school...). Unfortunately this will be my last year. Four years of WxChallenge and only Astoria for the Pac NW (and that was a horrible city for me). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 69/41/11/0 Looks similar to today, just slightly warmer. Feels like El Paso with the low tonight... There's a good dew-point spread now, but that number should start steadily rising overnight. Skies are clear and the same can be said upstream, despite MOS showing considerable cloudiness tonight. I wouldn't be surprised if temperatures briefly tumble into the upper 30s. Overall, playing it rather safe for day 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 72/40/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 71/43/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 8, 2016 Author Share Posted March 8, 2016 70/42/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 70/43/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 8, 2016 Share Posted March 8, 2016 69/45/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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